blonde poker forum

FML, wrote a huge post and closed the browser down by accident.  :'(

Take 2 - Shortened version.

With the arrival of MiniMilliDonk, nappies to buy and childcare to pay for I can longer afford to punt £200 on the footy every weekend, but I still have a rather large scratch that very much needs itching.

My aim is to have mega mortgage paying sweats with a small outlay. To do this I plan to bet on FGS E/W accas and perms to the tune of a £10 outlay. 

e/w on skybet means you get paid 1/3 odds if your chosen player scores in the first 5 goals.

Obv these bets are a bookies dream and in general accas are for mugs but the sweats you get with them are unparalleled imo and you just never know! Plus with the each way aspect and having perms it increases the chances of a return.

Will most likely being picking 7 teams and perming 6 folds, 4 folds and doubles at an avg odds of 5/1 x2 correct selections returns half stake and x3 correct sees us in profit 5 and up is mega monies.

Will post my selections for joint sweats rubdowns.

There are some very shrewd sports bettors on blonde and some people's knowledge on their own team's is second to none imo, so please feel free to pass on any thoughts on likely goalscorers that you might have.

Lets do eeeeet.

Thought I would come here to post gl but instead I am gonna just see if there is any professional help we can find you in Lincoln. :)

Norrrrrr, had Michu on my list who just scored 2nd for the swans but was far too late.

This week is speculative to say the least but didn't have much time, plan to do more research for next wknd and at least find out if every player is starting hopefully will get some input from a shrewdie or two.

This wknd:

Liverpool v Manchester City
Luis Suarez @ 13/2
Southampton v Wigan
Rickie Lambert @ 9/2
Middlesbrough v Crystal Palace
Scott McDonald @ 5/1
Stoke v Arsenal
Peter Crouch @ 7/1
Aston Villa v Everton
Marouane Fellaini @ 15/2
Berwick v Rangers
Barry McKay @ 7/2
Norwich v Q.P.R.
Adel Taarabt @ 15/2

Pays £245k.  :D

Have 0.12p doubles, 0.05p 4folds, 0.05p 6folds and 0.31p Acca all e/w = £10.00

1 TIME.

oh, and Herbie, Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu.

Good Luck Dave.

Forest home games first GS Id pick Adlene Guedioura

Good luck

Taarabt is on the bench today

Will try to give you some lower division ones for next week. ChipPrince good for that shizz too.

gl.

Scott Mcdonald not in the squad.

Lol. Is the bet void?

You must have taken longer to post your thread than actually picking your bets.
Barry McKay has made one start in 4 matches.

Yea, took an age to write it then deleted it by accident. Didn't have time to check all the starting lineups.

Bets obv not void just counts as non runner.

Non runners gotta beat losers

why wouldn't you just start next week if you couldn't check the starting line ups?

throwing money away.

Yea that would probs have been the sensible thing to do but I had an itch that needed scratching right now and i feel like the tenna has given me some fun already.

Fellaini has got us a place, couple of non runners, couple playing tomorrow, a 0-0 at the moment. Chance of getting a return is still alive.

You know Milligan right?

Suarez and Felaini e/w (both 2nd for rubs) + a couple of non runners returned £3.72. Bink one of these hard and it's handing in the resignation time.

lol - i used to do these all the time at uni but did Lucky 15's instead - always pick players 12/1 and over.

never binked one ever! although had a good few singles and doubles return.  some bookies do triple odds on singles too for extra value.

Do you like killing dreams you miserable sod.
Doing a tenner a time on these has to be better than any staking threads he might put up :)

First goalscorer betting can be profitable if you approach it correctly.  Stick to the front of the market.  Players at 10/1+ can be value but it is rare and you need to have a very good eye for the market to spot them.  The each way portion of your bet is much more likely to be value if you go for players in teams who are expected to be both in high scoring games and expected to score a higher proportion of those goals.  If you can find someone that also scores a high proportion of their teams goals (30%+) or can be expected to going forward then you can have a goldmine.  A good example recently was van Persie for Arsenal.  Often was 3/1ish but that was often a great price.....similarly Messi and Ronaldo have often been value although less so these days with more quotes of 2/1.  Beware of players that seem to score a lot of goals but don't take set pieces or penalties.  Very prolific midfielders who take free kicks and penalties can be value too.  I would do lucky 15's because they really do add a significant edge especially if you can find somewhere that will do you three times the odds one winner.

