Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit

[outragous76]

I am gonna update the Nit spreadsheet with the latest methods.

should change your name to meredonk imo

[millidonk]

I am gonna update the Nit spreadsheet with the latest methods.

should change your name to meredonk imo

haha. not bad for you that fella.

[superwomble]

This is TUFF - Tenner Under 5.5. The aim is to turn a tenner into a ton, rinse and repeat. Depending on how nitty/brave you are you could go on further or cash out earlier of course, but ten to ton is my plan.

Could you pick 5/6/7/8/9 (again, the number you go for will depend on your nittiness/bravery!) games from a league schedule which will have fewer than 5.5 goals? I have been looking at the stats for the past few weeks for the 4 top divisons in England.

On 12th Jan there were 39 games. 39 had under 5.5 goals.

On 19th Jan there were 21 games. 21 had under 5.5 goals.

On 26th Jan there were 19 games. 19 had under 5.5 goals.

On 2nd Feb there were 29 games. 28 had under 5.5 goals.

On 9th Feb there were 41 games. 41 had under 5.5 goals.

On 12th Feb there were 15 games. 15 games had under 5.5 goals.

On 16th Feb there were 20 games. 20 games had under 5.5 goals.

On 19th Feb there were 14 games. 13 games had under 5.5 goals.

On 23rd Feb there were 39 games. 36 games had under 5.5 goals.

On 27th Feb there were 25 games. 25 games had under 5.5 goals.

My checking has found the Under 5.5 goals market to be priced up at about 1.04.

A 5 match accumulator will give odds of 1.23, 6 matches 1.28, 7 matches 1.32, 8 matches 1.36, 9 matches 1.4.

A run of 10 bets would turn your £10 into:

5 matches £79.26 6 matches £118.06 7 matches £160.60 8 matches £216.47 9 matches £289.25

My nitty plan is to go for 6 match accumulators, and also to withdraw £10 after the 8th bet a) just in case, and b) so I go ten to ton in ten bets.

Thoughts?

[millidonk]

Holy shit, nominating that as longest phone post of the year!

This has taken nittiness to the next level!!

I think x10 6 team accas is going to be an ask whatever the odds are, but like anything it can be done. 10 weeks is a long time to wait for a return though, probably prefer x15 selections over 5 weeks.

Will be railing with interest though. GLGLGL

[DonkBets]

TUFF looks like its worth a shot, will join you and have a go at it tonight womble, ty.

GL

[millidonk]

Spready is updated. It's in mine and Womble's link but for anyone who haven't seen it, here you go: http://sdrv.ms/RDOMxQ

God its sexy. We should probably copyright some of them. Although I'm convinced some of them have already been nicked.

[DonkBets]

Spready is updated. It's in mine and Womble's link but for anyone who haven't seen it, here you go: http://sdrv.ms/RDOMxQ

God its sexy. We should probably copyright some of them. Although I'm convinced some of them have already been nicked.

N1 sir, now I know what all the abbreviations mean haha

[outragous76]

Chaps

Nice nitty Darts bet for you - full explanation is on TfT

This is a WOTN bet

Wade vs Taylor  - wade average OVERS 94.5  (5/6 best odds)

[Graham C]

I'm guessing there's a reason for the odds, but in the Land of Rigged Games, Serie B, 3rd spot Verona are away to 3rd from bottom Bari and are 7/5. In the last three meetings between them, Verona have won them all.

Also got a Swiss cup double of Zurich and Basel both to win their ties.

Added Chelsea -1, -1.5 at 1.9 for £6. 

[Graham C]

Where can you get these bets on Womble?  I don't think Betfair will let you multiple up U6.5 goal bets and I've not seen them go up that high elsewhere.

[redsimon]

WOTN

Bank £90

£10 Boro +2 vs Chelsea 4/6 = £16.67 return.

[typhoon13]

Step 2

£15 Bayern and Ajax 2.42

[millidonk]

According to the spready a traditional FSTG Step 4 is £80 @evs, I have £96.43 in the fund, so am withdrawing £15

FSTG Step 4 £81.43 on Austria Wien @11/10.

FHTG - PSG, Rapid Vienna, Chelsea, St Johnstone pays £948

gl all.

[DonkBets]

Where can you get these bets on Womble?  I don't think Betfair will let you multiple up U6.5 goal bets and I've not seen them go up that high elsewhere.

Bet365 is the only site ive found that seem to do it for all the games

[superwomble]

Where can you get these bets on Womble?  I don't think Betfair will let you multiple up U6.5 goal bets and I've not seen them go up that high elsewhere.

Bet365 is the only site ive found that seem to do it for all the games

It's U5.5 silo so that might be the reason you're only on seeing yours Betfair? While I've been looking into it I've seen it on Bet365, WH, Lads and a couple of others I can't recall now.