Title: Call or fold? Post by: ACE2M on March 13, 2006, 02:33:35 PM You are in the bb with 10 J suited and a stack 30k.
UTG raises 3 x BB to 1800 and he has a stack of 24k You call Flop comes J 7 3 no flush draw you check utg bets 2300 you call turn comes A you check utg checks river 6 you check utg bets 9000 Call or fold? Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: jezza777 on March 13, 2006, 03:02:38 PM hmmmm, I think that you have to fold on the river , his position and his turn check make me think he has AA, KK, QQ , I think he bets the turn with ak or aq. HIs 9000 bet is almost half of his stack . I dont think that secind pair ish kicker is enough here.
Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: TightEnd on March 13, 2006, 03:29:10 PM his check on the turn is designed to get you to bet the river. Well done for not doing so
He then bets the pot (roughly) on the end to try to thrown you off the scent.. a value bet would be less...he's try to make it look like he is buying the pot (which of course he could do, you've checked to him twice indicating you do not have an Ace) I think this is a standard line with a big overpair to the flop...AA/KK/QQ is my suggestion here Fold Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: matt674 on March 13, 2006, 03:35:34 PM But he could possibly have AK as well so by check raising on the flop you could get him to pass and not give him the chance to hit his Ace on the turn.
If he comes over the top of you again then you know he's got your top pair beat and you can lay it down on the flop. One reason why i dont like flat calls with marginal hands out of position when it gets to the middle/end stage of tourneys, you never know where you stand........ Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: TightEnd on March 13, 2006, 03:37:16 PM But he could possibly have AK as well so by check raising on the flop you could get him to pass and not give him the chance to hit his Ace on the turn. If he comes over the top of you again then you know he's got your top pair beat and you can lay it down on the flop. One reason why i dont like flat calls with marginal hands out of position when it gets to the middle/end stage of tourneys, you never know where you stand........ nice post. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: NoflopsHomer on March 13, 2006, 03:57:41 PM I pass preflop, no need to play the hand.
Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: AdamM on March 13, 2006, 04:09:25 PM i agree. if the button raises and you call with J,10 you might be ahead with top pair. if UTG raises and you call with J,10 your top pair is no good. you meed to be hitting two pair or up and down and flush draws. respect that he's raises UTG and pass pre flop. would have been nice to see a flop but an easy pass
Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: matt674 on March 13, 2006, 04:20:14 PM in an age where the "continuation" bet seems to be the standard play nowadays, the check raise on the flop has become an ever more important weapon in the armoury - even more so when you've actually hit a part of the flop. At this stage of a tourney you should know by now whether the player who has raised is a complete rock who has the goods or someone you think could be just making the continuation bet because its his normal play.
Once the flop has come down you have to ask yourself the question what did you put your opponent on preflop? If you put him on a hand that was better than jacks then you pass, you are calling to hit one of 5 outs which could in fact be drawing virtually dead if your opponent has hit a set. If you believe that your top pair is now good then you have to reraise, tell your opponent "i now have you beat and its going to cost you to outdraw me". As you may gather i'm not really a fan of the flat call at this stage of a tourney, either pre flop or on the flop. However i will flat call very occasionally (even when i've missed my hand) if i think my opponent has also missed completely and i think that he will take another stab at the pot. Then i can check raise him off the pot and pick up a few more chips. However you really have to know your opponent and have a good enough read to know he has no hand. This play is risky in that if a scary card (like the ace) comes he may well then have made his hand - then you have to reevaluate the situation and go from there (hence why i only make this play on a very rare occasion). Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: NoflopsHomer on March 13, 2006, 05:05:59 PM As you may gather i'm not really a fan of the flat call at this stage of a tourney, either pre flop or on the flop. However i will flat call very occasionally (even when i've missed my hand) if i think my opponent has also missed completely and i think that he will take another stab at the pot. Then i can check raise him off the pot and pick up a few more chips. However you really have to know your opponent and have a good enough read to know he has no hand. This play is risky in that if a scary card (like the ace) comes he may well then have made his hand - then you have to reevaluate the situation and go from there (hence why i only make this play on a very rare occasion). I agree, when I've got a medium ace in the BB and I know the button to be someone who will try to steal on occasions, I'd rather raise here, because flat-calling doesn't tell me anything about his hand, and if the flop comes A72, and he leads out with a solid bet, I'm just making things more difficult for myself. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: temp0r on March 13, 2006, 08:29:02 PM it's a fold on the river.
