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1  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: World flopped, are we happy with it now? on: November 21, 2011, 03:59:21 AM
important to know stack sizes of ajit and tom for starters. let's say they have £900+.

2 things i'd instantly assume are that ajit isn't slowplaying and that tom has very little fold equity on this board (i think you've overestimated how frequently he's raise/folding here, particularly with AQ or T7).

given this and that it's a small raise, i don't mind you flatting. we don't have the nfd and end up getting it in badly vs this and you may also fold out any worse fds by 3betting the flop - especially ones in ajit's range.

so if we pick up the dead money here almost never, raise/calling it off only achieves getting in an unfavourable flipping situation. calling gives ajit (and, less so, tom) the chance to get involved with hands that have reverse-implied odds vs yours. if tom's raise had been larger i'd be more inclined to stack off now (folding's boring so let's ignore that).

overall though, can't go too wrong with gambling vs a strong range off the flop given our hand.
2  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 21, 2011, 03:36:18 AM
alright mate. sucks to hear about your recent bad patch. epic that you stacked mike though and sounds like you've made some solid folds.

also lol at mitch's 99 hand.

and what's a pha?

3  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 16, 2011, 09:28:14 PM
sick angle imo. one of my favourites is announcing "good luck" to a shortstack thinking about shoving into me.
4  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 16, 2011, 05:48:00 AM
looking forward to this.
5  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 06, 2011, 12:18:28 AM
ha sick. so modest, tell me later.

gl tomorrow mate.
6  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 05, 2011, 05:03:58 PM
classic smashed ajit. how much was his shove for? nh mate.
7  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 01, 2011, 06:31:46 PM
cheers.

good questions. mitch's poker game...

strengths:

40:60s
hero calls/guesswork
omaha flips
accidentally value betting

weaknesses:

showdowns
selecting playable hands
flop play
turn play
river play
missing a few orbits to go play on the slots
eating and playing at the same time

as for general size - large.
8  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 01, 2011, 05:57:41 PM
ha it's fine, dw. i definitely do spew chips here n there and am probably a bit of a live fish. but it is definitely possible for me to play a flush this way and i'm pretty sure that this being the case is not clicking buttons.
9  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 01, 2011, 05:48:56 PM
i am new and fragile. but really, it's not that implausible for me to have a flush there.
10  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: Prose from a Poshboy on: November 01, 2011, 05:01:43 PM
sick month alex, congrats. don't spend all my money at once (especially the 250bbs with 83o).

anyway, the 66 vs A4ss hand... my turn bet achieves a lot of things - extracting value, protecting my hand on this wet a board, building a pot for if the board pairs (as you never, ever x/r a straight here but will equally find it difficult to pass a smaller set a lot of the time). also, if you do x/r the turn i can fold my hand fairly comfortably and by you x/c the turn, i am highly likely to be checked to on the river, allowing me to control the size of the river action - if any - and avoid a guessing game where i may end up either folding the best hand or paying off with the worst.

as for the river bet, i've clearly not weighted your range towards flushes enough. (regarding the comment where someone said i can't have a flush here, that's definitely not the case). so i've decided that you've likely slowplayed/controlled the size of the pot with a straight and i can expect you to fold this a good chunk of the time and go hu to showdown where i'm likely to be winning and scoop the side pot uncontested. plus there's always a really small possibility you call down with worse. was a nice idea in my head anyway.

i also like the suggestion for you to lead the turn fwiw. but nh and wp.

and lol at that prop. mitch's pharaohs addiction is gonna get even more expensive.
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