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Title: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 04:05:06 AM Lineup full of heroes for tomorrows final:
Dean Swift 766000 Jamie O'Connor 473700 Andrew Hills 427000 Tim Blake 367700 Luke Schwartz 314000 Mark Karoullas 241800 Mitch Johnson 210100 Shaun Conning (claypole) 156200 Tom Myland (chinamug) 135800 Playing for £45k Offering odds on: Jamie O'Connor 5-2 up to £400 Luke Schwartz 4-1 up to £250 Tim Blake 5-1 up to £200 Mark Karoullas 7-1 up to £140 Shaun Conning 8-1 up to £200 Tom Myland 20-1 up to £50 3/3 books I've ran have all lost money so I think I've found something I run bad at, so take your shot! Not offering odds on Mitch because really don't want to have any reason to antisweat the big lad. Sent to 20alex430 or bank transfer, need to receive by 2pm :) Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: George2Loose on October 21, 2012, 05:04:38 AM Don't want to anti sweat either. Go Mitch!
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: George2Loose on October 21, 2012, 05:05:00 AM And gl to claypole and tim
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: Leatherman on October 21, 2012, 08:28:40 AM I'm going to wait and see who LIONRAMPANT choose's then lump on.
Really hope Mitch ships it tho. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: AlexMartin on October 21, 2012, 09:13:59 AM gl jamie, tim, mitch, tom but really hope shaun ships it!
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: redarmi on October 21, 2012, 09:24:22 AM Edited because I may not be able to get online to deal with this.....
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: Doobs on October 21, 2012, 09:42:26 AM It is like Betfair never happened.
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: claypole on October 21, 2012, 09:48:52 AM gl jamie, tim, mitch, tom but really hope shaun ships it! Thanks Alex - and for all the other nice comments. It was fun yesterday, was a yo yo day and played a couple of interesting hands....owned by Jamie who 5 bet 9c 3c pre and the 4 bet a Ac 2h 7d board when we were 130bb deep - one of those moments you just have to smile and say vwp as I mucked Qs Qh Good thing about today is its spin up time so I can just enjoy; and also it's a good bunch at final. Was good to meet Mitch properly; quote of day - a guy asks him if he a wants the purple starburst, he opens his mouth like a hungry hippo and said "any colour". Tim is just a legend who I'll be rooting so hard for, one of the good guys and a lovely man. I enjoyed playing with Jamie, who made a great gesture and showed me his hand when I made a big ish pass last level of the day. Chip leader seems a nice guy, Mark is cool and I actually really like Luke when I didn't expect to; very funny guy and I like his humour and he's pretty entertaining; was on the wrong end of it once, I deserved ridiculing, received obligatory abuse but we laughed about it at end of the day. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: peejaytwo on October 21, 2012, 10:01:55 AM Quote Jamie O'Connor 5-2 up to £400 Luke Schwartz 4-1 up to £250 Tim Blake 5-1 up to £200 Mark Karoullas 7-1 up to £140 Shaun Conning 8-1 up to £200 Tom Myland 20-1 up to £50 3/3 books I've ran have all lost money so I think I've found something I run bad at, so take your shot! Not offering odds on Mitch because really don't want to have any reason to antisweat the big lad. Sent to 20alex430 or bank transfer, need to receive by 2pm Alex,i know you are new to being a bookmaker,but i make those prices roughly 94%,and you havn't quoted three of the players! two of these are the chip leaders and Mitch who we know has a great chance (can understand you not wanting to quote,but he still has a price percentage) Using you prices as a template ive gone 9/4 dean swift 3/1 hills 5/1 mitch so whole field gives a 165% book. if your previous 'books' have been to these percentages you do indeed run bad to be losing 3/3. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: placewise on October 21, 2012, 10:27:21 AM GoGoGo Luke Schwartz! Crush Team Ulrika Johnson! #AttackPoker
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: TightEnd on October 21, 2012, 10:50:01 AM why wouldn't you offer odds on Swift and Hills, two of the top three stacks?
