blonde poker forum

Ive had a mare on the punting front through the World Cup and was busying away on some golf stuff this afternoon when a mate rang me with some red hot inside information.

As Tikay menioned in his diary, it was the World Hot dog eating championships in Coney Island and was live on ESPN America. The news was pretty big, the 2nd fav, an Asian guy Kobi had been disqualified for previously taking part in an event not sanctioned by the World Eating Federation, an Asparagus eating event in Asia and had been caught on film winning that event so was bang to rights.

This meant that the fav Chestnut was now about a 1/33 chance yet was available at 2/7, with many previous 65-70 eats he was well clear of everyone else in the field and the only way he could be beaten was a miid eat vomit or some obscure unforseen event.

Now, given you have had a mare this month do you take a deep breath and pile on with a big bet. Or does the fact that you are even contemplating having a bet on the World Hot Dog Eating Championship, or that you actually know someone that follows this closely enough to know that a 2/7 chance is now a 1/33 chance mean that maybe you need to get out more and have been gambling far too hard recently?

Big bet or admit you are very sad to even think about having a bet?

Get the lot on, value is value.

Wrong forum if you want to be talked out of this.

get on big man get on

bet the house

GET THE FUCK ON!

THEN GET SOME MORE ON!!!

GET ON GET PAID

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/us_and_canada/10504627.stm

This.....but I bottled it. In the end I know it doesnt matter what the event is the price was  wrong and instead of taking it I was too worried about doing yet another chunk in after a hectic month. Anyway, the guy coasts to a win and then it all kicks off as the link above shows.

The annoying thing was we spend time looking for an edge and then a real one appeared and I missed it. I think the overriding reason was I couldnt quite face doing thousands in on a guy eating hotdogs if it went wrong.

I feel sick, wish i'd seen this thread earlier.

I'd have just piled in for my net worth seriously.

That comp is always a two horse race, tbh 1/33 is even a touch of value, i'd have made him like 1/50. 2/7 was literally the price of the century. Chesnut is an absolute hot dog eating monster, without the japanese guy in it he just couldn't lose.

Forgot about this event tbh and had assumed there wld have been no value around.

:(

:)

usual suspects

Mr Kobayashi, the thin Japanese contender who smashed all previous US records in 2001, jumped a barrier and tried to get up on the stage while the crowd chanted: "Let him eat!"


LOL

Aftertiming clown FTW!

Congrats btw mr reevio!

Male or female new arrival, and nameage?

Hi Nico,

I posted this after the event Im afraid but was very diasappointed in my thought process.

Hiya Phil.

Gotta admit im happy you didn't post this before, thus i didn't miss yr info just the 'coup'.

Dont beat yrslf up 2 much about it, if u don't know this 'sport' i can see why you'd not want to risk 2 much on such a thing.

Perhaps if you'd watched the last 4/5 of these like some sad cases i cldnt possibly remember...ahem...me, then ud have got on due to the value u kinda knew existed.

I mean if some1 told me about some great bet involving snail racing or something id probably be unwilling to go crazy less id researched like crazy or seen said snail in action with my own eyes.

Prob flawed logic too but yr only human so i wldnt blame yrslf 2 much, esp over a 2/7 shot, u gotta get alot on to make it worth it really, and im sure some books wld have limited the bets due to it being a novelty market an all, grands prob cldnt have been got on, hundreds only and thus ud prob have had to spread the wedge around, which is always annoying, esp on a hot dog eating challenge!

I think OP does the right thing passing this up, not really a good move to put a big bet on something you know feck all about. I could never forgive myself for doing most of my roll on some guy eating hot dogs (I done it on Brazil winning the world cup instead lol  :) ).

hmmmm, eating lots of food very fast - this sounds like my kind of competition :D

maybe i should start training now and we can have a blonde coup next year :)up