blonde poker forum

No real reads, just 23 hands into this table.

Opinions?

***** Hand History for Game 70702798821 ***** (Poker Stars)
Tourney Hand NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, November 17, 03:01:17 ET 2011
Table 547011334 172 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: Noahtje ( $80416.00 USD )
Seat 2: nepovezlovam ( $49460.00 USD )
Seat 3: million779 ( $57843.00 USD )
Seat 4: Ultraballs18 ( $148591.00 USD )
Seat 5: Dodico ( $28869.00 USD )
Seat 6: amoszemun374 ( $29157.00 USD )
Seat 7: fladnag11 ( $30901.00 USD )
Seat 8: Caxatiu ( $15566.00 USD )
Seat 9: sssseeerrg ( $72392.00 USD )
Noahtje posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
nepovezlovam posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
million779 posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
Ultraballs18 posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
Dodico posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
amoszemun374 posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
fladnag11 posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
Caxatiu posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
sssseeerrg posts ante of [$300.00 USD].
Ultraballs18 posts small blind [$1200.00 USD].
Dodico posts big blind [$2400.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Ultraballs18 [  Tc Th ]
amoszemun374 folds
fladnag11 folds
Caxatiu folds
sssseeerrg folds
Noahtje raises [$7200.00 USD]
nepovezlovam folds
million779 folds
Ultraballs18 raises [$20400.00 USD]
Dodico raises [$26169.00 USD]
Noahtje calls [$21369.00 USD]
Ultraballs18 calls [$6969.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 9s, 9d, Qc ]
Ultraballs18 checks
Noahtje checks
** Dealing Turn ** [ 6c ]
Ultraballs18 checks
Noahtje bets [$21600.00 USD]
Ultraballs18 ????

y u no bet flop?

Because it's easily exploitable?

This is very player dependant for me TBH. Has he shown any hands in the short time you've been sitting there? Has he played many hands? How has he played them; Did he call big pre and easily fold when meeting any resistance on the flop? etc.

If you call and check the river to him he could/should shove on the river and then you're obv still in a bind. He's already put more than 40k into the pot and only has 40k behind so I don't know if he'll ever fold to a shove here.

Very difficult and I could do three different things depending on what I've seen the guy do in the previous few hands.

I'll lean towards calling now and hope he's at it (as quite a few will be if they have a smaller pair and want to get HU with all in boy.)

You have checked twice, why wouldn't he bet to take it off you. There is a high %age chance he is bluffing so I call.

just bet/fold the flop

With 80k'ish in the pot and oppo having 60k total chippies left what would your betsizing be to bet fold?