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1  Poker Forums / Live Tournament Updates / Re: The Vic Main Event - Day 2 Live Update on: June 26, 2006, 01:50:23 PM
For the record.
 Any suggestion that I moved in for my last 16,500 with 72 offsuit because a save had been agreed for fifth place is laughable. I already knew i would push with any two cards if nobody raised in front of me. Not because I was comfortable with 4k for fifth place but because it's my best shot to avoid being blinded away and have a shot at first place. Winning the 3.5k in the pot already from the blinds and antes would increase my stack by nearly 25%. 3 of my 4 opponents had already folded which is already an exceptionally  favourable situation. It was a mild disappointment to find only 72 in the pocket but the cards were really irrelevant. The only reason I looked was in case I had a very big pair I might call instead of moving in. My estimate was that Osman would only call with the top 25% of hands. Even when called I can expect to win (and double up) 20-30 % of the time. On the actual hand I was called by A10s, I'll win 30% of the time and finish up with over 30,000. and a real chance of survival. IF there was 0 for fifth place I should play even MORE aggressively because the penalty for being blinded away would be greater. I have to get back into contention or die trying. (I'm not sure  it is possible to play more aggressively than moving all in with 72o but if it were. I would)
Keir Fitz-Gibbon
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