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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: mjrevie on August 23, 2006, 02:47:22 AM



Title: Call or Fold?
Post by: mjrevie on August 23, 2006, 02:47:22 AM
Very simple, do you call or fold in this situation? Given the pre flop raise, and innocous flop, is TPTK good enough here?

PokerStars Game #6015897400: Tournament #30474873, $10.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Match Round I, Level I (10/20) - 2006/08/22 - 20:52:42 (ET)
Table '30474873 2' 2-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: mjtr (1400 in chips)
Seat 2: DJKebab (1600 in chips)
mjtr: posts small blind 10
DJKebab: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DJKebab[Ac Qh]
mjtr: raises 80 to 100
DJKebab: calls 80
*** FLOP *** [Qd Ts 8d]
DJKebab: checks
mjtr: bets 150
DJKebab: raises 230 to 380
mjtr: raises 920 to 1300 and is all-in




Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: totalise on August 23, 2006, 03:29:18 AM
Call


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: NoflopsHomer on August 23, 2006, 04:15:32 AM
Call, the board is very draw intensive.

Pair and a flush draw?


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: Graham C on August 23, 2006, 09:22:31 AM
Early on in an HU match?  Call. 

Could be all over but I'm suspicious of people wanting to get lots of chips early on.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: Enzyme_ on August 23, 2006, 09:46:13 AM
Call no danger is someone raising with J9 tho and if they do in the long run they wont be so lucky :P


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: boldie on August 23, 2006, 10:12:01 AM
Call no danger is someone raising with J9 tho and if they do in the long run they wont be so lucky :P

fold every time. too many draws out there and the blinds are still very small. at the start of the tourney i hate these hands..you will very possibly run into J9 here


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: LeKnave on August 23, 2006, 10:18:53 AM
Id expect in a $10 tourny a player would check a J9 on that flop in general...

And judging how aggressively he's bet it, it state he probably doesnt have the J9...I feel he is more likely to have 2 pair then J9. 

But on the grounds of how aggressively hes bet it id call it and hope its a QK, QJ.


What did you do in the end?


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: ifm on August 23, 2006, 10:43:18 AM
Fold, it ain't worth it.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: Enzyme_ on August 23, 2006, 10:46:42 AM
Call no danger is someone raising with J9 tho and if they do in the long run they wont be so lucky :P

fold every time. too many draws out there and the blinds are still very small. at the start of the tourney i hate these hands..you will very possibly run into J9 here

yeh i agree if it was latter in tourney id give it a pop still think i would try it even on low but thats my crazy callign routine


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: mjrevie on August 23, 2006, 12:53:32 PM
Rest of hand history.

PokerStars Game #6015897400: Tournament #30474873, $10.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Match Round I, Level I (10/20) - 2006/08/22 - 20:52:42 (ET)
Table '30474873 2' 2-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: mjtr (1400 in chips)
Seat 2: DJKebab (1600 in chips)
mjtr: posts small blind 10
DJKebab: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DJKebab[ Ac Qh]
mjtr: raises 80 to 100
DJKebab: calls 80
*** FLOP *** [Qd Ts 8d]
DJKebab: checks
mjtr: bets 150
DJKebab: raises 230 to 380
mjtr: raises 920 to 1300 and is all-in
DJKebab: calls 920
*** TURN *** [Qd Ts 8d] [Ks]
*** RIVER *** [Qd Ts 8d Ks] [3h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
DJKebab: shows [Ah Qs] (a pair of Queens)
mjtr: shows [Td 8c] (two pair, Tens and Eights)
mjtr collected 2800 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 2800 | Rake 0
Board [Qd Ts 8d Ks 3h]
Seat 1: mjtr (button) (small blind) showed [Td 8c] and won (2800) with two pair, Tens and Eights
Seat 2: DJKebab (big blind) showed [Ah Qs] and lost with a pair of Queens

In this case, I was MJTR and another blonde poster was DJKebab. We got into an discusiion after about whether or not he could get away from it. I thought he could, he didnt think so. He check-raised me so he was representing huge strength and then i re-raised him all in. What range of hands would i do that on that he can beat? I felt that the obvious holdings for mjtr were AA,KK or two pair or a set.

