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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 04:28:50 PM



Title: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 04:28:50 PM
He's been at the table 3 hands, he 3bet the hand before with similar sizing. I think flop is pretty standard, thoughts on turn?

Poker Stars, $50 + $5 NL Hold'em Tournament, 15/30 Blinds, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com (http://"http://www.leggopoker.com") - Hand History Converter (http://"http://www.leggopoker.com/converter")

MP2: 2,585
CO: 3,161
BTN: 2,210
SB: 3,835
BB: 3,325
Hero (UTG): 4,020
UTG+1: 5,828
UTG+2: 3,324
MP1: 1,780

Pre-Flop: (45) Q(http://www.leggopoker.com/hh/images/spadenormal.gif) Q(http://www.leggopoker.com/hh/images/diamondnormal.gif) dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to 90, 4 folds, CO raises to 200, 3 folds, Hero calls 110

Flop: (445) 6(http://www.leggopoker.com/hh/images/clubnormal.gif) 9(http://www.leggopoker.com/hh/images/spadenormal.gif) K(http://www.leggopoker.com/hh/images/heartnormal.gif) (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (445) 7(http://www.leggopoker.com/hh/images/diamondnormal.gif) (2 Players)
Hero bets 240, CO raises to 480, Hero ?


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:00:25 PM
Why are we leading the turn?

If we think that he's not 3betting really light, then we aren't doing very well so why not check the turn again, as is now he's done a minraise yeh like fk am I folding call and see the river, see how he bets.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: cambridgealex on December 04, 2011, 05:09:56 PM
he has kk ldo

dont bet turn. fold now.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 05:12:25 PM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light

Never said this, that was your own assumption


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:13:56 PM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light

Never said this, that was your own assumption


wat


then why is it a decision?

if he can be light then go mental, dont fold. if he cant be then arguments can be made for b/f'ing turn. or just checking and giving up.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: mulhuzz on December 04, 2011, 05:14:55 PM
never minraising worse..


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:18:56 PM
never minraising worse..

if he's 3betting worse pre then he can be.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: mulhuzz on December 04, 2011, 05:23:14 PM
never minraising worse..

if he's 3betting worse pre then he can be.

I don't think (well, I wouldn't, prepared to be wrong tho) that some random guy in a $55 just spazzes like that. We certainly don't know enough about him to assume he isn't competent, so bet/fold turn is fine if you think he can be a little wider, otherwise it's fine to check/give up.

happily for you, if he's not spazzing, you save chips, and if he is, you'll find a better spot.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 09:45:05 PM
The lead on the turn was because it seems pretty unlikely he checks back AK/AA so I have the best hand here a lot, if he has JJ or some random 9x as a 3bet bluff then he always calls 1 street and a lot of the time calls 2


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 09:46:35 PM
The lead on the turn was because it seems pretty unlikely he checks back AK/AA so I have the best hand here a lot, if he has JJ or some random 9x as a 3bet bluff then he always calls 1 street and a lot of the time calls 2

if he can be 3betting so wide preflop then just check the turn and get money out of his delayed cbets and don't b/f the best hand on the turn?


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 09:55:36 PM
As the 3bettor, he should be cbetting dry K high flops almost always, with all his air and with hands that beat us. If it was K96 with a flush draw then its more likely he'll get check/raised so he's be less likely to cbet this light. Because of this I don't think he makes many delayed cbets that we lose value from by leading turn, he has some stuff that he might try to check down that we beat that we get value from by leading turn. And occasionally he might value bet turn or river with worse if we check but we're not losing value as he calls with these anyway


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: pokerfan on December 04, 2011, 09:57:24 PM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light

Never said this, that was your own assumption

Fair assumption given we have 3 hands on a random.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 10:00:08 PM
As the 3bettor, he should be cbetting dry K high flops almost always, with all his air and with hands that beat us. If it was K96 with a flush draw then its more likely he'll get check/raised so he's be less likely to cbet this light. Because of this I don't think he makes many delayed cbets that we lose value from by leading turn, he has some stuff that he might try to check down that we beat that we get value from by leading turn. And occasionally he might value bet turn or river with worse if we check but we're not losing value as he calls with these anyway


He should be but as we have no reads we don't know if hes good, if he's bad he can be 3betting too wide for value, 3betting randomly etc.

I don't see why one minute we think he's so good he'd cbet his air cos we know to on this flop texture, whilst at the same time he can be 3betting 99 pre antes.

Similarly you said he cbets AA/AK so how is he minraising the turn, surely with that read he just never has anything here.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 10:11:09 PM
I never said anywhere that he's 3betting 99. I said 9x hands, so that could include stuff like  7s 9s or Qc 9d or other random hands with a 9 that he decides to 3bet as a bluff.

It doesn't matter whether I think he's good or not (tbh he's not as most people who are good tend to be screennames I recognise or have hands on) he's still cbetting here the vast majority of the time.

And at no point did I say what I thought of his range when he minraises the turn, at the time I was just kinda wtf about it, peeled turn and folded river when I checked and he bet big. KK seemed pretty likely but AK/AA might sometimes get played like this


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: muckthenuts on December 05, 2011, 12:52:18 AM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light

Never said this, that was your own assumption

Fair assumption given we have 3 hands on a random.

C- level, ncie try


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: pokerfan on December 05, 2011, 08:37:43 AM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light

Never said this, that was your own assumption

Fair assumption given we have 3 hands on a random.

C- level, ncie try

 :D, Not sure even LilD could sort this thread out.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: muckthenuts on December 05, 2011, 03:46:12 PM
Not sure if i like the lead, what was your plan for the river if called? I think c/c > b/f here. As played seems like a really standard snap fold, don't like stationing off here.


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: titaniumbean on December 05, 2011, 06:24:56 PM
Hover over opponents location obv. Russian = kawl


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: Pugwashed on December 05, 2011, 06:29:54 PM
Not sure if i like the lead, what was your plan for the river if called? I think c/c > b/f here. As played seems like a really standard snap fold, don't like stationing off here.

I was betting river if called for all the reasons I mentioned above, I think I still like bet/fold turn bet/fold river here


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: muckthenuts on December 05, 2011, 06:41:34 PM
Not sure if i like the lead, what was your plan for the river if called? I think c/c > b/f here. As played seems like a really standard snap fold, don't like stationing off here.

I was betting river if called for all the reasons I mentioned above, I think I still like bet/fold turn bet/fold river here

Deffo on the thin side but yeah this line sounds reasonable.

So what did he have after you went call/call otr then?


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: Pugwashed on December 05, 2011, 06:53:37 PM
I folded the river when he bet big


Title: Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
Post by: muckthenuts on December 05, 2011, 06:57:36 PM
I folded the river when he bet big

Lol yeah right. But yeah def a fold on the turn