If I remember I will try and post a few players that seem to fit the bill.  Off the top of my head Ba and Cisse for Newcastle especially if you knew only one was going to start, Jelavic for Everton, Torres for Chelsea and possibly Bent for Villa but I would want to see them scoring more goals first but in cup comps he would be decent against weaker teams if starting.

Ouch. Too soon Herbie, too soon. Although if you look at some of the hands you will realise we we were mightly unlucky not to get the lot.

Hi Red, great post and really appreciate it. Completely agree the value is to be had with the e/w bets and i think there is money to be made with some proper research.

One thing i find confusing is that a player can he had at 6/1, so e/w for 1/3 is 2/1 but same player is 11/10 in the 90mins market. How does this work? Surely it makes sense to just punt FGS market Instead. I saw a few examples of this so I am assuming I am missing something.

Yes things I will be taking into account are form, specialit knowledge, set piece takers, historical results and also gut feeling.. Oh and I plan to check starting line ups this next week.

Think the Lucky15 would be better for more consistent small returns, but am gonna stick to the holy grail shots for a couple of months.

My first ever first goalscorer bet had a touch of value about it, qpr were playing at home midweek in the early 90s and the greatest header of a football was priced up at 8/1 to bag the first. The player in question was the goal machine Sir Lesley of the Ferdinand and in todays markets for the game would be priced 9/2. FGS markets were I'm there infancy and the odds compilers were way off, happily enough Les did what came naturally and bagged the first.

Red knows his stuff, but I always thought the value had been squeezed on the Rooneys, RVP's and the Messi's. I like the look of goalscoring Centre Halves, Vidic, JT, Ivanovic and Agger although this is not based on research.

Im going to have a shot at this in Capital One Cup games if they offer FGS in all the games on Tuesday and Wednesday. Looks like a bit of fun for a tenner :)

You need to check the starting line ups but will be a few high scoring games in these.

The matches are tomorrow, & most of them have the FGS markets up already.

Just go to this link, click on the individual "Game", then go to "More".


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup

I know you know that I am only kidding or at least I hope so. Let's not be results orientated buddy as you are gonna sell out your future staking threads no problems. The added laughs you return far out way any financial ones from binking the Sunday millions anyway. I can't see you ever struggling at least untill you have done your million chip dance anyway....


I know you can take the abuse and up for a laugh. So wanted to post in other peoples threads " wait a minute what do you mean you bust level 3 but perfectly happy with how you played and confirmed softest field ever.  You told us you represented excellent value at 1.6 and despite only having 1 herbiemob flag you managed to con everyone into chucking money away on you while you got drunk" :)

Wiiiiiiiiiii. <3 redsimon. #nolongeralonewolf GLGLGLGL

lolz Herbie, obv knew you were messing. You know me well enough to know there isn't that much I take seriously. Oh and cheers for the massive bok at ever selling out again. Will be expecting you to put up some monies.

Only 2 more bank holidays in 2012 which are Xmas day and boxing day.. got the family over so wont be able to play then. Probs next time I play a remotely decent sched will be March 29th 2013, will call it Good Friday Getout as no doubt I will be massively under it. Standard. 

Lol. I am a bit under it and between rolls ATM mate but think the only debts I have is for Tikays wsop next year and still owe Trigg a score from a book he ran so would always find $ for you if ever struggling (but won't be). Don't leave it too long because your staking/nitty/Acca threads are as popular as any other and great for the site.

stop, I'm blushing. You must have written that without seeing me abusing you in the discomonkey thread. wiiiii

Lol yeah just been there. Maybe we should get a room :)

One thing i find confusing is that a player can he had at 6/1, so e/w for 1/3 is 2/1 but same player is 11/10 in the 90mins market. How does this work? Surely it makes sense to just punt FGS market Instead. I saw a few examples of this so I am assuming I am missing something.

1 point ew @ 6/1 1/3rd odds place. Place bet returns 3 points if not FGS. Say more than 5 goals and your pick returns nil if 6 or later goal.

90 mins bet 11/10 2 points bet (same outlay as 1point ew bet)  scores and return is 4.2 points

:) if that's the explanation to Millys question I still don't understand it lol.

