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Poker Hand Analysis
Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
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Topic: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random (Read 2489 times)
Pugwashed
Full Member
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Posts: 285
Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
on:
December 04, 2011, 04:28:50 PM »
He's been at the table 3 hands, he 3bet the hand before with similar sizing. I think flop is pretty standard, thoughts on turn?
Poker Stars, $50 + $5 NL Hold'em Tournament, 15/30 Blinds, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com
-
Hand History Converter
MP2: 2,585
CO: 3,161
BTN: 2,210
SB: 3,835
BB: 3,325
Hero (UTG): 4,020
UTG+1: 5,828
UTG+2: 3,324
MP1: 1,780
Pre-Flop:
(45) Q
Q
dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to 90
, 4 folds,
CO raises to 200
, 3 folds, Hero calls 110
Flop:
(445) 6
9
K
(2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn:
(445) 7
(2 Players)
Hero bets 240
,
CO raises to 480
, Hero ?
«
Last Edit: December 04, 2011, 04:40:56 PM by Pugwashed
»
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titaniumbean
Hero Member
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Posts: 10018
Equity means nothing.
Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #1 on:
December 04, 2011, 05:00:25 PM »
Why are we leading the turn?
If we think that he's not 3betting really light, then we aren't doing very well so why not check the turn again, as is now he's done a minraise yeh like fk am I folding call and see the river, see how he bets.
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cambridgealex
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Posts: 14799
#lovethegame
Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #2 on:
December 04, 2011, 05:09:56 PM »
he has kk ldo
dont bet turn. fold now.
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Pugwashed
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Posts: 285
Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #3 on:
December 04, 2011, 05:12:25 PM »
Quote from: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:00:25 PM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light
Never said this, that was your own assumption
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titaniumbean
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Posts: 10018
Equity means nothing.
Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #4 on:
December 04, 2011, 05:13:56 PM »
Quote from: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 05:12:25 PM
Quote from: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:00:25 PM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light
Never said this, that was your own assumption
wat
then why is it a decision?
if he can be light then go mental, dont fold. if he cant be then arguments can be made for b/f'ing turn. or just checking and giving up.
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mulhuzz
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #5 on:
December 04, 2011, 05:14:55 PM »
never minraising worse..
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titaniumbean
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #6 on:
December 04, 2011, 05:18:56 PM »
Quote from: mulhuzz on December 04, 2011, 05:14:55 PM
never minraising worse..
if he's 3betting worse pre then he can be.
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mulhuzz
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #7 on:
December 04, 2011, 05:23:14 PM »
Quote from: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:18:56 PM
Quote from: mulhuzz on December 04, 2011, 05:14:55 PM
never minraising worse..
if he's 3betting worse pre then he can be.
I don't think (well, I wouldn't, prepared to be wrong tho) that some random guy in a $55 just spazzes like that. We certainly don't know enough about him to assume he isn't competent, so bet/fold turn is fine if you think he can be a little wider, otherwise it's fine to check/give up.
happily for you, if he's not spazzing, you save chips, and if he is, you'll find a better spot.
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Pugwashed
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #8 on:
December 04, 2011, 09:45:05 PM »
The lead on the turn was because it seems pretty unlikely he checks back AK/AA so I have the best hand here a lot, if he has JJ or some random 9x as a 3bet bluff then he always calls 1 street and a lot of the time calls 2
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titaniumbean
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Equity means nothing.
Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #9 on:
December 04, 2011, 09:46:35 PM »
Quote from: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 09:45:05 PM
The lead on the turn was because it seems pretty unlikely he checks back AK/AA so I have the best hand here a lot, if he has JJ or some random 9x as a 3bet bluff then he always calls 1 street and a lot of the time calls 2
if he can be 3betting so wide preflop then just check the turn and get money out of his delayed cbets and don't b/f the best hand on the turn?
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Pugwashed
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #10 on:
December 04, 2011, 09:55:36 PM »
As the 3bettor, he should be cbetting dry K high flops almost always, with all his air and with hands that beat us. If it was K96 with a flush draw then its more likely he'll get check/raised so he's be less likely to cbet this light. Because of this I don't think he makes many delayed cbets that we lose value from by leading turn, he has some stuff that he might try to check down that we beat that we get value from by leading turn. And occasionally he might value bet turn or river with worse if we check but we're not losing value as he calls with these anyway
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pokerfan
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #11 on:
December 04, 2011, 09:57:24 PM »
Quote from: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 05:12:25 PM
Quote from: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:00:25 PM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light
Never said this, that was your own assumption
Fair assumption given we have 3 hands on a random.
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titaniumbean
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #12 on:
December 04, 2011, 10:00:08 PM »
Quote from: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 09:55:36 PM
As the 3bettor, he should be cbetting dry K high flops almost always, with all his air and with hands that beat us. If it was K96 with a flush draw then its more likely he'll get check/raised so he's be less likely to cbet this light. Because of this I don't think he makes many delayed cbets that we lose value from by leading turn, he has some stuff that he might try to check down that we beat that we get value from by leading turn. And occasionally he might value bet turn or river with worse if we check but we're not losing value as he calls with these anyway
He should be but as we have no reads we don't know if hes good, if he's bad he can be 3betting too wide for value, 3betting randomly etc.
I don't see why one minute we think he's so good he'd cbet his air cos we know to on this flop texture, whilst at the same time he can be 3betting 99 pre antes.
Similarly you said he cbets AA/AK so how is he minraising the turn, surely with that read he just never has anything here.
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Pugwashed
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #13 on:
December 04, 2011, 10:11:09 PM »
I never said anywhere that he's 3betting 99. I said 9x hands, so that could include stuff like
or
or other random hands with a 9 that he decides to 3bet as a bluff.
It doesn't matter whether I think he's good or not (tbh he's not as most people who are good tend to be screennames I recognise or have hands on) he's still cbetting here the vast majority of the time.
And at no point did I say what I thought of his range when he minraises the turn, at the time I was just kinda wtf about it, peeled turn and folded river when I checked and he bet big. KK seemed pretty likely but AK/AA might sometimes get played like this
«
Last Edit: December 04, 2011, 10:13:16 PM by Pugwashed
»
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muckthenuts
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Re: Stars $55 10k gtd, QQ facing 3bet from random
«
Reply #14 on:
December 05, 2011, 12:52:18 AM »
Quote from: pokerfan on December 04, 2011, 09:57:24 PM
Quote from: Pugwashed on December 04, 2011, 05:12:25 PM
Quote from: titaniumbean on December 04, 2011, 05:00:25 PM
If we think that he's not 3betting really light
Never said this, that was your own assumption
Fair assumption given we have 3 hands on a random.
C- level, ncie try
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