Hand analysis : PRE AND POST FLOP PLAY, step by step

[mikkyT]

This is more for my benefit than anything else to see why I made this play and could/should I have done anything different. I think I've given enough information as to how this short stacked geezer is playing. But I haven't seen many showdowns with him either, he has a wide range of starting hands, mostly big face cards from the hands I've seen. Theres a hell of a lot I haven't seen and hes also been all over my blinds.

Faced with his all-in bet of 8450, I have no room to fire bullets. I believe him to be firing the last bullet in his arsenal. However, A10 K10 Q10 are possible hands for him to be playing with here. Although, I don't believe him to hold any of them. I believe this is a scare bet to chase me away. If indeed he had the ten, I think he would be checking in the hope I put him all-in. If he believes I'm on the flush draw, its a good play to make.

[Newmanseye]

must call, you have outs

[mikkyT]

Okay, next and final move I make, well not really a move simply an action, is thus:

YOU: calls 8450

I do indeed have outs. Part of me wants to believe I am ahead. My brain says I am ahead and also says I'm commited to the pot now with top pair and 9 club outs. But the other part of me, who I have tended to listen to a hell of a lot in previous live games last year at Cincins, says fold. The tournament survival over tournament winning thing. Call here and he beats me, I become the cripple. But call here and I win, it's three handed and we are in the money. This is the one moment in the whole game where I could have broken into a sweat (but I didnt) and the heart started racing (it did). Everything else was pretty much ABC.

[Newmanseye]

he turns over a bigger flush draw and missed on the river

[mikkyT]

Not even close

----- RIVER ----- [ ][]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
Seat 2: shows [ ] (High Card King)
YOU: shows [ ] (A Pair of Tens, Eight high)
YOU collect 26700 from Main pot

[thetank]

its very hard to give an opinion on the very limited info, if ur not at the table playing and havent seen wots been happening u cant give a good opinion on the correct play! hes done everything u wanted him to do, its a clear call with the hand that u have.

I agree too, that's 19% now

[mikkyT]

19%?

[mystery721]

ill get u up over 25% yet tank, ull see, altho it could go back down once u read my new post tomorow

[Newmanseye]

nice 1 mate, well played, when is the event in france?

[thetank]

Private joke,

I said on athother thread that I agreed with 13% of what mystery721 had posted.

Now it's up to 19%.

ill get u up over 255 yet tank, ull see

Such is your disdain for full stops you don't even seem to like it's cousin, the decimal point.

Is that 25.5%? If so, wahey I'm looking forward to it  

[thetank]

Do you need a passport to get into france?

[mystery721]

tank that second 5 was meant to be %

[mikkyT]

7th - 11th Feb.

My birthday is the 10th.

it all fits! Its an omen. Me and Mr Burns on the final table. He will raise my small blind all in with J8 and my QQ will hold up.

Balls, I need photo ID. Damn.

[thetank]

tank that second 5 was meant to be %

I thought as much. It seemed like such a marvellous oppurtunity to take the piss though, I couldn't pass it up.

[Newmanseye]

If you need a passport get yer arse in to the passport office asap, It will cost you about £100 but it will get you there