Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

assume chis throws first in sudden death as he threw first in the game?

[KitKeeper]

assume chis throws first in sudden death as he threw first in the game?

I think so, but I'm not 100%.

[KitKeeper]

Doesn't matter now.

Huge escape for Chisnall.

[Marky147]

What a cracking game of darts.

Pure drama.

Prefer less entertainment when i got the till on at 1/3!!

You love trying to get these good things beat, son

[arbboy]

What a cracking game of darts.

Pure drama.

Prefer less entertainment when i got the till on at 1/3!!

You love trying to get these good things beat, son

We need lollazza back!  Tried my best.  Post count is down this month!

[TightEnd]

a profit of £118 yesterday

£168 on the Open as posted last night less £50 on the Chisnall handicap

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

month to date +£107 with a £1625 forward book


ongoing

- Chisnall at least advanced to the second round of the World Matchplay darts in a "24 leg thriller"

Click to see full-size image.

He plays Keegan Brown tomorrow night

- Sagan finished 2nd on yesterday's TdF stage and won the Intermediate sprint, pulling further clear for the green jersey, now 89 points ahead of Griepel

- Petersen and Prince put on only the 13th ever partnership of 500+ in first class cricket

Click to see full-size image.

declaring on 698-5 Lancashire then reduced Glamorgan to 165-6 and have two days to take the remaining 14 wickets and stretch their lead at the top of the LVCC 2 table

- Warwickshire should beat Smerset today, requiring another 70 to win

- Derbyshire beat Northants

[tikay]

Open golf bets summary

Winners today

Z Johnson e/w +£240 WINNER after his birdie at the last, then putted superbly in the play off
Oosthuizen e/w +£79, lost in the play off, a great defence of his 2010 win
Garcia e/w +£4 (4 way dead heat for 6th) , another nearly major
Rose e/w +£40 crept into ties for 6th
Goosen top S African e/w +£22
Jaidee top Asian e/w +£3

Total £388

Losers

Scott -£30. Co leader during the final day, last five holes 6-5-4-5-6, coming home in 40
Jaidee outright -£5
Casey e/w -£30
Westwood e/w -£10
Stenson e/w -£30
D Johnson e/w -£30, faded in the last two rounds
Fowler e/w -£20
Furyk e/w -£20
Reed e/w -£30

Total £205

Coming into today we had taken two losers

Lehman -£5
Snedeker -£10

Overall total losers £220

Overall on the event +£168

Thanks for keeping us updated Tighty, & well done to all who gave the tips, be they winners or losers.

5 days of fun & amusement, & a profit of £168, that's as good as it gets for me.

What a shame the Leishman suggestion could not go on the spready (correctly), what a bonus sweat that would have been, but no complaints.

Who gave us Zach Johnson as a matter of interest? I could never have selected him in a month of Sundays.

Good stuff, well done all.

What's next?

[TightEnd]

when play was being delayed on the friday and it looked like the early thursday starters would have to finish their rounds on saturday in bad weather (obviously not realising that saturday would be delayed by ten hours) , doubleup gave us zach johnson at -6 in the clubhouse as a "weather hedge"

it turned out to be a good saver as although the likes of oosthuizen, scott and dustin were better financial results for us all bar louis fell away

[tikay]

when play was being delayed on the friday and it looked like the early thursday starters would have to finish their rounds on saturday in bad weather (obviously not realising that saturday would be delayed by ten hours) , doubleup gave us zach johnson at -6 in the clubhouse as a "weather hedge"

it turned out to be a good saver as although the likes of oosthuizen, scott and dustin were better financial results for us all bar louis fell away

Wonderful, well done doubleup & thank you.

We don't half have some great guys on this thread.

[Mark_Porter]

I have had a small interest in the 22/1 Rickie Lambert to still be a Liverpool player next season with Sky Bet.

He is 1/2 West Brom.

Liverpool have accepted offers but it is still down to the player. He rejected Villa in the January transfer window after Liverpool accepted an offer, stating he wanted to stay and fight for his place.