You get more back putting 2 points backing score in 90 mins than 1 point ew on FGS (unless your pick scores first goal!)

Yea but if he scores first you get much more and if in 90mins only marginally less.

They are priced differently for a couple of reasons.  Firstly the ninety minutes price includes all goals where as with most firms the each way is only the first 3 or 5 goals.  Secondly, the place price should be weighted to the number of goals in the game but obviously the firms can't change their each way terms for every game so you do get inefficiencies.  By way of example a player that scores roughly 30% of his teams goals in a game where they are even money and goals are 5/6 eachunder over 2.5 should be 13/8 to score in that game.  If you adjust goals to under over 3 goals 5/6 each  should be 11/8 but their actual price to score first doesn't change much.  Hope that all makes sense.

Yea cheers Red and Si, I didn't really take into account anytime there would be more than 5 goals at all and say it was Newcastle v Liverpool and we all expected another 4-4 thriller they can't adjust the terms of their FGS e/w bet so they adjust the 90 player minute accordingly. All makes sense now. Thanks. Really excited about the prospect of this thread.

What do people use as the most reliable source of squad news/starting line up? I've always tended to use skysports and the premiership site. Am I just better just going for 3pm kickoffs and putting bets on as late as possible? If I try and include Friday night, early kick offs or Sunday matches I could be a bit out of touch.

I look at loacal paper websites sky and bbc mostly...first job is to pick out a number of games where suggested over 2.5 goals and choose FGS from favourites in those games.










Alternatively Ill get the pin out at 6.45 pm and punt :)

Hi mate,

I'd think you would be more profitable doing this just backing the win part and picking strikers at clubs who a prolific in front of goal. 

If your just doing this for fun I'd concentrate on TV games also.

My bet fwiw would be:

RVP - Man U
Tevez - Man City
Ronaldo - Real Madrid
Messi - Barcelona
Hooper - Celtic
Torres - Chelsea

If you do something like that then you could also do another bet for smaller stakes with outsiders in the market. 

No FGS on Footy tonight too many potential no shows with reserve sides being put out

Will give it a punt Saturday

not an acca but nicky maynard 5-1 bet365 unlimited eway places is very fair this evening

LOVELY

Completely missed this. Very nice horsie!!

Would very much appreciate this sort of input on a Saturday afternoon.  :)

i will be back mate :)

thanks

If you back no goal scorer each way 1/3 first 5 do you win place part if theres less than 5 goals? Or am I missing something?

Wouldn't think so Si. Although I'm not sure. Wasn't actually aware no goalscorer could be backed e/w??

Might have to change the title to 'MilliDonk's Wknd footy Accas' as I have decided to add an overs acca into the mix. This is my lot though. Will not be punting anymore than £20 on footy per wknd. (Exlcuding my nit thread bet which is currently on bet 3 and is a separate roll entirely)

I have chosen all games where bookies have priced up unders and overs the same. I personally think the trend at the moment massively favours overs really. This method would probably get slated by the shrewdies/maths guys, but its a tenna and a bit of fun. I love trying new things, gotta spec to acc etc.etc.

So todays Overs looks like this:

£7.00 6 fold acca and 6x 0.50p 5 folds

Wrexham v Newport County
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Bristol Rovers v Morecambe
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Yeovil v Doncaster
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Bury v Notts County
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Leeds v Blackburn
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Crystal Palace v Sheffield Wednesday
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6

On the FGS bets now, really enjoying the research, but still happy to take any of your suggestions. Especially horspieplayer  ;), guy is on megaform with these!

Hi Milli

few i fancy today at prices in the championship

The lucky 15 for me is

Sean Murray watford 16-1

Wayne Bridge brighton 50-1

Adlene Guedioura forest 16-1

reda johnson sheff wed 20-1


My main goalscoring bet is in league one jamie paterson for walsall is a young winger/striker i am told he may be upfront today even if he isnt he will be to the right of a front three, 3 goals in 40 career games is hardly inspired but reports i have read have said he looks a more direct player this season

bet365 go 16-1 which is double elsewere had some of that and 13-2 anytime


good luck today

No Goalscorer is win only so scrap that idea :)

I've had a punt on following:

