Long term 2013-14 football market bets: Your tips please

[DungBeetle]

yes - think the 5-1 to go up is a cracking bet.

[TightEnd]

Surprised the 14-1 is still there for Watford to win league, given that news is starting to be finalised

http://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/sport/watfordfc/watfordfcnews/10519533.Udinese_trio_to_move_to_Watford__says_Pozzo/?ref=rss

That 5/1 to get promoted with BetVictor has got to be better value though? 

I think that, and Reading, are two bets for TfT really Mr Dung, Mr Doobs

[DungBeetle]

Yep - think so.  I'll do a write up for TfT this afternoon when I've got more time.

[Doobs]

I think the bet is worthy of TfT too.  I have taken both the 14s and , but would have just taken the if I saw it first. 

[DungBeetle]

Sorry Doob - hope I didn't misled you - I just use the outright price to check price movements.

[Doobs]

Sorry Doob - hope I didn't misled you - I just use the outright price to check price movements.

You didn't mislead me, both prices look good, thanks for the info.

[DungBeetle]

Watford have also just signed Lewis McGugan from Forest

http://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/sport/10521128.Watford_set_to_sign_McGugan/

[FUN4FRASER]

Southampton to be relegated from the Premier League next season

They fit the profile for a team to go back down and @ 10-1 with sporting odds Im sure we will get a decent sweat

How much youre allowed on is another thing as they are stand out price

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation

[TheDazzler]

Southampton to be relegated from the Premier League next season

They fit the profile for a team to go back down and @ 10-1 with sporting odds Im sure we will get a decent sweat

How much youre allowed on is another thing as they are stand out price

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation

10/1 looks decent alright, I might have them in the 7/1 bracket with Swansea + West Brom. There is not a lot between the 10 teams or so in the bottom half but I think I might wait until transfers in/out are concluded so we can get a better guage of where teams are at. At the moment I might personally prefer West Brom @ 8/1.

[aaron1867]

+1 to the Southampton bet, going to throw a small amount on myself

At what price would you consider to be backing Yeovil for the drop though..? They have gone from 4/5 to EVS lately and they do seem to be the odd one out on the league. They also have the FFP to think about too

[FUN4FRASER]

Im not really that up on the Yeovil squad but I do know that in the championship historically everybody can beat everybody on their day.

On that basis theres no way I would want to take evens about any team  in a league thats so competitive as quite often there can be big price teams both promoted and relegated.  Last year for example Wolves were at least 25 -1 to be relegated so I would be looking for some value maybe with a club in a change or turmoil etc.

Quite like your fancy of Bournemouth  @ 12s 
Erratic Ipswich @ 16s
and maybe a little touch on managerless Brighton @ 25s

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/relegation

[Ant040689]

Looking at the Premier League, as it stands, I think you can look no further than Crystal Palace to maintain that Europa League spot.

[anthonyl]

Im not really that up on the Yeovil squad but I do know that in the championship historically everybody can beat everybody on their day.

On that basis theres no way I would want to take evens about any team  in a league thats so competitive as quite often there can be big price teams both promoted and relegated.  Last year for example Wolves were at least 25 -1 to be relegated so I would be looking for some value maybe with a club in a change or turmoil etc.

Quite like your fancy of Bournemouth  @ 12s 
Erratic Ipswich @ 16s
and maybe a little touch on managerless Brighton @ 25s

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/relegation

Manager less Brighton? We appointed someone a week ago. Head coach and all his flair back room staff with 15 years experience at Valencia.

Keep up.

Signed Upson now who turned us into the best defence in the league.

[DungBeetle]

Why are Bournemouth 12-1 to go down?  Don't get why they are so big when Donnie are around evens?  They seemed fairly level matched last year?

[FUN4FRASER]

Im not really that up on the Yeovil squad but I do know that in the championship historically everybody can beat everybody on their day.

On that basis theres no way I would want to take evens about any team  in a league thats so competitive as quite often there can be big price teams both promoted and relegated.  Last year for example Wolves were at least 25 -1 to be relegated so I would be looking for some value maybe with a club in a change or turmoil etc.

Quite like your fancy of Bournemouth  @ 12s 
Erratic Ipswich @ 16s
and maybe a little touch on managerless Brighton @ 25s

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/relegation

Manager less Brighton? We appointed someone a week ago. Head coach and all his flair back room staff with 15 years experience at Valencia.

Keep up.

Signed Upson now who turned us into the best defence in the league.

I didn't realise they had appointed a new management team but then again its quite difficult to keep up with every team plus all the other sports.

What I try to do is to look at things from a betting perspective than with an emotional attachment like you do with the club you support .

There sometimes comes a point when its worth betting something purely on the price or the value it represents .

There are a lot of examples where new faces come in they can take a lot of time to settle and in the meantime results get seriously affected sometimes with bad consequences . For example the new manager  and team may not settle and like the Brighton way of life etc .

The secret to getting value and decent odds winners is by second guessing or working out these potential situations  ,getting your bets on and beating the book

Have Yeovil got a chance to be relegated at Evens ? of course they have ! but Id be much rather be seeking bigger odds and backing Bournemouth or Brighton @12s and 25s respectively  as they tick more of the value boxes.

No doubt other people will have their idea of relegation candidates but Im positive there will be nobody rushing to back a team at Evens to be relegated from what is a very competitive league