Tips for Tikay

[sonour]

In the 1.00 Leic I bet King Kayf in an ew double taking Hills 11/1 early price. As it was 2.2 to place I knew it wouldn't be any bigger from the live show. So although I was getting ev on the place part the win odds were 20 on betfair.
Am I giving too much away on the win part Arb?
As a bit of a contradiction I was gonna bet the second fav ew at 9/4 as the place odds were 1.15 I the machine. Turned it down as the win was 3.7 on bf.
I really ought to look into this more as its the uncompetitive novice hurdle season.

Peejay,

Is 2.2 the decimal place odds at Betfair or the 1/5 odds place part of the 11/1 at the bookies ?

Is the question which is better  21.0 and 2.2 or 12.0 and 3.2 ?

[Tal]

I am surprised Jess is still such a strong fav tbh.  

Don't get me started! The voting system on Strictly is only marginally more absurd.

[TightEnd]

Over Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans Total Receiving Yds - Amari Cooper
20/21
Total Stake: £44.00
Potential Returns: £85.80


any more NFL ideas before 5pm please. after that i am set up with my multi-screens for the evening

[Tal]

Should really have said 42 given the odds. "What in blazes is he doing with this bet sizing?"

Apologies!

[Tal]

It's due to snow in Denver. Patriots' Head Coach, Bill Belichick is 12-0 in games when it has snowed.

This is why we love American sports. Someone always has a spreadsheet. 

[TightEnd]

It's due to snow in Denver. Patriots' Head Coach, Bill Belichick is 12-0 in games when it has snowed.

This is why we love American sports. Someone always has a spreadsheet. 

Do we like denver to beat the Pats as a +3 home dog?

brady has lost a lot of his offense (but not Gronk)
denver have a great defense front to back
manning injured and osweiler in makes the offense more of a balanced threat at this stage of manning's career
dodgy weather

very interesting game i think

[Tal]

It's due to snow in Denver. Patriots' Head Coach, Bill Belichick is 12-0 in games when it has snowed.

This is why we love American sports. Someone always has a spreadsheet. 

Do we like denver to beat the Pats as a +3 home dog?

brady has lost a lot of his offense (but not Gronk)
denver have a great defense front to back
manning injured and osweiler in makes the offense more of a balanced threat at this stage of manning's career
dodgy weather

very interesting game i think

I really do. Probably prefer taking the points at 10/11 because...well...it's Brady and Bill and they just get things done, but yes, I like Denver

[fatcatstu]

Chris Ivory line is set at 80.5 on a lot of sites, I know, he has been a bit all over the place, but Miami have one of the worst run defences I have ever seen, allowing huge yards to pretty much every team the have faced, including 166 yards to Ivory earlier in the season. Infact, they allow 133 yards a game on the floor, and not long ago, they gave both Buffalo RB's 100 yards.

Ivory SHOULD go past it, but then he has burned me a few times this year.

Thoughts?

[TightEnd]

Chris Ivory line is set at 80.5 on a lot of sites, I know, he has been a bit all over the place, but Miami have one of the worst run defences I have ever seen, allowing huge yards to pretty much every team the have faced, including 166 yards to Ivory earlier in the season. Infact, they allow 133 yards a game on the floor, and not long ago, they gave both Buffalo RB's 100 yards.

Ivory SHOULD go past it, but then he has burned me a few times this year.

Thoughts?

Should do on the match up but after his fast start to the season and his playing through that hamstring injury his numbers have slowed down a lot.

[fatcatstu]

Chris Ivory line is set at 80.5 on a lot of sites, I know, he has been a bit all over the place, but Miami have one of the worst run defences I have ever seen, allowing huge yards to pretty much every team the have faced, including 166 yards to Ivory earlier in the season. Infact, they allow 133 yards a game on the floor, and not long ago, they gave both Buffalo RB's 100 yards.

Ivory SHOULD go past it, but then he has burned me a few times this year.

Thoughts?

Should do on the match up but after his fast start to the season and his playing through that hamstring injury his numbers have slowed down a lot.

Yeah thats the worry. He hasnt appeared on any injury reports this week, and I do think that a couple of times, game flow has gone against him.

[HutchGF]

Can we go again on Mr Suljovic in the semis vs Lewis. He is available at 2/1+ (apologies, on mobile so no odds checker link) and is the form player this weekend in my opinion. I recommend £25 if we can get on.

[Ironside]

free money for arbboy

davis cup team of year at 1.03

think its a 1.000000001 shot unless andy murray fails a drugs test in the next month

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/team-of-the-year

[arbboy]

free money for arbboy

davis cup team of year at 1.03

think its a 1.000000001 shot unless andy murray fails a drugs test in the next month

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/team-of-the-year

No money left to buy free money with after Fury last night and all these odds on ew steals today.  Skint.  ty for the link though.  If i backed it Murray would probably fail multiple drug tests and be exposed in the Sun for a 10 girl orgy the night before the davis cup final with preg Kim sleeping soundly in the hotel room next door.  I can officially get anything beat.

[Peter-27]

So this is promising:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/constructors-championship

People ranking McLaren as 4th favourites for the title is stupid. Despite what the media, and teams are saying, due to restricted engine development, McLaren will be just as bad next season, if not completely last given that Manor have a Mercedes engine in 2016. This all means that there will be lots of value available on McLaren next season

[peejaytwo]

In the 1.00 Leic I bet King Kayf in an ew double taking Hills 11/1 early price. As it was 2.2 to place I knew it wouldn't be any bigger from the live show. So although I was getting ev on the place part the win odds were 20 on betfair.
Am I giving too much away on the win part Arb?
As a bit of a contradiction I was gonna bet the second fav ew at 9/4 as the place odds were 1.15 I the machine. Turned it down as the win was 3.7 on bf.
I really ought to look into this more as its the uncompetitive novice hurdle season.

Peejay,

Is 2.2 the decimal place odds at Betfair or the 1/5 odds place part of the 11/1 at the bookies ?

Is the question which is better  21.0 and 2.2 or 12.0 and 3.2 ?

Hi Sonour,
I was kinda thinking aloud, aware that 11/5 were great place odds on the KK bet, but as the win part was poor compared to betfair was the whole bet +ev if you like. I refused to bet the second fav in the same race (as a single) at 9/4, the place was trading at 1.15ish at the time, just cos the win part was 3.7 on the machine.
I'm just an ew punter and very rarely lay off any part of the bets I have but it's something worth looking at, esp as I suspect it's easy to have £100 ew at 9/4 yet impossible to get £100 on the prev mentioned 11/1 shot without visiting four shops.