Samir Nasri  13/2 Man City Vs QPR

Kevin Nolan 8/1 West Ham Vs Fulham

Tom Ince 6/1 Blackpool Vs Leicester
 
Peter Lovenkrads 5/1 Birmingham Vs Peterboro

Ryan Cresswell 20/1 Southend Vs Wycombe

Steven Naismith 9/1 Everton Vs WBA

Jermain Defoe 4/1 Spurs Vs Norwich

Ew bets

42 5p ew doubles

70 5p ew trebles

70 5p ew fourfolds

42 5p ew five folds

£11.20 spent

Max return £63571.27 :)

Not even a 10p acca just in case simon? Would bag you 1/4 milli..

Celtic v Hibernian
Kris Commons @ 4/1
Derby v Watford
Sean Murray @ 12/1
Crystal Palace v Sheffield Wednesday
Kyle De Silva @ 14/1
Manchester City v Q.P.R.
Yaya Toure @ 7/1
Nottingham Forest v Charlton
Adlene Guedioura @ 14/1
Tottenham v Norwich
Moussa Dembele @ 12/1

GL all of us!!! Hopfully Sean Murray and Dembele can do the job on their debuts. Let the sweats begin!

oioi Kevin Nolan :)

Siiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiick. 1 min in. gogogogogogogo. so standard I subbed him out of my dream team this week as well.

rubs,

Just saw Murray scored in 1 minute. Was like wiiiiiiiiiiiiiii, then realised it was Palace Murray not Watford one. Sighs.

:)

Dembele gets there. But was Commons really 4/1 first scorer???

Yea, he was like 4th fav @4/1.

Pretty sick binking a 12/1 and at the moment getting zero returns as least I did was doubles. Maybe red has a point doing Lucky 15s!

Still got time!

Oooooh close. 2 goals off £300 odd quid and 1 goal off a small profit. Will try the same thing again next week.

ul

if anybody backed my nap with bet365 make sure they settled you correctly

they originally settled the 1st scorer as a loser for some reason

Holy shit, Patterson. oh wow! completely missed that!! is that 3/3 FGS you've hit?? with a brace and a hattrick added in for good measure. WP Sir. Keep em coming. I will make sure I actually back them now.

it wont last

but thanks

YAYA

Wiiiiiiiii YaYa. We got a return and at 12/1 and a 7/1 I think we might have even Binked a small profit.

Commons was a non runner as he was on the bench.

Yea just seen key de silva was a n/r as well. 2 win 2 lose 2 void. Could be ok. Had 15x 20p doubles e/w.

nice one...just a win double and two still in for places in tonights games

Ben Marshall

Brilliant free kicks

Nominated penalty taker

worth a shot any Leicester home game as FGS at 10/1, as today

Sighballs....bbc skysports app said Lovenkrads FGS but see its a Peterboro og so no return on my bet :(

On watching Forest today I might put McGugan in any FGS ew bet in future (if he starts) even his crosses go in :)

oioiiiiiiiii thread in profit on week 2. £55 returned from 2 wins, 2 void and 2 losses

£36.27 from doubles
£13.53 from trebles
£5.20 from 4 folds

Looking forward to next week already.

10/1 FK and Penalty taker!? Will add him to the arsenal. Nice one Tightamous.

vul Si.

Gone for RVP, Helgusson (Cardiff), Giroud and Ba in a lucky 15.

Wiiiiiii

For last night's JPT games the e/w odds on the first goalscorer at Bet365 were 1/3 odds for any goal. I assume they do this in all games, plus they seem to have better prices than SkyBet, so they might be a better option for you milli.

Don't have a 365 account anymore. Will see how i get on with this roll and if i busto will get the wife to open one on there. Cheers for the headsup mate.

Our right back is ridic attacking and has almost scored a fee times, his odds have been 33/1 every home game and 50/1 every away game.

Bruno saltor Brighton get onnn

Cheers for the info Anthony. Exactly the sort of stuff we are after. Bruno is now in the black book so to speak.

Seen him touted as a good bet before.

I'm certain Shaun McDonald is a certian starter for B'mouth tomorrow, but 2 goals at Pompey in midweek.

16/1 most places, good midfielder.

FGS bets are currently +35pts

Not a whole lot of teams I know about today, so gone for a 30p e/w Lucky 15.

