Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

our man won in 36 minutes last night.

how did he look?

Click to see full-size image.

where is the best place to check game averages through the first round please? a quick google gives me lots of sites but not many too user friendly for a muggle

[Tal]

There are probably better ones but the Wikipedia site has them. Ando 96.16 last night.

[TightEnd]

There are probably better ones but the Wikipedia site has them. Ando 96.16 last night.

thanks, i hadn't gone to wiki but will here on

[Horneris]

where is the best place to check game averages through the first round please? a quick google gives me lots of sites but not many too user friendly for a muggle

http://live.dartsdata.com/

[AndrewT]

Any bets in the first round of the PDC people?

I like Ricky Evans to turn over Michael Smith on opening night. Smith has been in terrible form for a while now and he's there to be shot at. The Premier League campaign clearly came too early.

The game will be lightning fast as they are both very quick throwers and if Smith isn't playing well, he'll start to find it tough and is still prone to a sulk or two.

Evans hasn't quite pushed on from where he was, but has been handy enough on the floor to qualify.

Saw over 2/1 when I last looked... I think anything on or above that is possibly worth a speculative punt.

Smith has lost his last 11 matches (played a lot of dross in those 11 games). He has lost his last 8 matches on TV. Evans not great but probably won't have to be here.

This was unlucky - Evans was 2-1 up but then lost his touch on the doubles - he lost with an average of 93.2. Can't see anyone else losing a first round match with anything close to that.

He did throw a 180 in 2.16 seconds, which was pretty crazy to see - bangbangbang.

[Bazzaboy]

You can get 21/10 on Johnny Clayton hitting most 180s v Gerwyn Price which is far too big. Price averages one every 4.7 legs on TV and euro tour events this year. Clayton one every 3.9 legs. Price had some outliers earlier in the year  which if taken out put him at one every 3.7 legs. Sample size smaller on Clayton as he hasn't played much on TV but from what's i've seen is a very handy scorer and this should be closer to a flip.

[TightEnd]

Jonny Clayton Price v Clayton Most 180s
21/10
Total Stake: £40.00
Potential Returns: £124.00

coral

[Doobs]

William Hill are donating all the money bet with them on the Jo Cox single to be Christmas number 1 to the Jo Cox foundation.  They have ducked virtually all the other bookies in offering evens.

Still feels like a no lose bet. 

[TightEnd]

The SCD final is 100% public vote. 6.40pm tomorrow

3 dances each. 1 is judges choice, 1 a showdance

on the you gov polling Louise R has been the most popular since week 7

Click to see full-size image.

last week her main rival Daniel M was in the bottom 2 which indicated a lower public vote than the others remaining, as he was in the top 2 of judges scores (bottom 2 dance off with 50% weight judges score 50% weight public)

Click to see full-size image.

the data behind the poll indicates there is not much in it

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/oz5s9yn7f2/YouGov%20-%20Strictly%20Come%20Dancing%20final%20-%20voting%20intentions%20-%2016%2012%2016.pdf

without over-emphasising it, there is a history of the best dancer in the series getting gubbed by the most popular come final time.

should we be taking some of the 15/8 for value?

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/strictly-come-dancing/winner

[Tal]

There is another factor at play, albeit only a modest one: Jay won last year through something of a hysterical following. This meant Kellie Bright, who scored 119 out of 120 with the judges in the final (including a truly stupendous jitterbug), could only get second.

Not bitter or owt.

Only anecdotally, but the strictly watchers I have spoken to over the last few weeks often say how unlucky she was to lose. Could this lead to a belated vote for Kevin, who now dances with Louise?

Against that, the Clifton antirailers only have one candidate to vote for out of the three, and he happens to be the jolly.

Danny might get done over by Oti's high variance choreography, where she is competing with the best two choreographers in the completion in the Cliftons. 

I'll declare now I have backed Louise to win.

[Doobs]

There is another factor at play, albeit only a modest one: Jay won last year through something of a hysterical following. This meant Kellie Bright, who scored 119 out of 120 with the judges in the final (including a truly stupendous jitterbug), could only get second.

Not bitter or owt.

Only anecdotally, but the strictly watchers I have spoken to over the last few weeks often say how unlucky she was to lose. Could this lead to a belated vote for Kevin, who now dances with Louise?

Against that, the Clifton antirailers only have one candidate to vote for out of the three, and he happens to be the jolly.

Danny might get done over by Oti's high variance choreography, where she is competing with the best two choreographers in the completion in the Cliftons. 

I'll declare now I have backed Louise to win.

Louise was poor last week though?  Nobody is going to vote for Kevin because Kellie lost last year.  I don't think she was popular enough, and he has more than his share of haters.

The poll says Danny is ahead, so not sure why the graphic hasn't caught up.  Danny 23, Louise 22, Ore 19 rest undecided. 

Danny is the best dancer, Ore has the journey.  Louise is the uncomfortable middle? 

Am on Ore long term.  Think he must be the value if any.  Not backing anyone new right now.

[Doobs]

Think the long walk tomorrow is a good race for quarter 123 with 365. 

Alex De Larredya at 6/1 and Un Temps Pour Tout at 16/1 both beat betfair on the win, so e/w should be good. 

[Tal]

Louise had two difficult dances last week. Also had to do a tango to a modern song. Luck of the draw.

[DMorgan]

The darts bet on the highest match average to be below 107.5 made it through day 2

Gary Anderson averaged 96.16 yesterday and Peter Wright averaged 101.06 tonight

Nobody that you'd expect to get near is playing tomorrow afternoon but the biggest hurdle comes in the last match of the evening session where MVG will play a qualifier

[TightEnd]

I was surprised to see Clayton could beat Price 3-1 scoring only one 180. How unusual is something like that?