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Poll
Question: How will you vote on December 12th 2019
Conservative - 19 (33.9%)
Labour - 12 (21.4%)
SNP - 2 (3.6%)
Lib Dem - 8 (14.3%)
Brexit - 1 (1.8%)
Green - 6 (10.7%)
Other - 2 (3.6%)
Spoil - 0 (0%)
Not voting - 6 (10.7%)
Total Voters: 55

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Author Topic: The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged  (Read 2180887 times)
AndrewT
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« Reply #22065 on: November 18, 2019, 08:59:05 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.
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« Reply #22066 on: November 18, 2019, 09:04:28 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #22067 on: November 18, 2019, 09:07:54 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.
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AndrewT
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« Reply #22068 on: November 18, 2019, 09:32:39 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.

But it would also have had a load of those who were students in 2017 have graduated and moved away
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« Reply #22069 on: November 18, 2019, 10:57:14 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.

But it would also have had a load of those who were students in 2017 have graduated and moved away

Lib Dem’s are throwing the kitchen sink at Sheffield Hallam.

Think I’ve had 4 or 5 letters or leaflets from them in last few weeks.

1/3 looks like the sort of short price value Arbboy used to talk about.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #22070 on: November 18, 2019, 11:15:05 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.

But it would also have had a load of those who were students in 2017 have graduated and moved away

Lib Dem’s are throwing the kitchen sink at Sheffield Hallam.

Think I’ve had 4 or 5 letters or leaflets from them in last few weeks.

1/3 looks like the sort of short price value Arbboy used to talk about.


The problem in predicting this seat is that voters come and go. That constituency has a high percentage of voters and students who choose to stay there.

I do wonder how many prior will go to the polls and wonder where their vote is best placed? Regardless, 2017 we still a Brexit election & Labour won that and the LD’s was still anti-Brexit

I think it all depends on the disgraced JOM and his people perceive that
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« Reply #22071 on: November 19, 2019, 11:13:32 AM »


Twitter at it's best.

"If they had kids".




 Click to see full-size image.



 Click to see full-size image.






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« Reply #22072 on: November 19, 2019, 12:14:25 PM »

 
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Marky147
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« Reply #22073 on: November 19, 2019, 01:16:13 PM »

Superb Grin
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« Reply #22074 on: November 19, 2019, 01:20:49 PM »


Twitter at it's best.

"If they had kids".






I believe with Mr Johnson it's just prudent to assume he does have...
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« Reply #22075 on: November 19, 2019, 01:32:49 PM »

The hashtag #arronbanksleaks might prove to be a bit of a  follow over the next few hours/days based on the first few snippets out there.
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« Reply #22076 on: November 19, 2019, 02:41:36 PM »

The replies to these two tweets suggest that there isn't going to be a great deal of sympathy offered.

https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/1196748617312358400

https://twitter.com/andywigmore/status/1196778106012553216

It also looks like there are fake 'extracts' circulating about this too, so be wary before assuming anything is genuine.  So far, I've seen one exchange purporting to be with Dominic Raab, which has been identified as a fake (and in fairness, did seem to be 'too perfect').
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« Reply #22077 on: November 19, 2019, 05:44:06 PM »

What’s the possibility of a remain government if Labour had joined the remain alliance?
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« Reply #22078 on: November 19, 2019, 06:02:20 PM »

The hashtag #arronbanksleaks might prove to be a bit of a  follow over the next few hours/days based on the first few snippets out there.

The Elliot Anderson account has access to the leak and is a trustable source.

Well worh a follow, he's a white hat hacker who posts all sorts of info
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« Reply #22079 on: November 19, 2019, 06:23:39 PM »

What’s the possibility of a remain government if Labour had joined the remain alliance?

Or maybe, what would be the probability of a Labour government if the other remain parties didn't stand anywhere - be nice to have no SNP or Lib Dem MPs
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