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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 12:38:51 AM



Title: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 12:38:51 AM
Full Tilt Poker Game #964924155: $15,000 Guarantee (6341683), Table 27 - 20/40 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:19:40 ET - 2006/09/03
Seat 1: Rock Strongo (2,520)
Seat 2: MrNoski (1,640)
Seat 3: bamaphis (2,260)
Seat 4: bigdog70 (2,640)
Seat 5: The Norse Horse (2,730)
Seat 6: Scotty0617 (8,750)
Seat 7: bonehead3x3 (3,060)
Seat 8: pokerkurt (3,230)
Seat 9: grgimpy (2,960)
bigdog70 posts the small blind of 20
The Norse Horse posts the big blind of 40
bamaphis: horrible
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to The Norse Horse [ Ahrt Js]
Scotty0617 folds
bonehead3x3 raises to 120
pokerkurt folds
grgimpy folds
Rock Strongo folds
MrNoski folds
bamaphis folds
bonehead3x3 is feeling confused
bonehead3x3 is feeling happy
bigdog70 folds
The Norse Horse calls 80
*** FLOP *** [5s Jd Ad]
The Norse Horse checks
bonehead3x3 bets 260
The Norse Horse raises to 650
bonehead3x3 calls 390
*** TURN *** [5s Jd Ad] [6d]
The Norse Horse bets 880
bonehead3x3 calls 880
*** RIVER *** [5s Jd Ad 6d] [Qd]

What do i do now? 1080 chips left.

I have no info on any of the players at the table, i am finding it tough to put him on any hand here.


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: TightEnd on September 04, 2006, 12:43:35 AM
Ouch. He must have a made hand on the turn.

Why not check raise more on the flop and really find out?

You've given almost given him (3-1) odds to draw if he's flushing haven't you at that point?


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 12:48:41 AM
Ouch. He must have a made hand on the turn.

Why not check raise more on the flop and really find out?

You've given almost given him (3-1) odds to draw if he's flushing haven't you at that point?

Intresting, i didn't consider a FD at the time, he has raised in EP i was thinking more Ax, of course Kd Qd is a possible holding. Although i think with this he might try to take it on the flop. If he has the FD and makes it on the turn does he flat call my lead? I could see it if we were deeper but by the turn i have commited nearly 2/3rds of my chips. We can't rule it out though i have made that play myself many times.


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: TightEnd on September 04, 2006, 12:53:06 AM
AK,AQ,AA all possibles but the flat call on the turn is very odd unless he has the flush isn't it?




Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 12:53:40 AM
KK with Kd


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: TightEnd on September 04, 2006, 12:56:30 AM
KK with Kd

wouldn't you push on the turn and have 2 ways to win...the hit on the river or james folding on the turn?

flat calling there isn't optimal is it?


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 01:08:30 AM
Well, it depends how much FE you think you have on the turn with KK, against a BB that has c/r the flop and lead the turn, in these tournies they aren't folding to your turn jam very often (given how little chips James has left) . The flop c/r was small, if you have KK there you prolly call to see the turn, BB can have an A/flush draw or some other mess, on the turn he is still leading so I dont much like pushing it in on the turn with KK... I'd just pitch it there, but these people dont pitch KK in this spot, and they dont push for the reasons above, so calling is what they do. IF they had a naked Kd here with something like QKos I imagine they would call quite often as well

Flushy, was this one of the bigger buyin tournies or one of the small ones? My default in this is to check (and fold if they bet)  I dont see a huge deal of value in pushing unless you put them on AA/AQ/JJ and think they fold, which is prolly a bit inventive given the action.





Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 02:09:00 AM
It's a $75 freeze, although in my limited Full Tilt experience there isn't nuch diffrence between the standard in the MTT's


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 02:24:48 AM
It's a $75 freeze, although in my limited Full Tilt experience there isn't nuch diffrence between the standard in the MTT's

yeah, me either. They sometimes have a $300 15k g'teed (i think)  which is the reason i asked

I don't see any other course of action then to check and fold most of the time , they dont call your bet with anythin u beat, they rarely fold anything you beat, and they dont often bet the river unless they have you beat IMO, so it seems like checking can get a showdown against a lot of hands you beat, and makes a river fold quite simple.