Not sure offering yourself groundskinners on two of the most likely winners is going to produce you that much business... Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: TightEnd on October 21, 2012, 10:50:53 AM and good luck Mitch, claypole, Tim, Boz and Tom
Well played and one of you bring it home Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: Skippy on October 21, 2012, 11:04:16 AM if your previous 'books' have been to these percentages you do indeed run bad to be losing 3/3. Yes they were, and yes he is! Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: T8MML on October 21, 2012, 12:00:23 PM Thx for the support guys - a bit like a Blondepoker Sng this one!! Gl Shaun - top lad Mitch - only bloke in poker to have more chips than me - on his plate ;) Jamie - you wanna see flair son? Look at my trouser bottoms!! And remember - 9 9 9!!!! Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: TightEnd on October 21, 2012, 12:02:05 PM Meanwhile, in Dublin
We have Sweetman in contention... The Boylepoker.com International Poker Open enters day two with just 138 players remaining from the original field of 1148. The €230 buy in main event has a prizepool of €229,600 and is headed by Zane Henry from the UK with 362,500 chips with compatriot Benjamin Sweetman close behind in second with 336,500. The top 10 chip leaders are: 1: Zane Henry - 362500 2: Benjamin Sweetman - 336500 3: Sean Brennan - 315000 4: Tom Brady - 308000 5: Turlough McHugh - 303000 6: Alex Perry - 302000 7: Alan Byrne - 281000 8: Vincent O Toole - 257500 9: Darren Tormey - 257000 10: Mark Dillon - 249500 Day two gets underway at noon today Sunday, October 20 and play will continue until a final table has been reached. Players will then break and return on November 10. The final table players will be playing for: 1: €42,530 2: €30,715 3: €21,605 4: €16,215 5: €12,730 6: €10,620 7: €8,485 8: €6,375 9: €4,150 Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: Leatherman on October 21, 2012, 12:59:07 PM If somebody could put stream link up for me that be great.. Ta
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 01:07:47 PM Quote Jamie O'Connor 5-2 up to £400 Luke Schwartz 4-1 up to £250 Tim Blake 5-1 up to £200 Mark Karoullas 7-1 up to £140 Shaun Conning 8-1 up to £200 Tom Myland 20-1 up to £50 3/3 books I've ran have all lost money so I think I've found something I run bad at, so take your shot! Not offering odds on Mitch because really don't want to have any reason to antisweat the big lad. Sent to 20alex430 or bank transfer, need to receive by 2pm Alex,i know you are new to being a bookmaker,but i make those prices roughly 94%,and you havn't quoted three of the players! two of these are the chip leaders and Mitch who we know has a great chance (can understand you not wanting to quote,but he still has a price percentage) Using you prices as a template ive gone 9/4 dean swift 3/1 hills 5/1 mitch so whole field gives a 165% book. if your previous 'books' have been to these percentages you do indeed run bad to be losing 3/3. Thanks mate, I was advised to do it 130% for this sort of thing, which is what my spreadsheet is programmed to do for me, and then I increase or decrease it based on my opinion of the players chances of winning (hence why I don't offer odds on people I've never seen play or heard of). I think the prices may be worse than 130% because I don't wanna get burned again, so I've made them a little shorter, but also because I've offered odds on the best players left in, so each one as been adjusted for having a skill edge. Appreciate the advice though mate, will still to 130% next time and just hope to run better. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 01:08:25 PM If somebody could put stream link up for me that be great.. Ta http://www.facebook.com/GUKPT/app_507775145914938 Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: zerofive on October 21, 2012, 01:13:04 PM £50 on chinamug for a punt. If his posts are anything to go by, he doesn't know what a playing card looks like but would definitely start yelling at it anyway, but nothing would be sweeter than taking Alex for a bag.
£50 on Jamie for insurance. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 01:15:21 PM Booked Sean.
NEW PRICES: Dean Swift 2/1 Max £500 Jamie O'Connor 5/2 Max £350 Andrew Hills 5/1 Max £200 Tim Blake 6/1 Max £200 Luke Schwartz 9/2 Max £225 Mark Karoullas 9/1 Max £110 Shaun Conning 9/1 Max £150 Tom Myland 25/1 Max £20 Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: Dubai on October 21, 2012, 01:20:38 PM :)
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 01:22:53 PM You guys have taken me for £2k on these prices this month!
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: smashedagain on October 21, 2012, 01:23:42 PM I think that its excellent fun and he puts the effort in and deserves the results out. Adds a bit extra to the sweats too.
Can't get that link to the stream to work tho Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 01:32:02 PM You guys have taken me for £2k on these prices this month! ... which at the quoted books is extremely bad luck. However, run that book every week for a year and you would clean house. Either price up the lot or none at all. If you do the math correctly, it won't matter who wins, you will make a profit so the reverse sweat nonsense doesn't apply. Even bookmakers that own horses/ dogs take bets on their own animals. All or nothing. Peace. That's assuming everyone sells out. Agree with your general point though, thanks for the advice. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: edgascoigne on October 21, 2012, 01:35:06 PM You guys have taken me for £2k on these prices this month! ... which at the quoted books is extremely bad luck. However, run that book every week for a year and you would clean house. Either price up the lot or none at all. If you do the math correctly, it won't matter who wins, you will make a profit so the reverse sweat nonsense doesn't apply. Even bookmakers that own horses/ dogs take bets on their own animals. All or nothing. Peace. The bolded bits just simply aren't true. Whilst Alex has a theoretical +ve expectation to suggest that getting stung 2/2 is "extremely bad luck" is a long way from being accurate. The second bolded part is only true if Alex manages to run a completely balanced book, which is unlikely for any number of reasons. Whilst I would agree the book he is betting to here has too much fat (it was me that advised Alex to bet to 130% generally), the service takes a reasonable amount of admin effort to run, produces a degree of volatility for Alex himself and, perhaps crucially, is currently without a competitor. If anyone wishes to bet more competitively than him I'm sure they will quickly nick his business, though I am yet to see anyone step up to do this.... Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: edgascoigne on October 21, 2012, 01:35:32 PM More importantly, good luck all heroes left in!!
