Tips for Tikay

[Bazzaboy]

World Matchplay darts starts next Saturday...

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/world-matchplay/world-matchplay-darts/winner

I mentioned Jelle Klaasen at 300/1 months ago (I can dream, can't I...?!) but despite the recent 'revelations' about his family and the fact he's not quite as much of a tournament banker as he used to be, I find Phil Taylor at 7/2 being a really solid bet.

It's not the most ideal of draws, it has to be said... He'd have to go through Barney, Chisnall, Anderson and van Gerwen to win this (if they make it through).

However, Taylor does not lose at Blackpool. He's won every single renewal of this since 2008. How many other sports where a participant has won the last 7 times do they go off 7/2? Not many. It's the one tournament he has never lost his grip on and having shown good form winning both the World Cup and in Japan, he still looks to be playing near his peak. The long format is just perfect for his ultra consistent game and time and again he just wears down the opponent with relentless scoring over so many legs.

Interested in the thoughts of others but if liked, I'd recommend a score at the advised prices.

Happy also with 10/3 if not possible.

Pretty brutal draw given he is number 2 seed. I prefer Anderson at 6/1 given he has a dream run through to the semis.

Smith at 7/1 to win the 2nd Quarter is a couple of ticks too big.

[The Camel]

For those who are limited at BFSB

They have this in the T and Cs of the Open

If you have been sent an email excluding you from promotions you will not qualify

So if you have an email that says Having reviewed your account, we are notifying you that your account will not be eligible for Betfair Sportsbook* promotions, including Best Odds Guaranteed, in future. , like me, you are knacked.

Not that it makes much difference as they are limiting me to £3 each way too. 

* a sportsbook or a race and sports book (sometimes abbreviated as book) is a place where a gambler can wager on various sports competitions. Just in case you weren't sure.

This post just made me go on a profanity laden rant on Twitter.

I am holding you resposible for my ire.

[Marky147]

For those who are limited at BFSB

They have this in the T and Cs of the Open

If you have been sent an email excluding you from promotions you will not qualify

So if you have an email that says Having reviewed your account, we are notifying you that your account will not be eligible for Betfair Sportsbook* promotions, including Best Odds Guaranteed, in future. , like me, you are knacked.

Not that it makes much difference as they are limiting me to £3 each way too. 

* a sportsbook or a race and sports book (sometimes abbreviated as book) is a place where a gambler can wager on various sports competitions. Just in case you weren't sure.

This post just made me go on a profanity laden rant on Twitter.

I am holding you resposible for my ire.

MBN getting £3ew on anything with them!

[Doobs]

For those who are limited at BFSB

They have this in the T and Cs of the Open

If you have been sent an email excluding you from promotions you will not qualify

So if you have an email that says Having reviewed your account, we are notifying you that your account will not be eligible for Betfair Sportsbook* promotions, including Best Odds Guaranteed, in future. , like me, you are knacked.

Not that it makes much difference as they are limiting me to £3 each way too. 

* a sportsbook or a race and sports book (sometimes abbreviated as book) is a place where a gambler can wager on various sports competitions. Just in case you weren't sure.

This post just made me go on a profanity laden rant on Twitter.

I am holding you resposible for my ire.

MBN getting £3ew on anything with them!

I didn't, I walked away.  It is the only bookmaker where everyone should read the rules before having each bet. 

[arbboy]

For those who are limited at BFSB

They have this in the T and Cs of the Open

If you have been sent an email excluding you from promotions you will not qualify

So if you have an email that says Having reviewed your account, we are notifying you that your account will not be eligible for Betfair Sportsbook* promotions, including Best Odds Guaranteed, in future. , like me, you are knacked.

Not that it makes much difference as they are limiting me to £3 each way too.  

* a sportsbook or a race and sports book (sometimes abbreviated as book) is a place where a gambler can wager on various sports competitions. Just in case you weren't sure.

This post just made me go on a profanity laden rant on Twitter.

I am holding you resposible for my ire.

I was limited to zero on greyhounds the day the sports book opened because of my exchange activity before i was even able to try and place a sportsbook bet with betfair.  They use your exchange history to place restriction on ur sportsbook account, if applicable, even prior to you even having a sportsbook bet.  I think that is disgraceful and potentially a data protection act imo.  It doesn't even get any better if you have given them in excess of £1m in commission and rake over 10 years and been a 2% vip for most of that time.  They still treat you the same.  Your tweet made it sound like it has just happened to you today?  Surely not?  You must have been cut there in the first week it opened surely Keith?