Liverpool was his dream move, he has a year left on his contract and is 33 years old. Maybe he has decided to go and play football somewhere to end his career but it wouldn’t surprise me if he rejected everyone and stayed at his boyhood club for one more year before retiring.

[TightEnd]

did you know that in 11 of the last 13 Premier League seasons a player has been in the top 4 of the golden boot at 50/1+

100/1+ places in that time as follows

(hijacking a twitter convo i saw)



8 of the last 13 seasons


there are currently 92 players listed at 50-1 and above and 77 at 100-1 and above and yet the recent data would say this is a less efficient market than we'd expect

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer

everyone is going to know about costa, aguero, kane etc this time round

but who are the longshots we might have some fun with at a price? i appreciate these are difficult to spot..if they weren't they wouldn't be 100-1+

[TightEnd]

the PGA is at Whistling Straits near Green Bay in August

Kaymer won there in 2010

a links type course, with four big par fives that the big hitters score well on and at 7500 yds par 72 you need to be able to give it some..not a short British type links

Spieth is 11/2 (and would have been shorter still if he had won yesterday, liability driven?)

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/uspga-championship/winner

usual suspects in the top 10


no real need to get involved this early, but i will ask the question anyway

is 11/2 jordan too short? about right? a must bet?

[Doobs]

did you know that in 11 of the last 13 Premier League seasons a player has been in the top 4 of the golden boot at 50/1+

100/1+ places in that time as follows

(hijacking a twitter convo i saw)



8 of the last 13 seasons


there are currently 92 players listed at 50-1 and above and 77 at 100-1 and above and yet the recent data would say this is a less efficient market than we'd expect

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer

everyone is going to know about costa, aguero, kane etc this time round

but who are the longshots we might have some fun with at a price? i appreciate these are difficult to spot..if they weren't they wouldn't be 100-1+

Seems like there are quite a few years where it doesn't happen.

Berahino at 66/1 leaps out to me.  He was close last year and should move to a bigger club, unfortunately it might be Spurs.
Ings should score more at a bigger club too?  Will he start enough?
What about Raheem Sterling?  He seems to be getting more prolific and is playing in a front 3.  Can easily see him getting 15.  The worry is he could get rotated out or tired.  At 80/1 is that too much worrying?

All would be each way with the place part the value. 

I think I would go for the other two ahead of Ings. 

[TightEnd]

i'll throw in papis cisse (with apologies to jaffa cake)

100-1

11 in 22 last year

NUFC seem to be spending to improve the team

he'd play up front with Mitrovic?


anyone that price is going to have holes, but i was just having a trawl through

[arbboy]

did you know that in 11 of the last 13 Premier League seasons a player has been in the top 4 of the golden boot at 50/1+

100/1+ places in that time as follows

(hijacking a twitter convo i saw)



8 of the last 13 seasons


there are currently 92 players listed at 50-1 and above and 77 at 100-1 and above and yet the recent data would say this is a less efficient market than we'd expect

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer

everyone is going to know about costa, aguero, kane etc this time round

but who are the longshots we might have some fun with at a price? i appreciate these are difficult to spot..if they weren't they wouldn't be 100-1+

I read an interesting tweet from nick goff (corals head of football) a while ago about how Kane would be a great lay this season for the top scorer.  Advanced stats said Kane 'should' only have scored 10 or 11 goals in the league last season based the type of chances kane had etc and that he will be massively over rated this season.  Second season blah blah, will be much better scouted etcetc.  

With the news that Rooney is going back up front this year for manure i will be very keen to back Roon v Kane in a match bet at evens.  They are both 14/1 to be top scorer on bf.  If anyone sees this with any firms can you pm me.

Rooney at 16/1 is decent unders on bf as well.  people asking for under 14/1 already.  Prob worth having an interest in Roon to start off the portfolio at 16/1.

It is a horrible ew heat really with the front two so short to be backing outsiders ew 1/4 1,2,3,4.  Everytime you have an ew bet in this at bigger than 66/1 with such a dominant front two you are setting fire to so much ev on the win part of the bet it is very hard to ever have a good place bet. 1/4 1,2,3,4 is joke terms when you think this market is very similar to the open championship when firms were standard 6 places and some 7 and 8 places.