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: smashedagain on October 21, 2012, 01:50:02 PM Not friends with Tom Myland or Shaun Conning (must have deleted me) on Facebook but would love to see these guys win, along with Jamie, Tim, Mitch or Luke. Almost a perfect final other than it missing Foxy.
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: iangascoigne on October 21, 2012, 01:57:08 PM Good luck to 'Mitch the Chip'. He eats what he wants,he eats what he wants.
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: redsimon on October 21, 2012, 02:28:13 PM Bit disappointing its not on table with hole cards shown
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: smashedagain on October 21, 2012, 02:30:15 PM The stream keeps messing up. Is it the laptop I am using or the same for everyone else?
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: toddswain on October 21, 2012, 02:31:14 PM The stream keeps messing up. Is it the laptop I am using or the same for everyone else? Was same yesterday, pretty painful to watch. Gl Shaun and Mitch obv Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: redarmi on October 21, 2012, 02:34:29 PM You guys have taken me for £2k on these prices this month! ... which at the quoted books is extremely bad luck. However, run that book every week for a year and you would clean house. Either price up the lot or none at all. If you do the math correctly, it won't matter who wins, you will make a profit so the reverse sweat nonsense doesn't apply. Even bookmakers that own horses/ dogs take bets on their own animals. All or nothing. Peace. The bolded bits just simply aren't true. Whilst Alex has a theoretical +ve expectation to suggest that getting stung 2/2 is "extremely bad luck" is a long way from being accurate. The second bolded part is only true if Alex manages to run a completely balanced book, which is unlikely for any number of reasons. Whilst I would agree the book he is betting to here has too much fat (it was me that advised Alex to bet to 130% generally), the service takes a reasonable amount of admin effort to run, produces a degree of volatility for Alex himself and, perhaps crucially, is currently without a competitor. If anyone wishes to bet more competitively than him I'm sure they will quickly nick his business, though I am yet to see anyone step up to do this.... This would all be true and I would agree 100% if this was anywhere near to a 100% book. If the other three were priced and were 2/1 combined which is what they would need to be in order make this book 130% then they would be a triple max bet. In reality it is more like a 160% book. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: smashedagain on October 21, 2012, 02:47:37 PM The stream keeps messing up. Is it the laptop I am using or the same for everyone else? Was same yesterday, pretty painful to watch. Gl Shaun and Mitch obv Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 03:28:27 PM Tim abs bossing the final. Chip leader 7 handed, knocked Claypole out QQ>44. Mitch folding a lot, grinding out the pay jumps.
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: claypole on October 21, 2012, 03:33:43 PM Runner runner hearts for the boss - sorry to Mitch and Boz but funking hard for Tim
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: peejaytwo on October 21, 2012, 03:35:11 PM Quote Whilst I would agree the book he is betting to here has too much fat (it was me that advised Alex to bet to 130% generally), the service takes a reasonable amount of admin effort to run, produces a degree of volatility for Alex himself i think betting to a 30% margin is ok in these speciality markets,but i would dispute that it takes much effort on the admin side. Its a good idea to lay all the runners for 1k, a bigger bet than most of the high street bookmakers take but as he only lays the bet once i dont think Alex would be particularly worried about the swings. ive no problem either way,just think he'll do more business with better prices,but heh if people bet into 160% books then carry on. good luck to mitch and tim blake btw as ive shared tables with both. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: peejaytwo on October 21, 2012, 03:39:05 PM just clicked on the link and got the message...
hi i'm eleanor remember me? i'm on maturedating.com lolol,how do they know i'm 50! Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: claypole on October 21, 2012, 03:57:15 PM Tims running like Frankel on some banned substance - nice pass by Boz as well
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: smashedagain on October 21, 2012, 04:01:05 PM Tims running like Frankel on some banned substance - nice pass by Boz as well yeah really enjoying this Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 21, 2012, 07:12:29 PM Wp and ul Tim and Mitch.
Grats Boz... [X] knocked it in again. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: smashedagain on October 21, 2012, 07:18:16 PM Wp and ul Tim and Mitch. great final table. Stream was a little tilting at times thoGrats Boz... [X] knocked it in again. Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: redarmi on October 21, 2012, 10:22:26 PM To be totally fair I think the prices were very, very good today. You clearly made a couple of mistakes in your first few books (more so the first one than the second) but you have clearly learnt from it. Can't see you doing much going forward without significant run bad although you probably won't write much action either as the posters here are for the most part pretty sharp.
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: dreenie on October 22, 2012, 01:39:04 AM What were the full results? Well done everyone, and 'Alex', did u make money out of your book?
Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: cambridgealex on October 22, 2012, 02:08:31 AM What were the full results? Well done everyone, and 'Alex', did u make money out of your book? Boz 1st, Tim 3rd, Luke 4th, Mitch 5th, Claypole 7th or 8th. And no, I lost a bit, 4 out of 4 now :( Title: Re: GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread Post by: dreenie on October 22, 2012, 02:39:48 AM wd everyone. Better luck next time Alex :(
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