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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 5243278 times)
Horneris
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« Reply #131640 on: January 11, 2018, 11:14:02 AM »

Cheers Bergeroo, I would second those 2 picks.
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« Reply #131641 on: January 11, 2018, 11:35:41 AM »


Think our NBA coup came unstuck last night;

Dallas 115 - Charlotte 111


No complaints though - these are the spots we should be betting I guess.

Yes we went 9-0 early doors and a mate who can get anything beat piped up and said 'that's the hcap more than covered already'

Any time your team misses 15 free throws and the other team makes 15 3 pointers and only turns the ball over 8 times (average is closer to 15) you are going to struggle to win any NBA game no matter how tired the opposition are and how well rested you are.

http://www.espn.co.uk/nba/boxscore?gameId=400975349
« Last Edit: January 11, 2018, 12:03:23 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #131642 on: January 11, 2018, 11:48:42 AM »

Ok reduced amount and reduced places we can use these days

I am not around much at the moment so difficult to get much of a balanced book on for the thread across a range of bets too

No worries more for everyone else than fred actually getting the dough down nowadays.  I understand that.  Things have moved on.

bf sb still out of line on all three markets.  Money line, hcap and over 208 total.  The total over is a bet at their price as well.  If you are lucky enough to get on

Anyone who got the over 208 won that wager.
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« Reply #131643 on: January 11, 2018, 11:54:44 AM »

Australian Open Draw just taken place. In the ladies Svitolina and Wozniacki have great draws in the bottom half and a bet on either can't be bad. Top half is stacked, so taking a each way flier on someone in the bottom half seems optimal for people that like a tennis banzai - just going through the draw now.

In the mens Nadal has to be happy with the draw, but I can't really trust his fitness to back him.


Ostapenko, in the bottom half, at 40/1 looks a big price on Choral. Seems she’s got a new coach to focus some work on her service. She certainly seems to have the mental strength, so it just remains to be seen if she can reduce the unforced errors.
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« Reply #131644 on: January 11, 2018, 02:15:59 PM »

Australian Open Draw just taken place. In the ladies Svitolina and Wozniacki have great draws in the bottom half and a bet on either can't be bad. Top half is stacked, so taking a each way flier on someone in the bottom half seems optimal for people that like a tennis banzai - just going through the draw now.

In the mens Nadal has to be happy with the draw, but I can't really trust his fitness to back him.


Ostapenko, in the bottom half, at 40/1 looks a big price on Choral. Seems she’s got a new coach to focus some work on her service. She certainly seems to have the mental strength, so it just remains to be seen if she can reduce the unforced errors.

She has lost her first two matches this season but I didn't see either of them. So I can't really bet it, but good luck to you. She does have a nice draw if she can get some form going.
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« Reply #131645 on: January 11, 2018, 07:28:00 PM »

Lincoln v Poshies in the Checkatrade Tinpot quarter-final.

Away at L2 hoofers. Could have been worse.
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Horneris
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« Reply #131646 on: January 12, 2018, 11:15:32 AM »

Aussie Open Tennis

I've backed Svitolina & Wozniacki for the womens. Svitolina E/W @ 10/1 and Wozniacki @ 13.5 on betfair (still available) to trade.

The draw makes these must bets really. I was mightily impressed with Woz in the WTA tour finals at the end of last year. She was destroying the top 8 players in the world and she looked so focused and like she'd added more power to her game and her serve. But then despite making the final in Auckland last week (she beat two unknowns in the QF & SFs), she was quite poor in every game and never looked like winning against Goerges in the final. So there are reservations in terms of how she has wintered but I think that is factored into the price, as she'd be more like 7, 8/1 with that draw on her tour finals form.

In the mens there don't look to be too many outright angles. If I was looking to back two as trade prospects I'd take fliers on Kyrgios and Zverev, both at around the 20.0 mark. One of these years the younger guard have to start taking over and these are the 2 with the most upside currently in terms of winning a slam. Hopefully Kyrgios has turned a corner recently and whilst Zverev has been quiet at the start of this season, perhaps he has been resting up, and he certainly has the game to beat anyone over 3 sets. They are both doubts to do it over 2 weeks in best out of 5 matches but they have to start somewhere and with Nadal and Djokovic still carrying knocks, Murray out and Federer about to celebrate his 50th birthday, maybe it will be now. But probably not.

