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Author Topic: Rate my shares  (Read 28759 times)
acegooner
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« Reply #180 on: May 20, 2017, 06:46:57 AM »

Been ages since I last posted, unfortunately had a spell in hospital where I was quite ill. With the great care of the medics, I responded to the treatment and spent a lot of my rehab time reviewing and adjusting my portfolio. I have been self investing my two SIPPs now since January of last year and here is a snapshot of the good the bad and the ugly!

Shares

Winners

Apple Inc. +71%
Blue Prism +204%
Metro Bank +86%
Purplebricks +65%
Sports Direct +8%
Randgold Resources +3

Losers

NCC Group - 35%
Dixons Group -21%
Paddy Power Betfair -7%

Funds

Winners

Fundsmith Equity +15%
Henderson Global Technology +48%
Jupiter India +15%
Legg Mason Japan Equity +27%
Newton Global Income +24%
Premier Multi Asset +3%
Stewart Investors Asia Pacific Leaders +15%
Trojan inc. +2

Losers

Fidelity American Special Sits -4%

Investment Trusts

Winners

Fidelity China Special Situations +31%
Scottish Mortgage  Inv Trust +17 & +33%
TR European Growth +7%
Allianz Tech Trust +33%
Baille Gifford Shin Nippon +42%
Tritax Big Box REIT +8%

Losers

IGC India -1%

ETFs / tracker funds

Winners

Global Robotics Index +10%

Losers

Ishares Gold -2%

Overall I am very happy with the performance. I could have had a more concentrated portfolio and achieved higher returns, but the flip side being that any collapse in the market would have been very painful. It has been muted for months now the rally is overdone so I am well positioned to counter any downturn with a large holding in gold, two large holdings in muti asset funds which essentially are volatility busters. They will go down in a falling market but not as much as everything else. I also have around 10% in cash which is being held back for some bargain hunting if the markets do tank big time. It's going to happen, the hard thing is predicting when!






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DropTheHammer
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« Reply #181 on: June 17, 2017, 09:24:56 AM »

When looking for shares to invest in, I typically look for established blue-chip companies that have had a rough time recently and consequently their shares are good value. If I think they are long-term viable companies then I will look to buy near the 'bottom'. This worked out well for me during the banking crisis when it was clear that the government would:
A) not let any of the banks go bust; and
B) hold on to its holdings until all/most of the value had recovered before selling.

A company I have been following for a few years is Tesco. If a supermarket selling horsemeat to its customers instead of beef doesn't kill it (I thought it might!) then surely only catastrophic financial mis-management could sink it. Historically, its shares are priced very low at the  moment:

 Click to see full-size image.


And recent market-related news has been positive and negative +1 recent news stories.

Brexit will have been factored into the share price since Tesco is committed to EU activities (I think the EU will be weaker after we leave), although expanding on its international business may be slightly concerning after its disastrous US venture.

I initially thought of buying now with a view to selling after doubling my money (in a few years' time?). And having just read this story that reaching a price of 300p is thought to be achievable I will definitely be taking a plunge...and will go in again if they go below their lowest-ever price of 143p.
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acegooner
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« Reply #182 on: June 19, 2017, 03:54:44 PM »

When looking for shares to invest in, I typically look for established blue-chip companies that have had a rough time recently and consequently their shares are good value. If I think they are long-term viable companies then I will look to buy near the 'bottom'. This worked out well for me during the banking crisis when it was clear that the government would:
A) not let any of the banks go bust; and
B) hold on to its holdings until all/most of the value had recovered before selling.

A company I have been following for a few years is Tesco. If a supermarket selling horsemeat to its customers instead of beef doesn't kill it (I thought it might!) then surely only catastrophic financial mis-management could sink it. Historically, its shares are priced very low at the  moment:

 Click to see full-size image.


And recent market-related news has been positive and negative +1 recent news stories.

Brexit will have been factored into the share price since Tesco is committed to EU activities (I think the EU will be weaker after we leave), although expanding on its international business may be slightly concerning after its disastrous US venture.

