Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Weather due to be unsettled for the rest of July. Flick in a cover on August please, £20 at 5-1 (Hilly).

did this last night

£20 at 5-1 Hills

July is 1/9

[TightEnd]

Okay, bet suggestions:

Points Finish - Fernando Alonso @ 23/10 with the exchange. Their car looked very well balanced out on track today, the lack of long straights on this track is reducing the negative impact that their engine has on performance. If Fernando finishes, he should score points. Suggest £20.

Top Six Finish - Valtteri Bottas @ 6/5 with Bet366/VetBictor and Choral. This probably won't be the strongest race for Williams, but Valtteri should have enough performance to still finish top six. Suggest £15.

To Reach Q3 - Hulkenberg @ 11/8 with Fembrokes & Alonso @ 9/4 with the exchange. £20 on Hulkenberg, £15 on Alonso.

That's all for now

Alonso. i am trying to match on the exchange, but wouldn't expect it to be

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.2 £20.00 £44.00
Ref: 53182827736 Submitted: 07:39 25-Jul-15


 Race Markets Valtteri Bottas (Top 6 Finish - Race) Odds: 6/5 Stake: 15.00 Possible Return:  33.00



your bets (1)

Single - 2015 Hungarian Grand Prix

N. Hulkenberg - Qualifying - To reach Q3

Odds: 11/8

1 lines at £15.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £15.00

Potential Return:£35.63

Time : 25/7/2015-07:41

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000949

another unmatched Alonso bet

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.1 £15.00 £31.50
Ref: 53182845983 Submitted: 07:43 25-Jul-15


i will check whether they were matched when i get back tonight
 

[TightEnd]

a Loss of £30 yesterday

Chisnall beaten in the quarters of the world matchplay darts

month to date +£37 with a £1650 forward book


ongoing

Sagan nearly secured the green jersey title in the TdeF, needs another seven points to do so or else we can book the winner on Monday





the race for the yellow jersey got a bit closer ahead of alpe d-huez today





meanwhile in Hungary

[tikay]

I'm concerned that vibrations/frequencies caused by the serrations on the kerbing is negatively effecting the structural integrity of the cars. This would explain Raikkonen's front wing falling off too. This is just a theory at this stage though.

Called it!

"Szafnauer conceded that the drivers may have to pay more attention to kerb usage: "We're not 100 per cent sure, but we think the rumble strips set up a frequency.""

http://in.motorsport.com/f1/news/force-india-confident-in-suspension-fix

The drivers seem to think it's fine to use the kerb, so in a way, I'm glad this problem has arisen, & drivers will understand that if they keep running over those kerb rumble strips they will damage their cars. 

I hope the organisers do not smooth out the kerbs. They are there for a reason.

[Tal]

Tighty (and anyone else), do you think the 11/4 for the Bengals to win the AFC North will last? Plagued by injuries last season, they have a top five defensive unit, a competent offense and have course and distance under their belt. The Ravens and the Steelers have more negatives and the Browns are a laughing stock.

Bengals aren't the punters' choice but they have to be better than third in the divisional market, surely?


Edit: their schedule is slightly better than last year, too, with games against the bills and the texans replacing last season's against the patriots and the colts.

I seem to be mulling one of our bigger bets, here. If I'm saying they should be favourite, say 2/1, that should be a chunky bet, shouldn't it?

[Peter-27]

Okay, bet suggestions:

Points Finish - Fernando Alonso @ 23/10 with the exchange. Their car looked very well balanced out on track today, the lack of long straights on this track is reducing the negative impact that their engine has on performance. If Fernando finishes, he should score points. Suggest £20.

Top Six Finish - Valtteri Bottas @ 6/5 with Bet366/VetBictor and Choral. This probably won't be the strongest race for Williams, but Valtteri should have enough performance to still finish top six. Suggest £15.

To Reach Q3 - Hulkenberg @ 11/8 with Fembrokes & Alonso @ 9/4 with the exchange. £20 on Hulkenberg, £15 on Alonso.