With regard to putting up horse prices the night before they can only do that primarily to close accounts.  They have to lose on the overnight product, esp offering bog.  Like you say no casual punter is looking at the 430pm tomorrow at Sedgefield tonight to have a bet.  The only people looking are shrewdies full stop.

What amazes me is shrewdies give them their info for pennies the night before to mark their card.  If idiots are willing to do it then i totally get why firms offer them for pennies the night before.

[TightEnd]

World Matchplay darts starts next Saturday...

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/world-matchplay/world-matchplay-darts/winner

I mentioned Jelle Klaasen at 300/1 months ago (I can dream, can't I...?!) but despite the recent 'revelations' about his family and the fact he's not quite as much of a tournament banker as he used to be, I find Phil Taylor at 7/2 being a really solid bet.

It's not the most ideal of draws, it has to be said... He'd have to go through Barney, Chisnall, Anderson and van Gerwen to win this (if they make it through).

However, Taylor does not lose at Blackpool. He's won every single renewal of this since 2008. How many other sports where a participant has won the last 7 times do they go off 7/2? Not many. It's the one tournament he has never lost his grip on and having shown good form winning both the World Cup and in Japan, he still looks to be playing near his peak. The long format is just perfect for his ultra consistent game and time and again he just wears down the opponent with relentless scoring over so many legs.

Interested in the thoughts of others but if liked, I'd recommend a score at the advised prices.

Happy also with 10/3 if not possible.

Pretty brutal draw given he is number 2 seed. I prefer Anderson at 6/1 given he has a dream run through to the semis.

Smith at 7/1 to win the 2nd Quarter is a couple of ticks too big.

so what is the majority view here Darts people?

we are on chisnall

leave taylor and back Anderson, go for another part of the draw?

[TightEnd]

thank you

interested in that too

1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 at say 20-1

or 1,2,3,4,5 at 25-1

is a common decision here with stenson, louis, scott, rose etc (ie below speith and above rickie fowler in the betting)

we'd take the extra places?

Can do a spreadsheet tomorrow to answer this question.  Suspect it is close.  It makes me think there are probably better opportunities (maths wise anyway).  Am a big fan of Stenson fwiw

I think it is a bit early to try and do a spreadsheet as the betfair place market hasn't really formed.  I could do some manual estimates of odds but that would mean I'd probably have to do over 50 golfers and will take more time than I have right now.  You can't just assume a 20/1 chance for 1st is 20/1 for 8th or you'll get stupid results.

I do think there is one golfer you can do this kind of simple calc and that is Jim Furyk.  He ended a 100 event streak without winning in April, but you can assume if he is 129/1 (that looks too big) to win then he is probably less than 129/1 to finish 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th or 6th.  That makes the 100/1 Vic is offering (big stand out price) and 6 places look a very decent addition to the portfolio.

He has 4 previous 4th places in The Open, so is no mug at Links Golf.  I could also say that the RBC Heritage is played on a links course, but that might be stretching the definition.  Anyway suggest a tenner e/w if we can get the 100/1 and 6 places with BMU.  If you miss it, I'll match their price for a fiver e/w.

Jim Furyk

Again :-)

 Outright Jim Furyk (EW) (Outright - Tournament) Odds: 100/1 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  1270.00

£10 e/w 1/4 6 places

[TightEnd]

taking Adz, doobs and newportlad comments

i intend to do the following in due course, mixing prices with places on offer.

please shout if you disagree

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/open-championship/winner

Dustin £15 e/w at 14-1 victor 6 places
Stenson £15 e/w 20-1 8 places bfsb
oosthuizen £15 e/w 25-1 6 places sbet
casey £15 e/w 33-1 bfsb 8 places

no fixed figure in mind for portolio size but £250-300 is the norm for a golf major

we also have room for sub-markets eg top european, top south african, top amateur etc if anyone spots anything

[TightEnd]

no bets completed yesterday

England on top in the test (interesting though E 7/4 A 2/1 D 13/8 currently) though the potential wagging of the australian tail will be important



Starc 5 wickets, but an injury doubt for the second test

Smith 33, out playing an odd shot trying to force the spinner



Rogers 95. 7th consecutive test fifty



totals wise 430+264=694 after 2 days. probably need 1600+ to win top scoring ground, but its not the worst start

county

Lancs made Essex follow on but due to time lost in the game could not force the win. Tey are now 30 points clear at the top of the table (maxmimum 24 points for the win) with 5 games of the championship season to go

cycling

"Martin's collarbone was in pieces and sticking out of his skin. He got up and comp[leted the stage" quite somethijng to watch

he is out of the tour though

Click to see full-size image.