it's also a rather silly call on the flop. you should be raising another 4k there. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: lazaroonie on March 13, 2006, 11:07:47 PM in an age where the "continuation" bet seems to be the standard play nowadays, the check raise on the flop has become an ever more important weapon in the armoury - even more so when you've actually hit a part of the flop. At this stage of a tourney you should know by now whether the player who has raised is a complete rock who has the goods or someone you think could be just making the continuation bet because its his normal play. Once the flop has come down you have to ask yourself the question what did you put your opponent on preflop? If you put him on a hand that was better than jacks then you pass, you are calling to hit one of 5 outs which could in fact be drawing virtually dead if your opponent has hit a set. If you believe that your top pair is now good then you have to reraise, tell your opponent "i now have you beat and its going to cost you to outdraw me". As you may gather i'm not really a fan of the flat call at this stage of a tourney, either pre flop or on the flop. However i will flat call very occasionally (even when i've missed my hand) if i think my opponent has also missed completely and i think that he will take another stab at the pot. Then i can check raise him off the pot and pick up a few more chips. However you really have to know your opponent and have a good enough read to know he has no hand. This play is risky in that if a scary card (like the ace) comes he may well then have made his hand - then you have to reevaluate the situation and go from there (hence why i only make this play on a very rare occasion). :respect: :goodpost: got to be worth 8 bananas on the bananometer. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: ACE2M on March 14, 2006, 01:00:01 AM Fold is the general opinion then.
I was the one utg and had raised with 10,10 having not played many hands for some time i felt i needed a pot, with my rock image a decent pre flop raise i was very surprised he called my bet on the end. Kiril gersaimov, rob hollink and the scandieboy that called all said they would have called my bet on the end. A bet on the turn no, but the check stinks apparently. I didn't rush the bet or give any tells and wanted the bet to look like what tightend said the bet looked like, i was certain he had a Jack and would almost certainly fold for 40% of his remaining chips. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: snoopy1239 on March 14, 2006, 01:16:36 AM You are in the bb with 10 J suited and a stack 30k. UTG raises 3 x BB to 1800 and he has a stack of 24k You call Flop comes J 7 3 no flush draw you check utg bets 2300 you call turn comes A you check utg checks river 6 you check utg bets 9000 Call or fold? I'd fold Unless you can read him for a bluff, I think there are too many hands that beat you. The ace might have slowed down Q-Q or K-K, plus he may be trapping with A-K, A-Q, or A-J. Don't forget that it's an utg raise, so there are few hands that the average player will hold that have missed the baord. K-Q, T-T, perhaps. Not enough for me. Personally, I would have been tempted to let it go preflop. It look pretty, but you're probably up against a strong hand and with bad position, you can end up chasing and dribbling your chips away without really knowing where you stand. I think if you are going to play, you need to raise the flop and find out if he has that A-J, Q-Q, K-K, A-A Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: snoopy1239 on March 14, 2006, 01:16:54 AM Was this Monte Carlo?
Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: NoflopsHomer on March 14, 2006, 01:33:20 AM Fold is the general opinion then. I was the one utg and had raised with 10,10 having not played many hands for some time i felt i needed a pot, with my rock image a decent pre flop raise i was very surprised he called my bet on the end. Kiril gersaimov, rob hollink and the scandieboy that called all said they would have called my bet on the end. A bet on the turn no, but the check stinks apparently. I didn't rush the bet or give any tells and wanted the bet to look like what tightend said the bet looked like, i was certain he had a Jack and would almost certainly fold for 40% of his remaining chips. Then when I play against these guys I'm using the bet,check,bet method. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: Royal Flush on March 14, 2006, 02:59:03 AM Kiril gersaimov, rob hollink Was this Monte Carlo? Snoopy they play in his home game all the time! Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: snoopy1239 on March 14, 2006, 03:21:53 AM Fold is the general opinion then. I was the one utg and had raised with 10,10 having not played many hands for some time i felt i needed a pot, with my rock image a decent pre flop raise i was very surprised he called my bet on the end. Kiril gersaimov, rob hollink and the scandieboy that called all said they would have called my bet on the end. A bet on the turn no, but the check stinks apparently. I didn't rush the bet or give any tells and wanted the bet to look like what tightend said the bet looked like, i was certain he had a Jack and would almost certainly fold for 40% of his remaining chips. It depends on the opponent. You can't bluff a fish. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: matt674 on March 14, 2006, 09:51:59 AM got to be worth 8 bananas on the bananometer. Any chance i can just have 8 bananas? 8) Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: ACE2M on March 14, 2006, 11:26:49 AM Kiril gersaimov, rob hollink Was this Monte Carlo? Snoopy they play in his home game all the time! Sharp as a tack our snoopy. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: snoopy1239 on March 14, 2006, 04:04:57 PM Kiril gersaimov, rob hollink Was this Monte Carlo? Snoopy they play in his home game all the time! Sharp as a tack our snoopy. lol :tikay: I skipped that post because I wanted to answer without reading it. Title: Re: Call or fold? Post by: JP on March 20, 2006, 04:02:32 PM The trouble with playing it this way is the turn check is telling the guy with J-10 that he is in front and having raised preflop in his mind the range of hands that you have is probably 77-TT.
If this was limit hold'em I would bet the river here nearly 100% of the time as a value bet. However, in NL there is no point betting the river here as you will not call with a worse hand, so the only way he can make any more chips is to check to induce a bluff from you which has worked brilliantly. After checking the turn you have waved the white flag I think, check it down and hope the 10s are good. Or alternatively fire another bullet on the turn. Realistically you can only have a set here and that is very unlikely the way the hand has been played. I more than likely call here. |