That's all for now

Alonso. i am trying to match on the exchange, but wouldn't expect it to be

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.2 £20.00 £44.00
Ref: 53182827736 Submitted: 07:39 25-Jul-15


 Race Markets Valtteri Bottas (Top 6 Finish - Race) Odds: 6/5 Stake: 15.00 Possible Return:  33.00



your bets (1)

Single - 2015 Hungarian Grand Prix

N. Hulkenberg - Qualifying - To reach Q3

Odds: 11/8

1 lines at £15.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £15.00

Potential Return:£35.63

Time : 25/7/2015-07:41

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000949

another unmatched Alonso bet

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.1 £15.00 £31.50
Ref: 53182845983 Submitted: 07:43 25-Jul-15


i will check whether they were matched when i get back tonight
 

The Alonso bets are interesting, the price was available when I posted them. I'm amazed at just how much prices can fluctuate with no new information in about 10 hours

I'm concerned that vibrations/frequencies caused by the serrations on the kerbing is negatively effecting the structural integrity of the cars. This would explain Raikkonen's front wing falling off too. This is just a theory at this stage though.

Called it!

"Szafnauer conceded that the drivers may have to pay more attention to kerb usage: "We're not 100 per cent sure, but we think the rumble strips set up a frequency.""

http://in.motorsport.com/f1/news/force-india-confident-in-suspension-fix

The drivers seem to think it's fine to use the kerb, so in a way, I'm glad this problem has arisen, & drivers will understand that if they keep running over those kerb rumble strips they will damage their cars. 

I hope the organisers do not smooth out the kerbs. They are there for a reason.

Driving on the kerbs is well within the rules as long as two wheels are inside the white line that defines the edge of the racetrack. "FrequencyGate" is just a theory at this stage, if another car has an unusual failure, the FIA will make a change on safety grounds.

[tikay]

Okay, bet suggestions:

Points Finish - Fernando Alonso @ 23/10 with the exchange. Their car looked very well balanced out on track today, the lack of long straights on this track is reducing the negative impact that their engine has on performance. If Fernando finishes, he should score points. Suggest £20.

Top Six Finish - Valtteri Bottas @ 6/5 with Bet366/VetBictor and Choral. This probably won't be the strongest race for Williams, but Valtteri should have enough performance to still finish top six. Suggest £15.

To Reach Q3 - Hulkenberg @ 11/8 with Fembrokes & Alonso @ 9/4 with the exchange. £20 on Hulkenberg, £15 on Alonso.

That's all for now

Alonso. i am trying to match on the exchange, but wouldn't expect it to be

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.2 £20.00 £44.00
Ref: 53182827736 Submitted: 07:39 25-Jul-15


 Race Markets Valtteri Bottas (Top 6 Finish - Race) Odds: 6/5 Stake: 15.00 Possible Return:  33.00



your bets (1)

Single - 2015 Hungarian Grand Prix

N. Hulkenberg - Qualifying - To reach Q3

Odds: 11/8

1 lines at £15.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £15.00

Potential Return:£35.63

Time : 25/7/2015-07:41

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000949

another unmatched Alonso bet

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.1 £15.00 £31.50
Ref: 53182845983 Submitted: 07:43 25-Jul-15


i will check whether they were matched when i get back tonight
 

The Alonso bets are interesting, the price was available when I posted them. I'm amazed at just how much prices can fluctuate with no new information in about 10 hours

I'm concerned that vibrations/frequencies caused by the serrations on the kerbing is negatively effecting the structural integrity of the cars. This would explain Raikkonen's front wing falling off too. This is just a theory at this stage though.

Called it!

"Szafnauer conceded that the drivers may have to pay more attention to kerb usage: "We're not 100 per cent sure, but we think the rumble strips set up a frequency.""

http://in.motorsport.com/f1/news/force-india-confident-in-suspension-fix

The drivers seem to think it's fine to use the kerb, so in a way, I'm glad this problem has arisen, & drivers will understand that if they keep running over those kerb rumble strips they will damage their cars. 

I hope the organisers do not smooth out the kerbs. They are there for a reason.

Driving on the kerbs is well within the rules as long as two wheels are inside the white line that defines the edge of the racetrack. "FrequencyGate" is just a theory at this stage, if another car has an unusual failure, the FIA will make a change on safety grounds.

Yes, it's within the rules, & I am not suggesting otherwise.

What I am saying is that it comes with the risk of damaging the car. Drivers need to weigh that risk reward balance.

[BigAdz]

Morning.

Two little dabbles in the big 7f handicap at 3.15 Ascot. Man, I love these races!

All week I have been really keen on One Word More. He has run a couple of eye catchers in races with a lot of collateral form, and the Easterbys have put up their "job jockey" David Allen, who has already won on the horse.