The 2nd Quarter is the weakest and Sock @ 20/1 and Rublev @ 80/1 both look value with bfsb/pp to win that Qtr. But nothing mind blowing.
« Last Edit: January 12, 2018, 11:18:22 AM by Horneris » Logged

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« Reply #131647 on: January 12, 2018, 02:30:31 PM »

I friend of mine watches Sheff Utd at every home game.

He says their style of play means they get a lot of corners.

Its the United v Wednesday game tonight.

I've checked the stats.

United average 7.46 corners per home game this season (one of the highest in the league)

Wednesday average 4.77 corners per away game this season.

So average is 12.23 corners per game in games involving these 2 teams.

Over 10 corners is available at around evens.

Statistically, that looks value, do you agree its a bet?

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kukushkin88
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« Reply #131648 on: January 12, 2018, 02:58:21 PM »

I friend of mine watches Sheff Utd at every home game.

He says their style of play means they get a lot of corners.

Its the United v Wednesday game tonight.

I've checked the stats.

United average 7.46 corners per home game this season (one of the highest in the league)

Wednesday average 4.77 corners per away game this season.

So average is 12.23 corners per game in games involving these 2 teams.

Over 10 corners is available at around evens.

Statistically, that looks value, do you agree its a bet?



Looks OK to me. I know it contradicts the initial premise but 4/1 Sheff Wed most corners looks OK too.
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tikay
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« Reply #131649 on: January 13, 2018, 07:16:06 AM »


I was reading Tighty's weekly opinion piece this morning in BE & was reminded that Cleveland Browns were 0-16 this season.

I was 99% certain Fred had placed a bet for a team to go through the season winless, but I can't see it on the Spready.

Think the bet (or the bet I imagined) may have been put up by Tal Bloke.

Yes, no?
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« Reply #131650 on: January 13, 2018, 08:20:35 AM »


I was reading Tighty's weekly opinion piece this morning in BE & was reminded that Cleveland Browns were 0-16 this season.

I was 99% certain Fred had placed a bet for a team to go through the season winless, but I can't see it on the Spready.

Think the bet (or the bet I imagined) may have been put up by Tal Bloke.

Yes, no?

Not me. I put the Browns up to finish 3rd in their division. Ahem...

I think Cavey might have suggested it, as I recall him considering a bet on the New York Jets scoring fewer points than the Baltimore kicker, Justin Tucker. If so, wrong team, right result.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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« Reply #131651 on: January 13, 2018, 08:51:02 AM »


I was reading Tighty's weekly opinion piece this morning in BE & was reminded that Cleveland Browns were 0-16 this season.

I was 99% certain Fred had placed a bet for a team to go through the season winless, but I can't see it on the Spready.

Think the bet (or the bet I imagined) may have been put up by Tal Bloke.

Yes, no?

Not me. I put the Browns up to finish 3rd in their division. Ahem...

I think Cavey might have suggested it, as I recall him considering a bet on the New York Jets scoring fewer points than the Baltimore kicker, Justin Tucker. If so, wrong team, right result.

Yes, somewhat optimistic.

Think Tighty wrote that the Browns have lost 31 of the last 32? If so, blimey.
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« Reply #131652 on: January 13, 2018, 08:59:56 AM »


I was reading Tighty's weekly opinion piece this morning in BE & was reminded that Cleveland Browns were 0-16 this season.

I was 99% certain Fred had placed a bet for a team to go through the season winless, but I can't see it on the Spready.

Think the bet (or the bet I imagined) may have been put up by Tal Bloke.

Yes, no?

Not me. I put the Browns up to finish 3rd in their division. Ahem...

I think Cavey might have suggested it, as I recall him considering a bet on the New York Jets scoring fewer points than the Baltimore kicker, Justin Tucker. If so, wrong team, right result.

Yes, somewhat optimistic.

Think Tighty wrote that the Browns have lost 31 of the last 32? If so, blimey.

On paper, their squad should be good enough for 5 wins. Trouble is there aren't 32 good head coaches in the NFL.
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« Reply #131653 on: January 13, 2018, 09:09:52 AM »

I put a team up to win 0-16 at 14-1. Wrong team,right result
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« Reply #131654 on: January 13, 2018, 09:26:30 AM »

I put a team up to win 0-16 at 14-1. Wrong team,right result

Whoops! Sorry, Tighty.

Well done.
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