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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Eso Kral on August 07, 2010, 11:43:09 AM



Title: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: Eso Kral on August 07, 2010, 11:43:09 AM
Luton G Casino, 85 runners Left  10 seats guaranteed but it made 14seats  average chip stack is 11700 i have 10800 villain has 12000
History villain has been fairly tight only shown down made hands and a couple of big pairs he has also not played his button often and would have him as tight passive.
blinds are 100/200 20 mins after 1st break
Folds to me in the hijack i make it 550 to go with  Qh Qc and the villain re-raises to 1750 from the button
Is it best to a) flat due to his image b) repop to 4000 c) ship it  ???????????

Will post further after few replies


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: the rage on August 07, 2010, 12:55:50 PM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.
 I'm just thinking that if you flat call, you could end up losing the lot on the flop if he does have AA or KK. At least by re-raising to 4000 you should find out if he has aces or kings.
 I think if you ship it pre you will only be called by AA or KK.
I know i'm prob being too nitty, but i just think that if you flat call you are going to be in a very tough spot post flop unless another queen falls.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: Eso Kral on August 07, 2010, 01:04:04 PM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.
 I'm just thinking that if you flat call, you could end up losing the lot on the flop if he does have AA or KK. At least by re-raising to 4000 you should find out if he has aces or kings.
 I think if you ship it pre you will only be called by AA or KK.
I know i'm prob being too nitty, but i just think that if you flat call you are going to be in a very tough spot post flop unless another queen falls.
AS its a satelite though and preservation is the key is not the nitty call the best option? and play the flop


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: DMorgan on August 07, 2010, 04:17:30 PM
Not really concerned that its a satellite at this point with 85 left and 14 seats.

I'd just jam. His sizing really doesn't look like AA/KK to be, much more likely AK imo and it really wouldn't suprise me if he folded to your jam.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: celtic on August 07, 2010, 04:21:54 PM
20 minute clock and this far from getting a seat i get it in.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: Eso Kral on August 07, 2010, 06:08:30 PM
Ok well i just flatted and now the flop comes   Tc Td Jh
Having flatted   stacks now me 9kish   villain 10k  pot 3800
As played i am oop so decide to C/R all in villains  Cbet of 2500   thoughts?


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: nirvana on August 07, 2010, 06:33:57 PM
Ok well i just flatted and now the flop comes   Tc Td Jh
Having flatted   stacks now me 9kish   villain 10k  pot 3800
As played i am oop so decide to C/R all in villains  Cbet of 2500   thoughts?

CRAI is good, now get yr coat


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: DMorgan on August 07, 2010, 06:44:25 PM
Sounds fine. I guess you got coolered, ul.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: Eso Kral on August 07, 2010, 07:07:04 PM
Yeah  i C/R and villain snaps saying do you have 10/10 before flipping JJ  love it   i guess shipping pre flop wins me this coup
Thx guys


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: the rage on August 07, 2010, 07:39:36 PM
ul there. What do you think of the raise to 4000 option? I just thought that the 4000 raise looked as though you were committed to the hand and so he would fold JJ there. Was that being over optimistic? Cheers 4 posting it anyway.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: gatso on August 07, 2010, 07:53:14 PM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.

so you're going for the option that you think gets oppo to fold everything we crush?


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: the rage on August 07, 2010, 08:24:28 PM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.

so you're going for the option that you think gets oppo to fold everything we crush?
My line of thought was that by raising to 4000 he does indeed fold  TT and JJ but stays in the hand with AK. But if villian has AA or KK he thinks that we are committed and so re-raises all-in. We then fold and avoid busting out.
There are 12 combinations of JJ and TT and 16 combinations of AK. If he does fold TT and JJ but callls with AK he is still sticking around with more than half of his likely holdings.
 so in the example quoted IF he folds JJ to the 4000 re-raise we have still acheived the same result as shoving pre, but, without the risk of busting out if we do run into KK or AA.

As it is, on this flop, we would have increased our profit against AK. By flat calling we really dont know if we are up against an overpair and the only hand that we are beating is AK.
I'm not trying to be clever having a go at this. Just thought that the raise seemed to be the most +ve option IF it folded out TT and JJ.
I'll be happy if people can put me right on this.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: Eso Kral on August 07, 2010, 08:49:39 PM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.

so you're going for the option that you think gets oppo to fold everything we crush?
My line of thought was that by raising to 4000 he does indeed fold  TT and JJ but stays in the hand with AK. But if villian has AA or KK he thinks that we are committed and so re-raises all-in. We then fold and avoid busting out.
There are 12 combinations of JJ and TT and 16 combinations of AK. If he does fold TT and JJ but callls with AK he is still sticking around with more than half of his likely holdings.
 so in the example quoted IF he folds JJ to the 4000 re-raise we have still acheived the same result as shoving pre, but, without the risk of busting out if we do run into KK or AA.

As it is, on this flop, we would have increased our profit against AK. By flat calling we really dont know if we are up against an overpair and the only hand that we are beating is AK.
I'm not trying to be clever having a go at this. Just thought that the raise seemed to be the most +ve option IF it folded out TT and JJ.
I'll be happy if people can put me right on this.
I see your line rage and think this oppo calls the 2250 more and it all goes in the same i kinda drew the conclusion this as played is a cooler and the only way im still in the comp is if i ship pre flop but thats not really how i like to play this coup   sigh and move on to next one   thx for F/B


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: George2Loose on August 07, 2010, 11:11:05 PM
is this whole thread a level? 4 bet folding Queens? Guy just insta mucks jacks when 4 bet?


