blonde poker forum

Its the first level of a reasonably sized live freezeout

I limp for 50 in MP with Qc Jd

button limps, both blinds complete and check

we all have 5000 starting chips, 30 minute clock


flop  3c Jh Qs


small blind bets out 200, pot sized bet

I raise to 800

small blind instantaneously pushes the full stack in


I know the player, he talks extremely loose but plays tighter.


I don't think he pushes with Q3 or J3 as he knows I'm solid/tight and am not steal raising, I can't put him on QQ or JJ just completing in SB

I put him on a set of threes and pass

Its a tight pass, as he could have KQ, Q10 or a draw (doubtful but maybe), but is very early in the comp and I don't have to make this guess at this stage of the comp

He showed me one card when I passed. A three.


Your comments please

I call :D

surprise surprise!

I am genuinely concerned that I am way too weak tight in these, against a background of the rest of the field gambling like its a roulette wheel!

hence my post here.

No I pass.  I might be ahead some of the time, but if I am it's to a draw which is going to hit a third of the time.  

I think he has 33 a lot of the time here and is pushing to end the hand because he doesn't want to take the risk of a str8 landing on the turn.

It's a bit of a setback, but you have plenty of chips and plenty of time to get them back.

not worried about the setback, 4000 is more than enough to play with this early

I'd probably call here to be honest..and might be on my way back home. but I would probably take him for a big over pair..(untill he flipped over pocket threes that is.

he has AQ call

he showed me a 3!!!!

Good pass.

2 pair would probably bet out at that flop.

he did...that's why I wouldn't take him for pocket threes.

sometimes you have to lay down possible winning hands though?

his range here is tight, 33 or two pair. Should I take this gamble so early?


(just thinking out loud)

he obviously knows you, change required?

you probably did the right thing to be honest..Staying in the tourney is the most important thing....I still would have called though but would have kicked myself for doing so if he turned over pocket three's

yes one of the reasons why I post/ask/ponder/cogitate and gaze at navel

ooops!

I'm with you Tighty and have put him on set of threes. It was far too early in the comp to risk finding out.

Remember he was facing a bet and your raise before pushing so had to be uber confident (or stupid!)

If you can remember, did he look at both his cards and show a 3 or did just pick up one of the cards and show it?

If the latter it was prob 333.  If he looked at his cards, and had 2 pr he would be more likely to show the higher card.

turbo call

lol

i'll try and remember next time to see if he has to check both cards before he shows one as an indicator of set or two pair!

Call

pass

What do you all do if he ships it in then shows the 3 while you are thinking?

ask for a ruling, lol

then call!

Tough pass, but I think it is probably right to. With your raise, you asked him a strong question and he answered you.

My guess is that it is probably 50/50 on whether you are ahead. This means that 50% of the time you are playing 10k and still have a full field to negotiate, only you know how much that will improve your chances of cashing/winning, but my guess is probably no more than 20%. The other 50% (unless you get lucky and hit one of your 4 outs) then you are eliminated and chances of success are 0%.

Good solid pass imo (although I am a donk who would probably not have believed him and soon been sat on the rail - I never believe anyone!)