blonde poker forum

I meant to put this up 5 or 6 weeks ago but been to busy, i have a good friend who grinds local pokerz by us and gets a bit of horse info now and again  (see 7.50 tipperary horse) and is a good judge on the golf.
His problem is B/R management and i have been paper trading him against a theoretical bank of 200pts for 7 weeks now and i decide how many points per golfer as he just backs with what he has, he only plays the european golf but is eyeing up the american with a view to play next season and i get him to text me his stable on a tuesday before any selections come out in the racing post and then we match it against oddschecker.
This guy is mustard he does lots of research, and despite only trading him on paper for 7weeks since the start of the year when we talk at poker he always gives me his view before the tourney and he would defo be well infront on the season if he had any bankroll management so i have been putting together a plan that we can really work on from next season  (November) using a betting bank.
I decided to put this up so if anyone else wants to get involved they can do and i will keep track of the points profit (hopefully) every week, obviously i will be playing myself and until all our bets are on i wont post the selections on here as i am sure you would appreciate.
For example one of the selections this week was 250/1 and with our local bookies we can price match and still get laid 6places he is now 150 with ladbrokes but 200 elsewhere.
In the past 7weeks "the judge" is 129.09 points in front so at 10per point you would be nearly 1300 up.
My goal is to start with a bankroll of £3000 and play £15 per point and when the roll doubles i will double up the stakes.
This weeks selections for the KLM golf are:
F Molinari  14/1 were on at 16's  2.5 pts e/w
M.Kaymar 10/1 2pts e/w
D.Mcgrane  45/1  1pt e/w
J.Donaldson  50/1  1pt e/w
P.Price  200/1  .75 pts e/w
C.Cevaer  200/1  were on at 250  1pt e/w
I will always use the prices were on at for the running total and were are starting at +129.09 as i said but i will do a count from zero for the benefit of this thread, so this week we are staking 16.5 points out of the bankroll and i will post again during the weekend. The judge says that this course will suit straight hitters.

What course doesn't suit straight hitters?

If J Donaldson is a non runner then instead of 1 pt e/w on him it will change to  C Schwartzel  1.5 pt e/w at 18/1

twice a winner in recent years and in good form = Simon Dyson. Any reason to ignore him?

Started to look tired at the weekend in Switzerland playing the last 7 weeks on both sides of the Atlantic will have taken its toll both mentally and physically.

he'll still be in my stable at 40/1. I think we've had this 'golfer must be tired after extensive travel' opinion voiced before, categorically debunked when he won the tournament.

Sorry Ace its not me who is selecting i will only post who he puts up and so far the judge is doing ok i know nothing about the players personally

Fair enough, just letting you know he is as big a price he is. Ryder Cup qualification has had him playing every evnt for the last 2 months. The only reason he is playing this week is because he is the defending champion. Good luck with your bets.

Yeah i remember, it was Villegas.

I'm on Gonzo and his new and improved putting stroke @ 50.

Massssssive.

Im gonna stick with Chris Wood this week, 4 rounds in the 60's last week without never really challenging shows his game is in decent nick.

had high hopes for him but i kept doing my money on him so given up for now.

my horses for this week

Leischman
Casey
Peterson
O'Hair

Storm
Gary Boyd
Oosthuizen
Oliver Fisher

1 More horse has been added to the stable  R.Green 1pt e/w at 40/1 so now a total of 18.5 pts are staked this week and all our bets are on at 6places paid

part way through round 3   got Kaymer on course doing ok and our 200/1 shot who had a bad round 1 got to 4under today need a big final round from him to get him into the 6 places

Just back Tiger

lolz  how much does eldrick owe you now?