As for my aggressive betting, i wanted him to think i was trying to boss the game. If he calls, i win - if he folds, i think he'll start playing back at me with marginal hands.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: SupaMonkey on August 23, 2006, 03:57:30 PM

In this case, I was MJTR and another blonde poster was DJKebab. We got into an discusiion after about whether or not he could get away from it. I thought he could, he didnt think so. He check-raised me so he was representing huge strength and then i re-raised him all in. What range of hands would i do that on that he can beat? I felt that the obvious holdings for mjtr were AA,KK or two pair or a set.

As for my aggressive betting, i wanted him to think i was trying to boss the game. If he calls, i win - if he folds, i think he'll start playing back at me with marginal hands.

Yes but he may have thought you were playing in a typical ridiculously over aggressive stars HU manner (i.e. somone who is also likely to turn over  5d 6d in this situation).


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: mjrevie on August 23, 2006, 04:06:45 PM
That is always possible. We play each other on a regular basis, live and online, and we had been discussing each others game earlier on. He knows i would be capable of doing the same move with  5d 6d, but even then, he is only 2-1 favourite. If i'm going to be playing crazy, why not wait and trap me at a better time than this?

DJkebab will be on later I think to give his opinion on it.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: SupaMonkey on August 23, 2006, 04:28:42 PM
Is he going to get better than 2-1? If you pull this type of move aren't you always going to leave yourself outs. How many is the minimum to for you to pull this move?


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: mjrevie on August 23, 2006, 04:38:32 PM
If i know for sure someone has a flush draw, then i call. However, given the way mjtr was betting,  5d 6d is only one hand out of a range of hands mjtr could be pulling this move with (others are AA,KK, 88, QT, J9, etc). Given that i'm not sure which hand out of the range mjtr has and that some of them have me dominated, some of them have me nearly drawing dead, i think i would fold this. However, if mjtr shows me   5d 6d, i call in an instance.

Speaking about yourself in the 3rd person is more difficult than it first appears.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: DJKebab on August 23, 2006, 08:36:47 PM
The way I try to look at this is from a long-term perspective rather than the tournament in isolation. Yes, there were a range of hands that had me beat and some that had me dominated, but there were also many scenarios where I could have been ahead, what with such a drawing heavy board.

Also knowing more about the style mjtr plays than I would against a random opponent, and knowing that he is capable of making this move on a draw or perhaps even worse if he thinks I'm at it, I maintain that calling is correct here. I think over the long term it's a profitable move.

I await thoughts/abuse...


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: snoopy1239 on August 23, 2006, 10:48:56 PM
Call.

He could have 1 of a whole selection of drawing hands.

Also, although possible, it's unlikely that he has Q-T, Q-8, T-8, or J-9 due to his preflop raise.

However, I'd consider folding if he is a poor player than you can easily outplay without needing to risk your stack.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: SupaMonkey on August 23, 2006, 11:16:51 PM


... it's unlikely that he has Q-T, Q-8, T-8, or J-9 due to his preflop raise.


You're the second person that has said that. This surprises me because i raise every hand when i have the button HU.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: snoopy1239 on August 23, 2006, 11:42:12 PM


... it's unlikely that he has Q-T, Q-8, T-8, or J-9 due to his preflop raise.


You're the second person that has said that. This surprises me because i raise every hand when i have the button HU.

True, but I'm talking more generally with regards to the average online player.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: Dewi_cool on August 23, 2006, 11:50:43 PM
This is a definate call, IFM is on a double bluff, obviously read your motive 


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: mjrevie on August 24, 2006, 11:33:26 AM


However, I'd consider folding if he is a poor player than you can easily outplay without needing to risk your stack.

Then calling was definitely the best option for him then  8)


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: Royal Flush on August 24, 2006, 11:44:21 AM
This is what i hope happens when i check raise this flop, i am beating him into the pot. I can't believe people are actually saying fold!!

As for the check raise being a sign of strength, so often HU its a move.


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: bolt pp on August 26, 2006, 06:28:05 AM
insta call