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Marky147
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« Reply #225 on: September 29, 2013, 11:41:12 PM » |
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Are Denver even real?
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Tal
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« Reply #226 on: September 29, 2013, 11:42:57 PM » |
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Red, is this because punters will just plough against them, forcing the bookies' lines too far?
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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rinswun
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« Reply #227 on: September 29, 2013, 11:47:12 PM » |
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Remind me not to bet against Peyton again. Just looks like he is playing a different game to everyone else and his offensive line is incredible.
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Marky147
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« Reply #228 on: September 29, 2013, 11:49:08 PM » |
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Remind me not to bet against Peyton again. Just looks like he is playing a different game to everyone else and his offensive line is incredible.
Ain't that the truth... |
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redarmi
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« Reply #229 on: September 29, 2013, 11:53:08 PM » |
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Red, is this because punters will just plough against them, forcing the bookies' lines too far?
Yeah. With all due respect to you and The Sicillian you probably represent the view of the betting public. There is literally nobody that is going to back the Jaguars so they will have to offer a ridiculously high line to get any action and it will probably only come from the sharps. The average man on the street wouldn't back Jax getting a hundred points. Even the other guys in the office are laughing at me for betting them every week. I can handle it but your average guy in the street isn't going to take that punishment every week. End of the day this is the NFL and they will be getting double digits week in week out. Of course I might be wrong but I would like my side. To make money betting the NFL you have to hold your nose when you are placing your bets a lot. Fwiw I would take the opposite side of the bet against Denver too for pretty much the same reasons. |
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Marky147
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« Reply #230 on: September 29, 2013, 11:56:14 PM » |
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I'm definitely the betting public, the slightly backwards part too!
Is it possible that Paddy will start laying me normal sized bets if I keep getting the 2nd TD scorer?
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Tal
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« Reply #231 on: September 30, 2013, 12:06:44 AM » |
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Red, is this because punters will just plough against them, forcing the bookies' lines too far?
Yeah. With all due respect to you and The Sicillian you probably represent the view of the betting public. There is literally nobody that is going to back the Jaguars so they will have to offer a ridiculously high line to get any action and it will probably only come from the sharps. The average man on the street wouldn't back Jax getting a hundred points. Even the other guys in the office are laughing at me for betting them every week. I can handle it but your average guy in the street isn't going to take that punishment every week. End of the day this is the NFL and they will be getting double digits week in week out. Of course I might be wrong but I would like my side. To make money betting the NFL you have to hold your nose when you are placing your bets a lot. Fwiw I would take the opposite side of the bet against Denver too for pretty much the same reasons. Nicely refreshing to be on the side of the majority for once, even if it isn't for a good reason.  Would you be generous enough to put it into context, please? St Louis next. Where would you think the line a) Will open at b) Will be at kick off c) Should be at, if not influenced by money? |
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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the sicilian
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« Reply #232 on: September 30, 2013, 12:09:30 AM » |
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tbf.... the bookies will adjust and get it right.... may take them one more week.. but 8 points v indy today with that balanced O now and luck? with no offense at all and Gabbert back in.... was a max for me...
also people keep saying indy overated but I backed them hard pre season and with the addition of Richardson and if they can get bradshaw back for a 1-2 punch..they are going be a decent force
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Just because you don't like it...... It doesn't mean it's not the truth
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Tal
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« Reply #233 on: September 30, 2013, 12:14:02 AM » |
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Joking aside, in two weeks' time, Jacksonville travel to Mile High.
+29.5?
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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Marky147
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« Reply #234 on: September 30, 2013, 12:15:15 AM » |
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tbf.... the bookies will adjust and get it right.... may take them one more week.. but 8 points v indy today with that balanced O now and luck? with no offense at all and Gabbert back in.... was a max for me...
also people keep saying indy overated but I backed them hard pre season and with the addition of Richardson and if they can get bradshaw back for a 1-2 punch..they are going be a decent force
Colts and Chiefs will be paying for that new gaff I saw on Facebook |
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redarmi
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« Reply #235 on: September 30, 2013, 12:25:17 AM » |
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We just opened the line for next week St Louis -12....it got bet up straigyt away. We were talking about the Denver game and our consensus was -27.5 maybe -28
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the sicilian
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« Reply #236 on: September 30, 2013, 12:25:40 AM » |
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tbf.... the bookies will adjust and get it right.... may take them one more week.. but 8 points v indy today with that balanced O now and luck? with no offense at all and Gabbert back in.... was a max for me...
also people keep saying indy overated but I backed them hard pre season and with the addition of Richardson and if they can get bradshaw back for a 1-2 punch..they are going be a decent force
Colts and Chiefs will be paying for that new gaff I saw on Facebook lol if one of those goes all the way it gets an extension  |
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Just because you don't like it...... It doesn't mean it's not the truth
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redarmi
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« Reply #237 on: September 30, 2013, 12:27:14 AM » |
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Nicely refreshing to be on the side of the majority for once, even if it isn't for a good reason. Would you be generous enough to put it into context, please? St Louis next. Where would you think the line a) Will open at b) Will be at kick off c) Should be at, if not influenced by money? Sorry in turn a) we opened -12 b) I guess about -13.5 c) maybe -10.5....St Louis arent exactly a public team...... |
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the sicilian
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« Reply #238 on: September 30, 2013, 12:28:13 AM » |
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We just opened the line for next week St Louis -12....it got bet up straigyt away. We were talking about the Denver game and our consensus was -27.5 maybe -28
must be one of the biggest lines you quoted?.... must be incredibly rare for an nfl team to be that much of a dog... hard to believe they are worse than last year |
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Just because you don't like it...... It doesn't mean it's not the truth
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the sicilian
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« Reply #239 on: September 30, 2013, 12:31:10 AM » |
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Also..on todays showing against the skins pourous secondary and their result v Jacksonville..makes me evaluate raiders O even further down.even with Pryor out
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Just because you don't like it...... It doesn't mean it's not the truth
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