Ok with the non runner and 1 late horse added we staked a total of 19.5 points and after Kaymer had won we got a return of 29 points so a profit of 9.5 points on the week, we were a bit unlucky as we just missed out on a place with Molinari and also the 250/1 shot Cevaer had a bad 1st round then 3 solid final rounds and finished 17th a place on either would have been a boost.
So running total for the Blonde bank is 209.5 points  (starting bank 200) and our running total 8weeks in is 338.59 points from 200 starting bank.
I will post this weeks selections on tuesday or weds once were on at the prices.
May the run good continue

Place money for me with my single selection (Gonzo @ 10.5) in the place market, only got half mind you.

Still + c£200 is a welcome change for the better.

yeh wp saw after round 3 your horse was doing well  obvwanted ours to win  lets see who is fancied this week

I have just spoken to The Judge and he says the event this week "Austrian Golf Open" is very weak and the top 2 in the market have excellent chances and are shortening in the betting all the time so the staking plan for this week is    M A Jimenez  3pts e/w @ 7/1   G.Mcdowell  3pts e/w @ 8/1    D.Willett  1pt e/w @ 28/1 and R Jaquelin 1 pt e/w @ 33/1 so a total of 10 pts staked, again all of our bets are on at 6places and the respective bankrolls stand at   338.59 ours   blonde 209.5  both from start of 200.
GL this week,this will be the last week for a couple as he is going away so wont have the study time then its the ryder cup so will bump this when next selections are in.

i've done -

Kenneth Ferrie
Colsearts
Oliver fisher
Coetzee

will look out for them over next few days   gl

Small interest bets at big prices(85/90/100) on Lara, Vancsic and Larry "The Larrap"Larrazabal.

I'm on....
Gonzo
Edberg
Fisher
Jaquelin

good start by one of your horses  Coetzee

3 horses in the running and jimenez not to far away if he can shoot low today

your boy willet is top of the leaderboard, gl, gl.

My horse coetzee was 3 clear with 9 to play when all around him had finished their rounds yesterday. He then goes dbl bogey, quadruple bogey, bogey on the back nine. FFS.

I saw he was like 250/1 at start of tourney,
the back nine seems to be where they will make scores i am hoping to have willet and mcdowell in final 2 ball 2moro
One time win and a place  would be nice

Edberg only 2 off the lead at 50s! shame i didnt do it EW

EW FTW those places all add up if i dont scoop hope your horse does

Oi oi, just greened out on Lara @ 4 on BF, bit of a chicken I know but what the hell.

WP karabiner,  gonna be interesting last few holes

Just realised i said our stake was 10pts this week when in fact it was 16 pts staked

Well this was a slightly disappointing result as with a few holes to play it looked like a win and place could be on the cards but hey ho
So result this week is  Willett   1pt place at 28/1   1/4 odd  = 8pts returned
and Mcdowell  3pts place at 8/1 1/4 odds = 9 pts returned
So a total of 17pts returned having had 16pts staked and a pfofit of 1 pt
Bankrolls now    ours 339.59 and  blonde  210.5
As said before will post again when the judge is back from hols

Ok my friend is back from Hols so am going to keep this going, from the last post we have starting bankrolls of  339.59  (pre posting on blonde) and 210.5pts since starting this thread on blonde both from starting from 200pt betting bank.

Tips for Castello Masters Golf
S Garcia 12/1   2.5pts e/w
S Hansen 40/1 1pt e/w
G F Castano  22/1 1.5pts e/w
S Kjeldsen 28/1  1.5pts e/w
R Jaquelin 50/1 1pt e/w
A Noren 25/1 1.5pts e/w
P Hedblom 125/1 .75pts e/w
As before all our bets are on e/w terms of 6places

GL all  anyone fancy others??

Wow that is a great deal of bets.

Even by my standards, laying out 21 points on the outright spread over 7 players seems excessive, you're backing almost half the field! :)

Gl tho.

Don't back in the european tour hardly, find it too micky mouse compared to the us pga.

In that comp this week i'm on the following.

2 points win Ricky Fowler@11-1
1 point Ew Dean Wilson@100-1
1 point win Charley Hoffman@25-1

I'll put on another 5 points most likely before the third and final rounds.