I initially thought of buying now with a view to selling after doubling my money (in a few years' time?). And having just read this story that reaching a price of 300p is thought to be achievable I will definitely be taking a plunge...and will go in again if they go below their lowest-ever price of 143p.


There are investment funds that do exactly what you have described here. The managers buy shares that are unfashionable and subjected to heavy selling pressure following either an earnings downgrade or some sort of accounting scandal. So if a professional is following this strategy and you are good at spotting value then you should do well.

The only thing with Tescos apart from the brexit effect, is a company that is a threat to every online grocery retailer in the UK i.e. Amazon. On Friday they bid for a US grocery chain called Wholefoods. Surprisingly the ripple effect was felt over here with UK food retailers shares prices coming under pressure.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4612972/Amazon-Foods-merge-wipes-value-retailers-stocks.html

I have now trimmed down my tech holdings and have more than 20% in cash. I don't like being in this situation but feel reluctant to put more money into the stock market, perhaps I need to look a commercial property.
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The Camel
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« Reply #183 on: June 28, 2017, 04:12:00 PM »

What is the best way to short a stock?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #184 on: June 28, 2017, 04:16:55 PM »

contracts for difference

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contract_for_difference

you would need to provide margin up front to cover losses if the shares go against you

not up to date with who offers them in the UK but they used to be what i used professionally
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« Reply #185 on: June 28, 2017, 04:19:26 PM »

here is one,just found at random

https://www.cmcmarkets.com/en-gb/learn-cfd-trading/what-are-cfds
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The Camel
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« Reply #186 on: June 28, 2017, 04:56:56 PM »

Thanks Rich.
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"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #187 on: June 29, 2017, 03:57:50 PM »

Spreadex another option Keith, they offer sports and Fin markets.

https://financials.spreadex.com/en-GB

 Click to see full-size image.
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pleno1
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« Reply #188 on: June 29, 2017, 05:33:41 PM »

crypto?
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The Camel
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« Reply #189 on: June 29, 2017, 08:40:59 PM »

Spreadex another option Keith, they offer sports and Fin markets.

https://financials.spreadex.com/en-GB

 Click to see full-size image.


I've got Spreadex, but I've only ever used it for sports.

Do they quote individual stocks?
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #190 on: June 30, 2017, 08:22:32 AM »


I've got Spreadex, but I've only ever used it for sports.


Me too.


Quote
Do they quote individual stocks?

Loads. FTSE 100, 250, AIM plus others as well as shares from the US and 13 European markets.
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« Reply #191 on: July 01, 2017, 03:48:05 AM »

Keep meaning to drop in for an update, so the ARM takeover will be completed by September and my SIPP account will be funded with the cash equivalent of £17 a share. I decided to sell half my holding last month, on the basis that the takeover might not happen, and that if that was the case it would give me the opportunity to buy in for a lower price. As things stand, I expect the takeover to proceed smoothly with no hitches.

Whilst ARM is a notable investment success for me, I am at pains to stress that I do not consider myself a good stock picker. Some of the profits I have made down the years have as much been down to luck rather than judgement. At present I have a strategy of putting 80% of my funds for SIPPs/ISA's into the hands of capable fund managers. Stocks I currently hold are Just Eat, Dixons, NCC Group, Purplebricks and Metro Bank.

Two funds I bought post Brexit are Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Fundsmith, both of which have increased over 10% since the fateful day so I am happy with that. More importantly both these funds have a record of providing solid returns over the longer term and are well respected in the financial world. I also like investing in technology shares and have parked some cash with the Allianz Technology Trust.

Before I go here's a few investment ideas for a Tikay style fund Smiley.

Lafarge Holcim - Concrete Solutions company - Listed in Paris and Zurich
Bombadier - Train Manufacturer - Listed in Toronto
Kier Group - Property and Construction - London
Hornby  PLC Smiley -  Model Railways -  AIM - London

Ok I got bored after 4 companies, perhaps it's the subject material Wink.  







I thnk Metro Bank could be a  nice long term hold.  I don't know a great deal about shares but as a challenger bank they are pretty decent in the Mortgage market.  They are changing lots of things slowly and they are positive changes so far.  If they become bolder and relax some of their rules they could be a big player in the market soon and that is likely to give them more exposure. 