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: the rage on August 08, 2010, 01:43:41 AM
George. I'm trying to learn from this PHA thing. Maybe he wont fold JJ to a small re-raise. Maybe he wont fold jj to a 5.5k raise. I really dont know. Villiian was described as tight passive. Is re-raising all-in the best option here? I'm not so sure. What's wrong with folding if you truly believe that you're a 4 /1 dog?


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: George2Loose on August 08, 2010, 01:49:41 AM
George. I'm trying to learn from this PHA thing. Maybe he wont fold JJ to a small re-raise. Maybe he wont fold jj to a 5.5k raise. I really dont know. Villiian was described as tight passive. Is re-raising all-in the best option here? I'm not so sure. What's wrong with folding if you truly believe that you're a 4 /1 dog?

4 bet folding is turning your hand into a bluff- u may as well have total air to play the hand this way


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: action man on August 08, 2010, 04:23:13 AM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.
 I'm just thinking that if you flat call, you could end up losing the lot on the flop if he does have AA or KK. At least by re-raising to 4000 you should find out if he has aces or kings.
 I think if you ship it pre you will only be called by AA or KK.
I know i'm prob being too nitty, but i just think that if you flat call you are going to be in a very tough spot post flop unless another queen falls.

just disregard anything this guy has to say unless its a level, if it is ill put a poster of him on my wall and send him a whore for his bday


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: Eso Kral on August 08, 2010, 09:09:12 AM
George. I'm trying to learn from this PHA thing. Maybe he wont fold JJ to a small re-raise. Maybe he wont fold jj to a 5.5k raise. I really dont know. Villiian was described as tight passive. Is re-raising all-in the best option here? I'm not so sure. What's wrong with folding if you truly believe that you're a 4 /1 dog?

4 bet folding is turning your hand into a bluff- u may as well have total air to play the hand this way
I dont think i would ever 4bet fold QQ in this comp at this stage with my chips


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: BulldozerD on August 08, 2010, 10:04:05 AM
George. I'm trying to learn from this PHA thing. Maybe he wont fold JJ to a small re-raise. Maybe he wont fold jj to a 5.5k raise. I really dont know. Villiian was described as tight passive. Is re-raising all-in the best option here? I'm not so sure. What's wrong with folding if you truly believe that you're a 4 /1 dog?

4 bet folding is turning your hand into a bluff- u may as well have total air to play the hand this way
I dont think i would ever 4bet fold QQ

fyp


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: Eso Kral on August 08, 2010, 10:12:05 AM
George. I'm trying to learn from this PHA thing. Maybe he wont fold JJ to a small re-raise. Maybe he wont fold jj to a 5.5k raise. I really dont know. Villiian was described as tight passive. Is re-raising all-in the best option here? I'm not so sure. What's wrong with folding if you truly believe that you're a 4 /1 dog?

4 bet folding is turning your hand into a bluff- u may as well have total air to play the hand this way
I dont think i would ever 4bet fold QQ

fyp
Why would i 4 bet fold having put 40% of my stack in still 70 from the money in this comp?


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: the rage on August 08, 2010, 11:46:02 AM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.
 I'm just thinking that if you flat call, you could end up losing the lot on the flop if he does have AA or KK. At least by re-raising to 4000 you should find out if he has aces or kings.
 I think if you ship it pre you will only be called by AA or KK.
I know i'm prob being too nitty, but i just think that if you flat call you are going to be in a very tough spot post flop unless another queen falls.

just disregard anything this guy has to say unless its a level, if it is ill put a poster of him on my wall and send him a whore for his bday
Unfortunately, my birthday isn't 'till next year and you certainly wouldn't enjoy having a poster of me on your bedroom wall.

Besides, no, i wasn't levelling. I was simply trying to find out if there was a better way of playing this particular hand apart from re raising all in. I still dont like the flat call option. I can appreciate the argument for never 4 bet folding qq in this particular scenario, but at the same time i dont see any problem with having a serious look at if there are alternative options worth considering.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: stonecoldkiller on August 09, 2010, 01:08:38 AM
You played the hand well op.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: NigDawG on August 09, 2010, 05:28:08 AM
i could see myself 4 bet/folding QQ hemillion

the rage you really do not want him to fold JJ or TT when you have QQ. it is possible that vs certain opponents you will make them fold those hand by 4 betting, but this shouldnt be what you were trying to accomplish by 4 betting...we would be 4 betting for value/trying to get it all in.

and what makes u so sure he is folding TT/JJ but calling AK to a 4000 4bet?


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: the rage on August 09, 2010, 10:04:39 AM
Cheers for the helpful replies.
So, basically, in this scenario-
    We have to accept the if he has AA or KK we're prob going busto however we play it
    We want JJ and TT to stick around, together with AK
    We should never be 4 bet folding QQ
Think i'm with you now. UL Eso. GG.


Title: Re: Satelite to Gukpt Luton
Post by: pleno1 on November 28, 2013, 10:17:10 AM
Good question. I'm going to go for the re-raise to 4000 option. If he re-raises all-in, i would then fold. If you re-raise to 4000 i think he will fold the pairs you are beating and call with AK or AK suited.
 I'm just thinking that if you flat call, you could end up losing the lot on the flop if he does have AA or KK. At least by re-raising to 4000 you should find out if he has aces or kings.
 I think if you ship it pre you will only be called by AA or KK.
I know i'm prob being too nitty, but i just think that if you flat call you are going to be in a very tough spot post flop unless another queen falls.

just disregard anything this guy has to say unless its a level, if it is ill put a poster of him on my wall and send him a whore for his bday

Sorry for the bump but found rich post hilarious!