Euro -
Parry
Jaidee
Finch

US -
Senden
Laird
Prugh

Appreciate where your coming from and if you look back through the thread he normally has about 5 horses running for him. this is the first time he has had this many.
Overall he has done well since the start hence the profit, and in light of the previous weeks i would ask him for 5 players max.
GL with your horses and will look out over the weekend, we never play any more over the weekend so will jus rail from here

Rickyyyyyyyyyy

Small bets for me on Nicolas Colsaerts @ 100, and David Howell @ 110.

Ooops that was wrong, i have 1 point chad campbell@25-1 not hoffman, there is the winner straightaway!

he hasn't won a tournament yet and he's trading 1st or 2nd in the market every week. No value. I don't imagine that'll stop you backing him every week though.

Annoying to see the 2 players i backed last week sat top of the leader board this week.....

I haven't backed him since the cat got out of the bag mate.

When he figures out how to putt he could be devastating.

chances this weekend heres hoping for a good 3rd round!

seems other posters have some chances in euro and us events

Currently 27 players within three shots of the lead in Spain.

Sweats all round.

out of 6 players picked this week, currently have 5 residing in the top 5. massive bok, cue triple bogeys all round.

hope its not a TIGER moving day for the wrong reasons

GL your american horses tonight ACE

No places this week so b/rolls are  pre blonde 320.09 and  blonde 191 pts both from 200 pt starting banks, will post next selections Tues or Weds

just laird with a chance left. taken a lump of simpson now as well. decent profit on those 2, anyone else and its a shit affair....

lol what a ridic way to end the playoff, am in vegas now and can tell you its insanely dark outside

no putting required....

I can't believe they played its so ridic dark outside

Starting Bankroll   pre Blonde 320.09   Blonde Bank 191

Golfers for this week at Andalucia Masters
G Mcdowell  3pts e/w   14/1
R Fisher 2pts e/w  20/1
S Dyson  1.75pts e/w 28/1
S Kjeldsen 1.75pts e/w 28/1
A Quiros 1pt e/w 40/1
As usual were on for 6 places

Feel free to post your horses for a weekend sweat and if Ace/Karabiner/Nico or Major Major fancy starting next year with a theoretical bank we could have a season long prop bet on points profit (rules to be agreed) for interest?

GL this week

Where are you getting 6 places from ?? Everyone doing 5 places that I can see

We have a local bookie in essex who will lay us most prices and 6 places but not for massive chunks probs up to £125 e/w

mbn

sometimes better val elsewhere so if they dont lay the price we have to swallow the place loss for a much bigger price but most of the time ok, i am sure if he keeps winning they will soon stop the 6 places but are happy to price match as 5/6 firms locally so they want the biz at the mo

I need to know what The Judge thinks.......;)

These are his thoughts, he just doesnt know i post them on here.
At least i make sure the price has not gone before i post them here   ;)

Lol. He seemed a most interesting Gentleman, & I much enjoyed his company on Saturday. I wish I'd known of his golf interst before he exited, I'd like to have chatted about it. Maybe next time.

Despite the sad lack of runners, I thoroughly enjoyed the evening, more for the craic than anything else. I'd deffo do it again.

Yeah its a shame really as they just dont get any runners for mini festivals there anymore, after  the Brighton boys came up a few times for a £500 and 15 runners along with D Lloyd and Albert but never anymore. Dont worry i shall get a T shirt printed with your face on and the "I was Tikay's yearly bluff victim" and wear it when i see you.
"The Judge" is an old school grinder in local comps probably wins  the quarterly league tables 3 out of 4 but never wins many comps its always min cashes but then grinds a living on golf /poker/ football and occasionally working on the rail.   Dont you find it strange when you travel around as that used to be one of my local card rooms when 3x the bb used to be the standard raise and now i travel around and play diff events it is just so 2006 and yet most of the players there dont seem to have moved on except the agro kid to my left who was mildly looser than me.

i've not looked yet. but i'm thinking that most of the top players have peaked already so looking for big prices this week especially in america where it should be absolutely wide open due to the shorter course. People who had decent weekend runs last week without really challenging would appeal i think.

