blonde poker forum

Guy's.

Live Poker and would appreciate inputs on ranges.
There are 15 left with 12 getting paid.
Blinds are 4K and 8K with a 800 ante
I am UTG with 74K
Recently just moved to the table.

Whats our shoving range here?

well it's live so I can presume avg stack being 20bb>
with 9bb I will be playing an approx range UTG of 88+ AK AQ... MAYBE AJ
of course there is huge dead money in pot and some will feel happier with lighter ranges.
with most live comps structure become so tight near bubble and FT there is no room for error
happy grinding away to 4 bigs and a dream before I'm getting it in,
2 callers plus dead money you'll be back to over what you have now ;)

my range tends to probably be a little wide in the spot. Will depend on what the stacks are in LP and the blinds and whether i think many people will call me off. Im shoving most pairs here and most A's probably K10+ here also mabye QJs+.. Lets say theres 7 of you on the table thats not many people to get through and you are going to scoop 17k in blinds and antes which will take you up to 90k. a lot more comfortable.

Seriously grind to 4bb. 

55+, AQo+, KQss+ probably for me.

Reasons are:
- we expect to get called by pairs, Ax, big sooted broadways
- we have to get through 8/9 people, even with tight ranges I can't remember the exact number but its something like we're called 30-35% if they only call with 8%  (saw in a nlhe maths vid)
- its more profitable to shove atc bvb/ btn vs blinds than a 5% range utg. (I believe)
- its one of the biggest mistakes/ leaks of all players shorthanded as I understand it.

seriously.

only 15 players left so max 8 players but i would imagine 7 as he had just moved to the table! Your range seems ok to me though

yeah its 0.92 (1-0.08) to the power of 8 to find how much they fold in total behind so 0.92*.92*.92 etc etc 8 times or however many people to act

so they fold 51% of the time and therefore call 49% of the time

8% of hands is something like 66+ ATs+ AJo+ KQs which seems pretty reasonable

Yeah, this part of my game was a massive leak until this year.

When I asked and listened to everything TL900 has to say on the subject.

Also fitzy is sick with <30bb ranges.


But yeah those ranges look 'unexploitable' to me.  Only adjust when we have very very VERY specific reads.

I believe this tournament is an APAT which makes a difference, they play really nitty, even at this late stage. That calling range is much too wide (it is what it should be, but not what it is), people don't make those calls in this tournament. I would say the calling ranges of most of the table would be 88+ and AJ+.

Average stack at this point was about 18BB wasn't it?

This makes a huge difference to the shoving range. I would assume, although I am also interested in the outcome of this thread as I don't know the answer.

Possibly true Rod, however some players may call wider.

Think that range is close to unexploitable, let them make the mistake IMHO

Eh wrong thread, i'll edit this later seeing as I posted

Hi John
- its more profitable to shove atc bvb/ btn vs blinds than a 5% range utg. (I believe)
thanks for that john, this is something i prob dont do enough, and strange thing although i play quite tight my utg shoving range always seems too wide whenever i post a question re a hand i played lol

This cannot possibly be true.

Makes a good story though

Can't remember the exact math/ justification.

But irrc its something along the lines of:

- When we shove UTG vs 8 other people we get called by x range with x equity vs our x range.
- In effect we will be getting called 'a chunk' even if its as little as 30% (think its higher with a 5-8% calling range - but that might be too wide) that still means we're up against a good hand almost always, sometimes completely crushed and rarely ahead even if we only shove 77+, KQs, AQo  (the times we're ahead we're often flipping)
- In a bvb situation many people will not call correctly
- In fact, many will fold too much, allowing us to shove 80%+ and getting a phenominal amount of folds.
- When we do get called by the BB, we will be called by a wider range than if we were UTG vs 8 people
- As such we will likely have more equity more often (in effect being in a lot of 60/40's)
- We can get called by worse which rarely happens in the other scenario


or something... I can't remember exactly, just rememeber in one of the many math series I watched the guy advocated shoving a sickeningly tight range in EP/MP in favor of the numberous amount of times we get folds when we shove LP/bvb with good ranges.