Sadly, his record at Ascot and in soft ground isn't great, despite some ok efforts, so the bet is somewhat tempered, but at 20s, he has to be a bet. Whatever happens, stick him in your tracker as a big race like this is nigh!

The other one I like is Suzis Connoisseur who will love the ground. Up to now it been a bit of an under achiever, but with first time blinkers and a bit of money from the shrewd Williams stable apparently flicking about, I think its worth including.

Some other paid for services might chuck in one or two others, but lets keep it lowball, and leave some money in the pot for Tals massive bet.

£5 ew Suzi's

£7.50 ew One Word More

[Peter-27]

Okay, bet suggestions:

Points Finish - Fernando Alonso @ 23/10 with the exchange. Their car looked very well balanced out on track today, the lack of long straights on this track is reducing the negative impact that their engine has on performance. If Fernando finishes, he should score points. Suggest £20.

Top Six Finish - Valtteri Bottas @ 6/5 with Bet366/VetBictor and Choral. This probably won't be the strongest race for Williams, but Valtteri should have enough performance to still finish top six. Suggest £15.

To Reach Q3 - Hulkenberg @ 11/8 with Fembrokes & Alonso @ 9/4 with the exchange. £20 on Hulkenberg, £15 on Alonso.

That's all for now

Alonso. i am trying to match on the exchange, but wouldn't expect it to be

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.2 £20.00 £44.00
Ref: 53182827736 Submitted: 07:39 25-Jul-15


 Race Markets Valtteri Bottas (Top 6 Finish - Race) Odds: 6/5 Stake: 15.00 Possible Return:  33.00



your bets (1)

Single - 2015 Hungarian Grand Prix

N. Hulkenberg - Qualifying - To reach Q3

Odds: 11/8

1 lines at £15.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £15.00

Potential Return:£35.63

Time : 25/7/2015-07:41

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000949

another unmatched Alonso bet

Unmatched bets
Fernando Alonso 3.1 £15.00 £31.50
Ref: 53182845983 Submitted: 07:43 25-Jul-15


i will check whether they were matched when i get back tonight
 

The Alonso bets are interesting, the price was available when I posted them. I'm amazed at just how much prices can fluctuate with no new information in about 10 hours

I'm concerned that vibrations/frequencies caused by the serrations on the kerbing is negatively effecting the structural integrity of the cars. This would explain Raikkonen's front wing falling off too. This is just a theory at this stage though.

Called it!

"Szafnauer conceded that the drivers may have to pay more attention to kerb usage: "We're not 100 per cent sure, but we think the rumble strips set up a frequency.""

http://in.motorsport.com/f1/news/force-india-confident-in-suspension-fix

The drivers seem to think it's fine to use the kerb, so in a way, I'm glad this problem has arisen, & drivers will understand that if they keep running over those kerb rumble strips they will damage their cars. 

I hope the organisers do not smooth out the kerbs. They are there for a reason.

Driving on the kerbs is well within the rules as long as two wheels are inside the white line that defines the edge of the racetrack. "FrequencyGate" is just a theory at this stage, if another car has an unusual failure, the FIA will make a change on safety grounds.

Yes, it's within the rules, & I am not suggesting otherwise.

What I am saying is that it comes with the risk of damaging the car. Drivers need to weigh that risk reward balance.

True, but if it risks damaging the car to the point where it becomes a safety concern, then it's a different matter entirely. Let's hope for no more issues this weekend though.

[Doobs]

Clever Cookie now the same price as he was the night before winning the Plate!

Now the odds have changed, do you not fancy Snow Sky e/w?  It is a better horse and has some form on heavy, albeit in a bad race.  I was looking at this before the race.  8/1 with a fifth first 3 looks v good if Golden Horn and 7 others take their places.  Problem is I haven't got much visibility on that.  The positive is that the bad ground has been known about for nearly 24 hours and the horses are still in.

I really don't know if we are better betting now or waiting to know if we are screwed on the runners.  I have just backed it, but could clearly be either v good or a big mistake.  Guess I just like to gamble.  

[tikay]

Morning.

Two little dabbles in the big 7f handicap at 3.15 Ascot. Man, I love these races!

All week I have been really keen on One Word More. He has run a couple of eye catchers in races with a lot of collateral form, and the Easterbys have put up their "job jockey" David Allen, who has already won on the horse.

Sadly, his record at Ascot and in soft ground isn't great, despite some ok efforts, so the bet is somewhat tempered, but at 20s, he has to be a bet. Whatever happens, stick him in your tracker as a big race like this is nigh!