Oddly, he got tighter & more passive as the Tourney entered the later stages. But you would not have noticed, as you were busto by then.......;)

Anyway, I'm hi-jacking your Golf Thread, so I had better move on.

PS - Making it a 1 dayer worked out nice for me, as I also won the Luton £100 on Sunday. Nice weekend!

Blatant Brag IMO

100% not wrong.

Not every day you see a 14 runner Tourney chopped 4 ways, now is it?

Whereas on Sunday, it was a 50 runner affair, so 6 of us chopped that, though I got the most money. ;)

This week's Valderrama picks for me:

Peter Hanson @ 30,
Nicolas Colsaerts @110,
Jeppe Huldahl @ 280,
Daniel Vancsik @ 420.

I'll give Dick Waver a call, I'm sure he'll be up for it.

cool lets set up something for next season

i hope thats genuine

Wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii
Well done to G-Mac and Kjeldsen for a win and a place this week anda total points return of 72.5 points giving a new bankroll pre blonde of  392.59 and the blonde roll of 263.5 both from 200 points start.
Will post selections Tues/Weds as usual

Nice result mate, managed a small profit in the pga comp due to crane winning. Might be up 4 that prop bet next year.

Well done mate yeah could be fun get some other blondes in like The Camels suicide pool and have some ground rules  sort out who may be int in few weeks

Ok here we go again   starting rolls   392.59 pre blonde and   263.5 pts both from starting rolls of 200 pts
This week even we are only on at 5places due to the reduced field number  :(

R.Mcilroy 25/1 3pts e/w
P.Casey 20/1  2 pts e/w
L.Donald 20/1  2 pts e/w
R.Fowler 35/1 1.5 pts e/w
H.Mahan 50/1  1 pt e/w

Total points staked 19 and as stated in the OP if we get over 400pts we are doubling the stakes so will drop back to 200 pts again but at £30 per point not the £15 we started at.

Max. bet on Tiger for me this week.

And a decent bet on Jiyai Shin in The Mizuno Classic.

Following you on Jiyai, she owes me big.

i don't understand the tiger bet though, against that field?

He looked to be swinging it much better in the RC, I just have a strong fancy that he'll play well.

im in on tiger as well.

Kaymer and Donald with Pettersson as dark horse outsider :)

peterson and donald no good in this company imo.

My bets are:

Rory 2 PTS WIN@ 26.5-1

Ben Crane 0.5PT EW@66-1

Robert Allenby 0.5PT EW@50-1

Louis Oosthuizen 0.5PT EW@80-1

Will most likely put another 5 pts on during the comp.

Gl all. :)

Fisher, westwood, karlson for me

mcillroy 3 e/w @ 20's and Danny willett 2 e/w @ 80,s got six places rory did well here last year and i think the course will suit willett as big strong hitters seem to have fared well on this course before.

Nice one Eso Kral!

Two placed for decent profit!

Only small stakes from me but a profits  a profit!

Well done - keep 'em coming!

the person who i back golf with picked molinari but we ended up not betting anything because i didn't realise it kicked off so early, would have had a nice 1-2, doh.

UL Ace only jus got chance to post was at DTD this weekend so couldnt remember who played who

2 places this week with Mcilroy and Donald placed so profit of 14.75 points so new bank rolls of  407.34 pre blonde and 278.25 post blonde so as stated in the original post the goal was to keep doubling the roll then halve it and double the stakes so if you started at £10 per point on our roll you now bet £20 but we only have  203.67 points.