We are sweating:

Northampton v AFC Wimbledon
Henoc Mukendi @ 8/1
Southend v Dagenham & Redbridge
John Spicer @ 16/1
Coventry v Stevenage
Kevin Kilbane @ 12/1
Yeovil v Bournemouth
Shaun MacDonald @ 16/1

Overs bets are - 10pts as we were so close last week I'm sticking to the same method.

Barnet v Gillingham
Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/6
Crawley Town v Portsmouth
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
AFC Telford v Lincoln City
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Southend v Dagenham & Redbridge
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Accrington Stanley v Bradford
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
Swindon v Leyton Orient
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/6

GL us

Not a great week last week but real footy is back on this wknd and already getting stuck in with my research.

FGS bets are +29.48 pts
Overs are - 20 pts

This will be my last week trying the same odds overs system. (unless we do a binky obv)

As usual any fancies welcomed.

a few that are a fair price this weekend

J Byrom
Npower League 1 Matches    Preston v Crawley   First Goalscorer

J Forster-Caskey
Npower League 2 Matches    Burton Albion v Oxford United   First Goalscorer   

Adlene Guedioura forest

Have had a 50p ew Lucky 15 on the following FGS:

Shinji Kagawa Man Utd 9/2

Steve Morison Norwich 13/2

Adam Le Fondre Reading 9/1

Steven Naismith Everton 8/1

Isn't Kagawa injured?

Would be a fool not to add Horsie's picks in after his record of late. Just trying to find out as much team news as poss before I hit submit.

gl all.

Ben Marshall 16-1 FGS Corals Wolves v Leicester tomorrow

Penalties, free kicks from everywhere, long shots

He's not a 16-1 shot in any Leicester game he plays

Norrrrr. Already pressed submit bet before I saw your post Tightmous. Nailed on now, might have to have a cheeky single.

All correct sees me quit work on Monday to play pokes sit on blonde fulltime.

Fulham v West Brom
Dimitar Berbatov @ 6/1
Norwich v West Ham
Robert Snodgrass @ 7/1
Arsenal v Southampton
Santi Cazorla @ 5/1
Burton Albion v Oxford
Jake Forster-Caskey @ 9/1
Preston v Crawley Town
Joel Byrom @ 18/1
Aston Villa v Swansea
Michu @ 15/2

#1time

Looking at overs bets now. Think i might have a new strategy..

Overs we are sweating:

Sheffield Utd v Bury
Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
Exeter v York
Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
Burnley v Peterborough
Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
Stoke v Manchester City
Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
Fulham v West Brom
Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
Aston Villa v Swansea
Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11

Gonna write out all selections on paper and tick em off as I watch the scores come in. Real excited about today. Not sure why, but Legooooooooooooooooo.

Good luck..but not keen on Stoke tbh

Is it an Acca or you doing trebles for folds etc?

I had a bet yesterday doubles and upwards on follwing 6 matches all over 2.5 goals

Brighton Vs Sheff wed (In)

Middlesbrough vs Ipswich

Bristol C. vs Blackburn

Rotherham vs Torquay

Chesterfield vs Wycombe

Burton vs Oxford

Si,

Its a e/w 6 fold, 5fold, trebs and dubz. Obv for pennies per line. I did have Lampard in instead of Snodgrass but changed it last minute. Not sure why really.

GL to the both of us. Guranteed Nolan scores instead.

Sigh at Norwich being 0-0 but oioiiiiiiiiiii Berbatov. Joke that i dont have an Arsenal e/w goal yet. Could do with a couple of e/w to keep me in the game.

Returned £2.40 last week for Berbatov FGS and a n/r. FGS bets are still in profit! Binning the overs side bets and going for a BTTS 6fold with 5fold perm. Going to be busy for most of the weekend so might have to post my selections today.

As usual any insider knowledge sling my way.