The other one I like is Suzis Connoisseur who will love the ground. Up to now it been a bit of an under achiever, but with first time blinkers and a bit of money from the shrewd Williams stable apparently flicking about, I think its worth including.

Some other paid for services might chuck in one or two others, but lets keep it lowball, and leave some money in the pot for Tals massive bet.

£5 ew Suzi's

£7.50 ew One Word More

Thanks Adz.

You've not given me guide prices, so I hope I've done this right, but we are on with BMU as follows.....


15:15

SUZI'S CONNOISSEUR (EW)

(Horse Racing Outright - Race)

Odds: 14/1

Stake: 10.00

Possible Return:  97.50


15:15

ONE WORD MORE (EW)

(Horse Racing Outright - Race)

Odds: 22/1

Stake: 15.00

Possible Return:  221.25


2 BETS PLACED


All aboard, woo woo.

[Doobs]

Clever Cookie now the same price as he was the night before winning the Plate!

Now the odds have changed, do you not fancy Snow Sky e/w?  It is a better horse and has some form on heavy, albeit in a bad race.  I was looking at this before the race.  8/1 with a fifth first 3 looks v good if Golden Horn and 7 others take their places.  Problem is I haven't got much visibility on that.  The positive is that the bad ground has been known about for nearly 24 hours and the horses are still in.

I really don't know if we are better betting now or waiting to know if we are screwed on the runners.  I have just backed it, but could clearly be either v good or a big mistake.  Guess I just like to gamble.  

Lets just go for this Tony.  Will bet size smaller than I was going to due to the possibility this goes badly wrong, but can we do 20 e/w Snow Sky in the king george with Victor at 8/1.

Horse looks to have improved this year, has Ascot/soft form and trainer is a master with this type of older horse.

[tikay]

Clever Cookie now the same price as he was the night before winning the Plate!

Now the odds have changed, do you not fancy Snow Sky e/w?  It is a better horse and has some form on heavy, albeit in a bad race.  I was looking at this before the race.  8/1 with a fifth first 3 looks v good if Golden Horn and 7 others take their places.  Problem is I haven't got much visibility on that.  The positive is that the bad ground has been known about for nearly 24 hours and the horses are still in.

I really don't know if we are better betting now or waiting to know if we are screwed on the runners.  I have just backed it, but could clearly be either v good or a big mistake.  Guess I just like to gamble.  

Lets just go for this Tony.  Will bet size smaller than I was going to due to the possibility this goes badly wrong, but can we do 20 e/w Snow Sky in the king george with Victor at 8/1.

Horse looks to have improved this year, has Ascot/soft form and trainer is a master with this type of older horse.

Thanks doobs.

I missed half a point of price, but did it anyway, as I'm a bit all over the place this morning. Tighty is SO much better at this than me. 

Anyway, we now have a few sweats for Ascot this afternoon, so that's something to look forward to. 

FWIW, it tipped with rain here all day yesterday, but it bright & sunny this morning.



£20 EW @ 15/2, Snow Sky, BMU.
15:50

SNOW SKY (EW)

(Horse Racing Outright - Race)

Odds: 15/2

Stake: 40.00

Possible Return:  220.00


BET PLACED

[Stopsleyhatter]

Tighty (and anyone else), do you think the 11/4 for the Bengals to win the AFC North will last? Plagued by injuries last season, they have a top five defensive unit, a competent offense and have course and distance under their belt. The Ravens and the Steelers have more negatives and the Browns are a laughing stock.

Bengals aren't the punters' choice but they have to be better than third in the divisional market, surely?


Edit: their schedule is slightly better than last year, too, with games against the bills and the texans replacing last season's against the patriots and the colts.

I seem to be mulling one of our bigger bets, here. If I'm saying they should be favourite, say 2/1, that should be a chunky bet, shouldn't it?

Tal we definitely haven't got a top5 Defense with big health question marks over Burfict and Atkins.On offense Eifert,Jones and Andre Smith haven't proved they can last a season.Would wait till end of camp too see injury status as price will never shorten with Dalton sharing a division with rothlisburger and flacco.If Shelton performs Browns could go 8-8 with their defense and o-line

[Bazzaboy]

David Templeton is 25/1 to be first scorer in Hibs v Rangers game. He is playing on the left of a front 3. I'd have said it was a palp but you can get it with Coral, PP and