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Author Topic: Racing Thread  (Read 746332 times)
kukushkin88
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« Reply #5850 on: June 06, 2020, 05:06:41 PM »

what channel is the racing on tomorrow? and any tips? any stables in form?(joke)

I know it was a joke but the first angle I’ll be looking for will be evidence of who has their horses fittest. There’ll be a wide range between the stables for who has them ready to go and who doesn’t. Also worth double checking the stables that regularly get them ready first up.

Annoyed at myself for writing this, then seeing this: https://twitter.com/rowleyfilerrr/status/1268641289073053703?s=21 and then going down a completely different route, including ignoring some excellent judges along the way.
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Doobs
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« Reply #5851 on: June 18, 2020, 10:02:22 AM »

Maybe everyone knows this already, but went searching for the going today at Ascot and discovered Asoct's offical website has put up a ton of info.

https://www.ascot.co.uk/thegoing

The going was good to soft a couple of hours ago and you can see from the going stick that it is going to be pretty soft in patches on he round course.  I think it is still raining, though can't be sure.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
4KSuited
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« Reply #5852 on: June 18, 2020, 12:01:08 PM »

Going at Ascot officially changed to Soft. No surprise, really, it’s been a steady rain for the last 12 hours. I’ll be looking for some big-priced value bets especially in the later races when the ground may have cut up quite a bit.

I had Finest Sound (4.10) in my tracker, and African Dream (4.40) looked like a very good thing, and even though the price is drifting on the latter, I think they’re both far too short (5-2 & 2-1) to be backed in these conditions & fields.

The only bet I’ve decided on is Cross Counter (6-1, 1/4 2pl w/o Stradivarius) in the Gold Cup
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #5853 on: June 18, 2020, 12:41:44 PM »

Going at Ascot officially changed to Soft. No surprise, really, it’s been a steady rain for the last 12 hours. I’ll be looking for some big-priced value bets especially in the later races when the ground may have cut up quite a bit.

I had Finest Sound (4.10) in my tracker, and African Dream (4.40) looked like a very good thing, and even though the price is drifting on the latter, I think they’re both far too short (5-2 & 2-1) to be backed in these conditions & fields.

The only bet I’ve decided on is Cross Counter (6-1, 1/4 2pl w/o Stradivarius) in the Gold Cup

Seems to me they really think African Dream is a good thing, the ground has to be a concern (Oasis Dream/Acclamation). Stradivarius is interesting on this supposedly unsuitable ground, every chance he goes off at a backable price and I think his form still stacks up well enough on this type of surface.
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Doobs
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« Reply #5854 on: June 18, 2020, 12:42:58 PM »

Quite like Gallaside in the first.  Has form on soft.  50/1 fifth first 4 or 40/1 fifth first 5 must be good for those that can.  I have managed less than £15 e/w over my accounts.   It has a strange comment about it not getting home over 10f last season which might put people off. Giveb it was only 2, and very few 2 year olds try 10 furlongs, I think we can ignore it.  

edit.  I just checked betfair and got 70/1 and 10/1 first 4 for those resricted, though it is good for those unrestricted too!
« Last Edit: June 18, 2020, 12:49:41 PM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
kukushkin88
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« Reply #5855 on: July 02, 2020, 10:59:30 AM »


What do we think of the Derby draw? Favourite in 1 and at least murmurings that it’s not ideal but hard (for me) to see why it’s a bad thing. Thoughts Chompy/Doobs? It looks to me like one of the years where the ‘Listen’ battalions will make it a really strong pace.
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« Reply #5856 on: July 31, 2020, 05:48:27 PM »

Goodwood 2.15 - Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes

Whilst I recognise that the winning distance was officially 1.5L, and the stewards are minded to overturn results only when the winning distance is less than .25L, surely they have discretion to take account of the severity of interference?

Yes, of course my money was on My Oberon, and it’s my pocket doing half the talking whilst I can’t say with a straight face that it would have definitely won without the interference, but when you see the head-on view you can’t discount the probability that it cost the horse a good 2+ lengths.

Does anyone on here know the absolute rules the stewards work to?

Whinge over, but I’d appreciate a reply or two
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jakally
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« Reply #5857 on: July 31, 2020, 06:43:04 PM »

Goodwood 2.15 - Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes

Whilst I recognise that the winning distance was officially 1.5L, and the stewards are minded to overturn results only when the winning distance is less than .25L, surely they have discretion to take account of the severity of interference?

Yes, of course my money was on My Oberon, and it’s my pocket doing half the talking whilst I can’t say with a straight face that it would have definitely won without the interference, but when you see the head-on view you can’t discount the probability that it cost the horse a good 2+ lengths.

Does anyone on here know the absolute rules the stewards work to?

Whinge over, but I’d appreciate a reply or two

I would probably feel similarly aggrieved but having watched it I dont believe My Oberon ever wins if they both get a free run.
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simonnatur
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« Reply #5858 on: August 07, 2020, 09:27:01 AM »

6.20 Wolv. En Famille 9/2  - hoping to show improved performance on surface for which some encouragement from sire stats, trainer also has very good stats with visor (from a small sample)

2.55 Sandown small e/w bets on Delicate Kiss and Casement  16 and 22/1 currently
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Reluctant to race, came home in own time
bagel
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« Reply #5859 on: August 07, 2020, 02:42:26 PM »

6.20 Wolv. En Famille 9/2  - hoping to show improved performance on surface for which some encouragement from sire stats, trainer also has very good stats with visor (from a small sample)

2.55 Sandown small e/w bets on Delicate Kiss and Casement  16 and 22/1 currently

had a little dabble at 22 and 30

fingers crossed and thanks for posting
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bagel
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« Reply #5860 on: August 07, 2020, 03:25:26 PM »

great shout

all abourd the 6.20 express to wolverhampton
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bagel
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« Reply #5861 on: August 07, 2020, 07:48:51 PM »

cheers, a wins a win however small

gone all in on city to draw at 4 to 1

hopefully get a curry out of it
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