This week we are sweating, only returns 26k.  :(

Leeds v Nottingham Forest
Luciano Becchio @ 9/2
West Brom v Reading
James Morrison @ 9/1
Tottenham v Q.P.R.
Jermain Defoe @ 10/3
Wigan v Fulham
Franco di Santo @ 13/2
Chelsea v Stoke
Oscar @ 8/1
Southampton v Aston Villa
Rickie Lambert @ 11/2

Instead of overs we are on BTTS: £7 acca and 0.50p 5 folds returns like £250

Swansea v Everton
Yes @ 8/11
Southampton v Aston Villa
Yes @ 4/6
Swindon v Bournemouth
Yes @ 5/6
Notts County v Portsmouth
Yes @ 5/6
West Brom v Reading
Yes @ 5/6
Crystal Palace v Cardiff
Yes @ 5/6

GL Everyone. I am off out to pwn some souls at mini golf. Not sure when I will be back. Got a good feeling about today. Legoooooooooooooooo.

Becchio 1st, Lambert 2nd we have a return and still 2 games 0-0..

So ul with Morrison not scoring let alone not scoring first, Defoe first goal sees us in tiny profit, lambert scored two but 2nd and 4th. Could have been a deece wknd.

Btts bets were awful. Will put more thought into them next week.

Bagged a £2 loss on FGS this week. It's coming I can feel it!

FGS bets are +£17.48 Overs/BTTS Accas are - £30

Had a look back through my selections and if I had done anytime scorer Lucky 15s from the get go we could be doing rather well. (although results are slightly scewed as I picked 5/6/7 selections on some weeks, so not sure which 4 we would have picked)

As soon as we go into the minus column on FGS I will switch to anytime Lucky 15s as people have already said that is where the value is to be had.

Have actually done some research in the overs bets this week so not just sticking a pin it, If we completely brick this wknd I will bin them completely and just stick to goalscorer bets.

GL All.

D Ba @ 6.50
Reading v Newcastle   
L Clarke @ 6.50
Portsmouth v Scunthorpe
M Fellaini @ 7.00
Everton v Southampton
J Walters @ 7.50
Stoke v Swansea
L Suarez @ 5.50
Norwich v Liverpool
B Zamora @ 6.50
QPR v West Ham

Overs

 @ 1.80
Norwich v Liverpool   
@ 1.66
Wolves v Sheff Wed   
 @ 1.72
Stevenage v Bury   
 @ 1.66
Preston v Yeovil   
 @ 1.72
Fulham v Man City   
 @ 1.66
Bristol City v Leeds   
 @ 1.61
Livingston v Dumbarton

LEGOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Oliver Norwood Huddersfield. One to watch, 14-1 today.

Done a FGS 50p ew Lucky 15 on Skybet

Walters Stoke City vs Swansea 6/1

Ramirez Southampton vs Everton 10/1

Nolan West Ham vs QPR 15/2

Carayol Boro vs Leicester 10/1

Carayol non runner and Ramirez FGS  so in profit

hope you was on :)

 :)

Sick work Pokerfan, post earlier next time plz.  :)

Wolves let me down on the 6 fold overs acca, luckily had 5 folds permed at 40p so should get some change. Suarez first, Clark first, BA second by about 15 seconds. Zamora first tomorrow could see us turn an ok profit, from the sounds of it real unlucky for Felaini not to score as well.

Monday night Dave, bit of a sweat :)

Ah so it is, so it is. Siiiiiiiiiiiiiiighs. Will just have to find a nit thread bet for tomorrow then.

Made £1.63 profit on mine after Nolan didn't produce last night. Will do another one tonight I think full schedule of Chamionship matches

50p ew FGS Lucky 15

Emile Sinclair Peterboro @ Barnsley 8/1

Matt Derbyshire Oldham @ Crewe 7/1

David McGoldrick Coventry vs MK Dons 13/2

Oliver Norwood Huddersfield vs Leicester 12/1

£5606 if all 4 score first goal :)

steve foster barnsley 33-1

roger johnson 40-1

wayne bridge 40-1

simples!

Good luck!

Who do Johnson & Bridges play for?

Ended up 0.27p down after last wknd's x2 £10 bets. Could have been deece if Zamora found the onion bag. This week I will be picking 4 for a Lucky 15. Legooooooooooooooooo

baines 16-1 eway

fletcher 14-1 eway (sunderland)


and a juicy eway double for me tommorow

Richie Foran @  13/2 in this evenings highland derby, is one for me. 