So new starting roll   pre blonde 203.67  (having doubled roll) and post blonde 278.25
Will post selections tomorrow or Weds

Another week and some more selections
Barclays Singapore Open
I Poulter  16/1  Lads Coral Hills   3pts e/w
C Schwartzel 25/1  bet365   2.5pts e/w
M A Jimenez  40/1  365    1.25pts  e/w                       All bets on 1/4 odds 5 places this week
T Jaidee  60/1  Tote    1pt e/w
S Dyson 45/1   365   1.25pts  e/w
S Hansen  100/1  Tote  .75pt e/w
So total points staked this week of 19.5 from bankrolls of   203.67 (pre blonde having doubled the roll once) and  278.25 since posting on Blonde basically i started this challenge a number of weeks ago with £3000 betting £15 per point and now have £6110.10 so as planned have doubled our stakes to £30 per point and if and when i get to 400 points at this level will double again and move back to 200 points at £60 per point. If the roll comes to 100 points i will halve the bets  etc etc.
We are now finding it difficult to get 6places laid so areback to 5 places for the forseeable however this to my knowledge hasnt affected out totals since starting.

Gl all this week will look out for selections over the weekend

any thoughts on the USPGA event in Florida this week?

Have gone for each way selections on

Jeff Overton 22/1
D.J. Trahan 30/1
Rocco Mediate 110/1 - for me overpriced considering he had wire to wire victory in Frys.com event only 4 weeks ago (albeit on the back of a poor season to date)

TBH Matt if you read the first page these are not my selections but a good friend, his strength is European golf but he is currently working on the US side for next year.
GL with your selections tho i will look out for them over the weekend

I had Molinari done last week at 60's thought that was huge.  He played immaculate for 3 1/2 day.  only to bogeys.  Held his nerve to hold of a strong challege from westwood (his chiping and putting was just amazing to watch).  I have decided to go large again at 16's.  After watching him tear up the course last week, i believe he has the confidience and game right now to go for the asian double.   

Good effort Rich..........not quite though, a case of what ifs!

Don't know if you watched it but Poulter had 3, 10 foot birdie putts in first 3 holes on the resumption, all shaved hole - if one of those drops.......

He also very nearly chipped in on I think it was the 16th......again, if that had dropped, think he might of gone on to win. Scott's putting was awful.

Never mind....look forward to this weeks selections!

You playing Friday at EQ? Looks like could be 25k. 

Hi Andy,  Yeah even the place money slipped away!
Nah i am away for 1 week from thurs so will be at DTD for the rebuy on the 27th, u fancy it?

Sigh  missed out on the place money which would have been 3/4 stake back with Poulter blowing up  but hey ho so running totals  184.17 pre blonde and  258.75 post blonde. I will hopefully post selections once i have spoken to the Judge on Tues

Was there more than one Hansen playing? I glanced at a report saying that Adam Scott won it by 3 shots from Hansen - i assumed you'd got a 100/1 place!!

Yeah unfortunately we were on soren hansen not anders   :(   i had to double check to on sunday as it wouldve made abig diff

Selection Time again for the UBS Hong Kong Open

R.Mcilroy  8/1  5pts win
M A Jimenez 14/1 3pts e/w
G Bourdy 50/1 1pt e/w
D Mcgrane 66/1  1pt e/w
A Hansen 40/1  1pt e/w

Total points staked 17 from bankrolls of  184.17 pre blonde posting and 258.75  post blonde and remember the pre blonde bank has been double once so we started again at double the stakes but still 200points

Gl this week feel free to post selections pre weekend

Rory McIlroy 9.4 (betdaq)   WINNER 

Thongchai Jaidee 27 (e/w)

Gareth Maybin   60 (ew)


McIlroy has come close to winning in Hong Kong over the past two years, being pipped by Lin Wen-tang in 2008 and Gregory Bourdy 12 months ago.

"I love the golf course, I love Hong Kong and I love coming back here," he said.

"I know the golf course well and I feel I've got a good idea of what I need to this week to try and get that win here."

Lets hopeso  GL with these

Wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

Just got back after two weeks away to discover that the bet I left on Jiyai Shin @ 9 on BF did get matched.