Get one of the good players in here to tell me where I've mis-interpreted it.  (not meaning you guys aren't good ofc)

But a 5% range is really strong!! With a large chunk of that range we are HOPING for a call. And we are not crushed when they call very often at all. Over half of that range is QQ+ or AK. Surely this shoving stuff is 'symmetrical'?. If they call too much then hands like JJ and AQ become good for value. If they call too little then you have more fold equity to compensate for the equity disadvantage that the bottom of your range has when called.

True.. However combinatorics dictate that when were shoving Ax we're more likely to get called by a pair/ same hand.  Obv no big wins there. When we've shoved a pair, and get a call from AQ/AK they've got plenty of equity.

The important part of this is that we get a huge number of consistent +bb's from shoving btn vs bb/ bvb and getting the folds.

obv we want the call and double up but if you've seen the graphs of variance of mtt's then you need to run super good to 'hold' in enough big all in pots.

A2s+, A8o+, KJo+, K10s+, 22+, 910s+

44+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs is unexploitable here, but i'd be narrowing this down to something like 66+ Axs ATo+ KJs+ KQo QJs just because it's live and even a 8bb stack has decent FE and you can have an edge still out of 8bb with an orbit to pick up better than QTs utg.

I understand the principle behind what you are saying obviously. And if you were comparing jamming ATC on the BTN to opening a 10% range UTG then I can see that there might be a lot of validity in what you are saying. But we are talking about a 5% range here!! This is a VERY narrow and strong range, and a 100% range from the BTN is, well, rather less narrow and strong ;)

I get the idea that, to paraphrase what you are saying, 'if we jam a pair and get called by AQ, or we jam AK and get called by a pair, we are only flipping'. But what about when we jam a pair and get called by a smaller pair, or jam AK and get called by AQ? Combinatorics does not make it less likely that an opponent will have QQ or JJ when you have AA or KK!

A 5% range is just SO SO strong and a 100% range is just SO SO weak. I mean if you can PROVE this to me mathematically then go for it... but my gut says this won't be possible, because the initial statement is incorrect.

Just to repeat... I do get the wider principle that you are making with this statement. I just think the exact numbers given are WAY off.

no fear

Many Thanks for the feedback.

I had 77 UTG and shipped.

SB woke up with QQ.

Thanks.

Can I steal this thread please?  Hope you don't mind David but I want to know the calling range.

What should the SB calling range be? Obv QQ is a snap and just unlucky for David to walk into that. I am the SB with about 125K if I remember rightly. I know David is a strong player but expect him to be opening up a bit as the blinds are going up and he is quite short stacked, he has not been playing that reckless at this table but has got a few shoves through, I doubt he is shoving with total air OOP here though. I am also sure he is not going for the min cash, but the final table, and is aware of how the table is playing (too tight for this part of the tournament). I have Eck behind me in the BB who also knows all of this but I don't expect him to be calling that light after I reshove from the SB.

What should I be calling with? I was probably calling with AQ+ and TT+ is this too tight or about right?

How meny players on your table 7 or 8?. Is it hand for hand yet?. Range will be slightly different for the 7 handed table
also if its not hand for hand will have an effect on pushing range. Two tables now though yes?

Would be more concerned with my M than with BB's at this stage taking into consideration antes/shorthanded.

Rod as Keys would say "one word sngwiz"

Depending on the original position of open, something like 88+ AQ+ Really depends on image too, some live tournies you can fold 88 here too.

Can you fold 88 against somebody you know is good though?

not really, but shouldn't call those ridiculous live nits who wait for a premium.

AJs+ / AQo+ / 88+

Whats average stacks? JBlack's ranges look ok assuming we are shortstack, but depends how good a structure it is and table stacks alot

74k stack and assuming 8 handed table rather than the 7 handed one.
Blinds/antes per round are 18400 leaving us with an M(or CSI) of 4.

Think our pushing range could actually be somewhat wider than mostly suggested so far.
Only real problem is being near the money bubble.

May raise an eyebrow or two but 33+,ATo+,A9s+,KQo,K9s+Q9s+,J9s+,T9s.
Personally being a nit would want a smaller range though.