Looks like a complete bag of bollocks to me.  A loss making bank at a huge premium to net assets.  Talks about a powerful AMAZE culture in the half year results.  Sounds impressive?  Nope, not to me either.

Shares and investments aren't really my game I have a few small investments just for fun and Metro was one that interested me before I played a few quid when I suggested on here they could be a reasonable long term hold just based on my own opinion and on what I seen as a reasonable challenger. 

It seems to have ticked along nicely since then, I am not going to claim this as a win just yet but I am bullish about the future. 
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acegooner
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« Reply #192 on: July 05, 2017, 11:47:29 AM »

Keep meaning to drop in for an update, so the ARM takeover will be completed by September and my SIPP account will be funded with the cash equivalent of £17 a share. I decided to sell half my holding last month, on the basis that the takeover might not happen, and that if that was the case it would give me the opportunity to buy in for a lower price. As things stand, I expect the takeover to proceed smoothly with no hitches.

Whilst ARM is a notable investment success for me, I am at pains to stress that I do not consider myself a good stock picker. Some of the profits I have made down the years have as much been down to luck rather than judgement. At present I have a strategy of putting 80% of my funds for SIPPs/ISA's into the hands of capable fund managers. Stocks I currently hold are Just Eat, Dixons, NCC Group, Purplebricks and Metro Bank.

Two funds I bought post Brexit are Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Fundsmith, both of which have increased over 10% since the fateful day so I am happy with that. More importantly both these funds have a record of providing solid returns over the longer term and are well respected in the financial world. I also like investing in technology shares and have parked some cash with the Allianz Technology Trust.

Before I go here's a few investment ideas for a Tikay style fund Smiley.

Lafarge Holcim - Concrete Solutions company - Listed in Paris and Zurich
Bombadier - Train Manufacturer - Listed in Toronto
Kier Group - Property and Construction - London
Hornby  PLC Smiley -  Model Railways -  AIM - London

Ok I got bored after 4 companies, perhaps it's the subject material Wink.  







I thnk Metro Bank could be a  nice long term hold.  I don't know a great deal about shares but as a challenger bank they are pretty decent in the Mortgage market.  They are changing lots of things slowly and they are positive changes so far.  If they become bolder and relax some of their rules they could be a big player in the market soon and that is likely to give them more exposure. 



Looks like a complete bag of bollocks to me.  A loss making bank at a huge premium to net assets.  Talks about a powerful AMAZE culture in the half year results.  Sounds impressive?  Nope, not to me either.

Shares and investments aren't really my game I have a few small investments just for fun and Metro was one that interested me before I played a few quid when I suggested on here they could be a reasonable long term hold just based on my own opinion and on what I seen as a reasonable challenger. 

It seems to have ticked along nicely since then, I am not going to claim this as a win just yet but I am bullish about the future. 

If you compare the performance of Metro Bank versus its peers (ie other UK banks) since flotation it has easily outperformed. I believe it is now turning a profit, and I personally am sitting on a 78% profit in just over 1 year. I think it's time to sell up with this stock and watch from the sidelines.

With regards to shorting individual stocks you can do this via CFDs  or Spread Betting index companies.

Interesting to see Cryptocurrency has also come up on the radar. I am doing lots of research into these at present but think in general the whole space is overheating and due a huge correction. Some crypto's have shown a return of several hundred percent this year alone, that is not sustainable. The classic fear and greed scenario is panning out I suspect. 

 
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« Reply #193 on: January 15, 2019, 10:03:59 AM »

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46874367

Turns out Nirvana is the greatest investor on Blonde.  Down a big today, but still not crashed and burned.

Crypto and Metrobank turned out to be a bag of bollocks after all.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #194 on: January 15, 2019, 10:07:15 AM »

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46874367

Turns out Nirvana is the greatest investor on Blonde.  Down a big today, but still not crashed and burned.

Crypto and Metrobank turned out to be a bag of bollocks after all.

Haha. Some of the others didn't do so well. Still have all my boohoo but probs shoulda sold when they were hitting 2.50 ish a while back but got greedy
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