After six stages Kwiatowski 42nd

Sagan 3 points behind Griepel for green after riepel fell away yesterday

sky in 4th in the team classification


Djokovic against Gasquet today. Murray against Federer too

who is your money on for Murray v Federer? straw poll....

[TightEnd]

Unibet set to acquire online arm of Stan James http://bit.ly/1HRqVXp 

£19m

[Tal]

Unibet set to acquire online arm of Stan James http://bit.ly/1HRqVXp 

£19m

They tried to buy it for £190m but no one can get more than 10% with Stan.





...except possibly me...

[BigAdz]

Unibet set to acquire online arm of Stan James http://bit.ly/1HRqVXp 

£19m

They tried to buy it for £190m but no one can get more than 10% with Stan.





...except possibly me...

Very good.

[arbboy]

World Matchplay darts starts next Saturday...

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/world-matchplay/world-matchplay-darts/winner

I mentioned Jelle Klaasen at 300/1 months ago (I can dream, can't I...?!) but despite the recent 'revelations' about his family and the fact he's not quite as much of a tournament banker as he used to be, I find Phil Taylor at 7/2 being a really solid bet.

It's not the most ideal of draws, it has to be said... He'd have to go through Barney, Chisnall, Anderson and van Gerwen to win this (if they make it through).

However, Taylor does not lose at Blackpool. He's won every single renewal of this since 2008. How many other sports where a participant has won the last 7 times do they go off 7/2? Not many. It's the one tournament he has never lost his grip on and having shown good form winning both the World Cup and in Japan, he still looks to be playing near his peak. The long format is just perfect for his ultra consistent game and time and again he just wears down the opponent with relentless scoring over so many legs.

Interested in the thoughts of others but if liked, I'd recommend a score at the advised prices.

Happy also with 10/3 if not possible.

Pretty brutal draw given he is number 2 seed. I prefer Anderson at 6/1 given he has a dream run through to the semis.

Smith at 7/1 to win the 2nd Quarter is a couple of ticks too big.

so what is the majority view here Darts people?

we are on chisnall

leave taylor and back Anderson, go for another part of the draw?

I have laid Taylor myself at sub 7/2 reluctantly because of his brutal draw and the fact until I see otherwise I think he has seriously gone at the game at the very top level now,  I am happy to be proved wrong but at the price I can only lay.  I think mvg 2/1 is more than fair as well given his draw.

 Ando is a bet for me at 6/1.

[arbboy]

Unibet set to acquire online arm of Stan James http://bit.ly/1HRqVXp 

£19m

 The two original titans of online in running betting from the late 1990s ( blue sq and Stan James) sold for a combined £24m in the last two years. Quite incredible how the once mighty have fallen given the head start they had back in the day.

[TightEnd]

World Matchplay darts starts next Saturday...

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/world-matchplay/world-matchplay-darts/winner

I mentioned Jelle Klaasen at 300/1 months ago (I can dream, can't I...?!) but despite the recent 'revelations' about his family and the fact he's not quite as much of a tournament banker as he used to be, I find Phil Taylor at 7/2 being a really solid bet.

It's not the most ideal of draws, it has to be said... He'd have to go through Barney, Chisnall, Anderson and van Gerwen to win this (if they make it through).

However, Taylor does not lose at Blackpool. He's won every single renewal of this since 2008. How many other sports where a participant has won the last 7 times do they go off 7/2? Not many. It's the one tournament he has never lost his grip on and having shown good form winning both the World Cup and in Japan, he still looks to be playing near his peak. The long format is just perfect for his ultra consistent game and time and again he just wears down the opponent with relentless scoring over so many legs.

Interested in the thoughts of others but if liked, I'd recommend a score at the advised prices.

Happy also with 10/3 if not possible.

Pretty brutal draw given he is number 2 seed. I prefer Anderson at 6/1 given he has a dream run through to the semis.

Smith at 7/1 to win the 2nd Quarter is a couple of ticks too big.

so what is the majority view here Darts people?

we are on chisnall

leave taylor and back Anderson, go for another part of the draw?

I have laid Taylor myself at sub 7/2.  Ando is a bet for me at 6/1.

this is what i was getting at

we have £30 on chisnall at 28-1 already

 BetVictor World Matchplay 2015 Outright Gary Anderson (Tournament Winner - Outright) Odds: 6/1 Stake: 30.00 Possible Return:  210.00