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Poker Hand Analysis
Should I pass?
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Topic: Should I pass? (Read 3148 times)
TightEnd
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Should I pass?
«
on:
December 06, 2006, 04:50:09 PM »
Its the first level of a reasonably sized live freezeout
I limp for 50 in MP with
button limps, both blinds complete and check
we all have 5000 starting chips, 30 minute clock
flop
small blind bets out 200, pot sized bet
I raise to 800
small blind instantaneously pushes the full stack in
I know the player, he talks extremely loose but plays tighter.
I don't think he pushes with Q3 or J3 as he knows I'm solid/tight and am not steal raising, I can't put him on QQ or JJ just completing in SB
I put him on a set of threes and pass
Its a tight pass, as he could have KQ, Q10 or a draw (doubtful but maybe), but is very early in the comp and I don't have to make this guess at this stage of the comp
He showed me one card when I passed. A three.
Your comments please
«
Last Edit: December 06, 2006, 04:51:44 PM by TightEnd
»
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Royal Flush
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #1 on:
December 06, 2006, 04:52:17 PM »
I call
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TightEnd
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #2 on:
December 06, 2006, 04:54:55 PM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on December 06, 2006, 04:52:17 PM
I call
surprise surprise!
I am genuinely concerned that I am way too weak tight in these, against a background of the rest of the field gambling like its a roulette wheel!
hence my post here.
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doubleup
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Re: Should I pass?
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Reply #3 on:
December 06, 2006, 05:00:27 PM »
No I pass. I might be ahead some of the time, but if I am it's to a draw which is going to hit a third of the time.
I think he has 33 a lot of the time here and is pushing to end the hand because he doesn't want to take the risk of a str8 landing on the turn.
It's a bit of a setback, but you have plenty of chips and plenty of time to get them back.
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TightEnd
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Re: Should I pass?
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Reply #4 on:
December 06, 2006, 05:02:06 PM »
Quote from: doubleup on December 06, 2006, 05:00:27 PM
It's a bit of a setback, but you have plenty of chips and plenty of time to get them back.
not worried about the setback, 4000 is more than enough to play with this early
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boldie
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #5 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:30:44 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on December 06, 2006, 05:02:06 PM
Quote from: doubleup on December 06, 2006, 05:00:27 PM
It's a bit of a setback, but you have plenty of chips and plenty of time to get them back.
not worried about the setback, 4000 is more than enough to play with this early
I'd probably call here to be honest..and might be on my way back home. but I would probably take him for a big over pair..(untill he flipped over pocket threes that is.
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Dewi_cool
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #6 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:32:37 PM »
he has AQ call
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The very last hand of the night goes to Dewi James, who finds ACES and talks Raymond O’Mahoney into calling his all-in preflop bet of 15k. “If I had AQ, I’d call!” says Dewi. Raymond calls holding pocket 66’s.
TightEnd
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Re: Should I pass?
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Reply #7 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:33:08 PM »
Quote from: Dewi_cool on December 06, 2006, 08:32:37 PM
he has AQ call
he showed me a 3!!!!
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Wardonkey
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Re: Should I pass?
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Reply #8 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:35:23 PM »
Good pass.
2 pair would probably bet out at that flop.
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boldie
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #9 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:36:02 PM »
Quote from: Wardonkey on December 06, 2006, 08:35:23 PM
Good pass.
2 pair would probably bet out at that flop.
he did...that's why I wouldn't take him for pocket threes.
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TightEnd
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #10 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:37:15 PM »
sometimes you have to lay down possible winning hands though?
his range here is tight, 33 or two pair. Should I take this gamble so early?
(just thinking out loud)
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Dewi_cool
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #11 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:39:34 PM »
he obviously knows you, change required?
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The very last hand of the night goes to Dewi James, who finds ACES and talks Raymond O’Mahoney into calling his all-in preflop bet of 15k. “If I had AQ, I’d call!” says Dewi. Raymond calls holding pocket 66’s.
boldie
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #12 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:40:26 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on December 06, 2006, 08:37:15 PM
sometimes you have to lay down possible winning hands though?
his range here is tight, 33 or two pair. Should I take this gamble so early?
(just thinking out loud)
you probably did the right thing to be honest..Staying in the tourney is the most important thing....I still would have called though but would have kicked myself for doing so if he turned over pocket three's
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TightEnd
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #13 on:
December 06, 2006, 08:40:50 PM »
Quote from: Dewi_cool on December 06, 2006, 08:39:34 PM
he obviously knows you, change required?
yes one of the reasons why I post/ask/ponder/cogitate and gaze at navel
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Wardonkey
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Re: Should I pass?
«
Reply #14 on:
December 06, 2006, 09:10:49 PM »
Quote from: boldie on December 06, 2006, 08:36:02 PM
Quote from: Wardonkey on December 06, 2006, 08:35:23 PM
Good pass.
2 pair would probably bet out at that flop.
he did...that's why I wouldn't take him for pocket threes.
ooops!
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