50p EW FGS Lucky 15

Fletcher Sunderland @ Man City 10/1

Baines Everton @ Wigan 14/1

Derbyshire Oldham vs PNE 6/1

Nolan WHU vs Arsenal 9/1

£8802 when all score first :)

FGS Bets are +17.28 Accas are -30

Got rid of my over and btts accas and i'm going to try a 2nd half most goals acca
 
Second Half @ 2.00
Half with Most Goals
Yeovil v Colchester   
Second Half @ 2.00
Half with Most Goals
Accrington Stanley v Rochdale
Second Half @ 2.00
Half with Most Goals
Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town
Second Half @ 2.00
Half with Most Goals
West Ham v Arsenal
Second Half @ 1.90
Half with Most Goals
Chelsea v Norwich
Second Half @ 2.00
Half with Most Goals
Wigan Athletic v Everton


Working on my goalscorer Lucky 15 now.

Also had four matches over 2.5 goals in 4 £6.25 trebles. £25 staked

Leeds vs Barnsley

Sheff Wed. Vs Hull

Palace V Burnley

Ayr vs Alloa

(stolen from Eso's diary) :)

Really struggled with picking 4 players. (Aguero and Pienaar got the chop.) Gone for a 30p e/w Lucky 15 and a 50p e/w acca. Only pays 3k.  :( Legooooooooooo

Npower League 1 Matches MK Dons v Portsmouth
First Goalscorer
I Mcleod @ 10.00
Npower Championship Matches Leeds v Barnsley
First Goalscorer
L Becchio @ 5.50
Premier League Matches Southampton v Fulham
First Goalscorer
G Ramirez @ 8.50
Premier League Matches Chelsea v Norwich
First Goalscorer
J Mata @ 7.00

we've got a return. Mcleod first. Mata needs to find an e/w goal to keep the dream alive.

Beccio too nice one!

Oioi Becchio. Come on Mata to gimme a deece sweat tomorrow

Becoming an expert on just missing out 2/4 today again! :(

Of course Mc Goldrick and Andy Reid on my shortlist, I don't pick em and both are FGS :(

Got place up on Bains just Nolan to score a consolation goal now

Bokked myself by checking out returns if Ramirez gets a bink today. If we do a get there it will sure ease the damage caused by my wild punting yesterday. This and n!t thread is supposed to be curbing my off thread spews.. #MustStickToThreadBetsOnly! Joke that Mata didn't get a place, could have had a proper deece sweat for today. Whatever happens still in profit for FGS Accas. BTTS and Overs accas are now off the cards, trialled them for over a month, one off twice but thats not good enough.

GOGOGOGOGOGO THIS GUY:

(http://transfernewscentral.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/gaston-ramirez-shirt-wide148-347046_1600x900.jpg)

nice going milli

Oioiiiiiiiiiiiii Ramirez was a n/r. FGS bets are now +£60.80 Mug accas - £40 (these are binned now)

Normal footy returns today. wiiiiiiiiiiiii.

FGS is still +£60.80 as we swerved last week's internationals.


This week's selections are:

L Clarke @ 8.00
First Goalscorer
Swindon v Scunthorpe   
O Giroud @ 5.50
First Goalscorer
Norwich v Arsenal
D Berbatov @ 6.00
First Goalscorer
Fulham v Aston Villa
K Mirallas @ 6.50
First Goalscorer
QPR v Everton

Not put as much work into these as I usually do, but hey ho legooooooo.

Fgs is +50.80

looking like I could be out this morning, so got em on early

30p ew L15 and an acca

llana
Nolan
Crouch
Ba

gl all

FGS +43.60

N Jelavic @ 7.00
Fulham v Everton   
G Bale @ 6.50
Tottenham v Wigan Athletic
R Lukaku @ 6.00
West Brom v Southampton
A Taarabt @ 6.50
QPR v Reading

ROLL +34.20

Y Cabaye @ 11.00
First Goalscorer
Newcastle v West Ham   
J Cassidy @ 5.50
First Goalscorer
Oldham v Tranmere
J Mata @ 8.50
First Goalscorer
Chelsea v Liverpool
S Maloney @ 8.50
First Goalscorer
Wigan Athletic v West Brom

Probs give this another 3 weeks then bin it. In small profit but not as fun as I was hoping it would be. Not having any sweats the last couple of weeks probs doesn't help.

Oscar
Lambert
Fellani
Odemwingie

25p ew 15.   The bink pays £1625.