If someone can come up with persuasive reasoning why check/fold isn't best (as a default play in these spots), it would be enlightening for sure.




Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 02:29:16 AM
Would you ever pull a bluff in his shoes Totalise?

Cheers for the insight guys this hand is giving me some headache!


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 02:37:27 AM
Quote
Would you ever pull a bluff in his shoes Totalise?

I cant see how you get to the river in his spot with a hand that bets the river on a bluff with these stack sizes. I can see how he might have got there with the nuts/high diamond,  but a hand that bets the river on a bluff? I cant really think of one






Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 02:40:01 AM
I can't get to the river with a hand that bluffs but remember these boys learned from the WPT :D


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 02:47:57 AM
I can't get to the river with a hand that bluffs but remember these boys learned from the WPT :D

lol too true, but even then, I cant really think of many hands that THEY can get to the river with! This is how I can see them having the flush.


I can see them having a filthy gutshot with paint/paint on the flop, turns a flushdraw, and makes it on the end, I can see them having KK (or even other pp's!!) with a d, I can see them having a flush on the turn, they can have AxKd on the flop/turn, all these hands are how this field would play those hands (maybe not so much AK, but your r/r on turn is scary, so its a defo possibility)

If they had paint/paint gutshot on flop without a d, I think they typically fold the turn (although sometimes they might not, the liklihood of this hand is prolly too small to justify the river call anyways) and apart from that, im about stuck. They CAN have A/x without diamonds, but I doubt they are pushing the river, they are normally happy to check behind, so tryin to handle this mess seems like if they are betting on the river, its almost always with a better hand (enough for me to justify folding at least)




Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 02:56:33 AM
Good post. I love getting most of my stack in on the streets then getting it in on the river when i know they are too stuck in the pot to pass. The problem is i sometimes come into these situations, they make the game much harder than it needs to be!

I pushed, captain moron over here. I fancied he isnt passing any Ax hand given how commited we both are to this pot, well i say i thought i pretty much pushed straight away. JungleCat said i should check here as he may check a weak diamond behind and if he bets i can pick of the bluff. That would be normal play in similar situations, i don't really like passing here but then i never like passing :D

I will bow down to you as master of all though if you can name his cards. And yes it does involve £0.50!


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 02:59:46 AM
I donno, my first thought was something like the KKd or QKos with a d, so I'll have to stick with that


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: The Baron on September 04, 2006, 03:01:18 AM
A2 with a 2 of diamonds.


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 03:02:03 AM
Try  Kc 8d

God bless the WPT :D


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Nem on September 04, 2006, 03:03:09 AM
Try  Kc 8d

God bless the WPT :D

Are you serious?


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 03:05:24 AM
Try  Kc 8d

God bless the WPT :D

he was trapping you all the way. Sometimes you just gotta tip your cap and admit you were outplayed


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 03:14:15 AM
He pwnz me.

Yes Nem, i had to chuckle!


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 03:17:49 AM
He pwnz me.


I pray for this to be a hideous typo


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Nem on September 04, 2006, 03:20:21 AM
He pwnz me.


I pray for this to be a hideous typo


Holla!  ;tk;


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 03:21:53 AM
:(


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 03:25:26 AM
I am confused.


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 03:26:47 AM
I am confused.

that hideous PWNZ HOLLA SHIP-IT nonsense that Dale keeps saying, I am just hoping that it isn't infesting itself into other peoples e-vocabulary


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 03:28:01 AM
I was using it more to mock the kinda player that beat me rather than Dale!

Some 19 year old American no doubt!


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: totalise on September 04, 2006, 03:31:37 AM
I was using it more to mock the kinda player that beat me rather than Dale!

Some 19 year old American no doubt!

speaking like tuff_fish now!




Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 03:33:51 AM
I didnt think anyone would get that 1! Top marks sir.


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Canuck on September 04, 2006, 07:35:03 AM
How can he call a check raise with that...unreal


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: M3boy on September 04, 2006, 08:02:04 AM
How can he call a check raise with that...unreal

Exactly.


Title: Re: Exit hand
Post by: Royal Flush on September 04, 2006, 12:06:02 PM
I guess he was going to make a play if i weak lead the turn!