Sounds fun, gl guys.

I think this logic is only right if you are last to act, and know that you will be all-in against the villain. However, three opponents left to act who could themselves shove, and either  cause you to call a lot more off, or to pass and contribute a big dent of your stack to the pot.

But this then contradicts the logic of smoothing with JJ. The reason the hero did so was because he felt that anyone behind would only go with QQ+ maybe AK. So if call/folding JJ is fine, then surely it holds that call/folding any other hand you deem to be ahead of the short stack is the correct play.

Once again i stress this is in a vacuum, as if the hero did call with K9 in this spot and everyone else folded there is no way that call/folding anything in a similar spot would be profitable for the rest of the tournament.

I used K9o as an example as it is ahead of a 70% shove range - someone suggested the hero might not want to take a small edge at this stage, so let's bump it to KJ - this should also deal with the equity we lose when someone does wake up with QQ+/AK behind.

Does the hero flat KJ?

If to reshove with JJ is an error, then to do anything but call or fold here with any hand would be an error too. In a vacuum - which the hero suggests it is, ie no metagame factor - then the hero should merely flat call here with any hand he deems to be ahead of the short stack's shoving range. Tkay suggests the short stack could be shoving atc, if we tighten this up a little and we give the short stack top 70% then K9o is 54%.

I'd be curious to know if the hero would have flatted 100% of his range in this spot, would he flat with K9o?

Don't see Mizzi's name, but missed you saying he was out? .... Is he out? Great updates guys.

I agree for the most part with the replies here. TBH I don't care if i bust this hand at this stage in the tourny, I've got AK and I'm putting the pressure on. I'd have most likely raised it to 2k preflop, if JJ 3 or 4 bets me to 6-8k I'm all in. In doing that you're not "accepting a coinflip" (TightPaul) you are forcing your opponent to a decision. If he calls with JJ and he holds I shrug my shoulders and move on.

When I started out playing poker i thought AK was a brilliant hand, then as i got to learn the game I lost faith as I constantly lost all ins to pocket pairs, now I've gone back to loving it again, and playing it as aggressively as possible in middle to late stages of tournaments - and my results have improved dramatically.

As someone noted, the money is always at the top. Get those chips in!

On the river I bet, that  is a very scary card, not many ppl are going to bet if they think they can win the hand by checking. But... I'd have re-raised the flop - Gut shot + flush draw, massive semi-bluff opportunity there - if u call and miss the turn, like you will do about 75% of the time you will be likely faced by a big bet on the turn.

Raise it up!

This is an extremely tough one.

Obviously you're first thoughts should be what you think Fergus has, he is the easiest of your 3 opponents to put on a hand a) because you know a bit about him and b) because he was the third aggressor preflop.

When there have been 2 raises in front of you and you are in the bb, there are not many hands that you should be looking to re-raise with in this position. If I looked down at QQ, I may even be inclined to fold in this position with the original early position raiser (never mind the utg+1 limper) still to act after me. Again, AK is not good enough to re-raise with as he will have to play the rest of the hand out of position, and will probably have to put his chips in on the flop whatever flops and as we know 70% of the time there aint gonna be no ace or king. Therefore, logically the only 2 hands (maybe 3) hands that he could realistically have based on his preflop betting are: AA, KK (maybe QQ).

Ok, now the other 2 players preflop action means it is difficult to put them on a hand. One thing is for certain, they do not have AA, KK or QQ. If you say the were loose, or maniacs I would also struggle to put them on AK, as loose/weak players would probably have pushed ak a lot more preflop. The UTG+1 limper likely has suited connectors, or maybe a small pair. But when he pushes in on the flop the small pair argument is discounted, so I would put him on either a low flush draw or maybe even the made baby straight with 9t in his hand.

The SB has continued to play the hand despite an initial 2 raises in front of him, if he's calling those 2 raises, as a weaker player as you say he is, he would have no problem calling that third raise. Based on his preflop action, and his subsequent action on the flop, I'd probably put him on AQh or something along those lines.

Which leaves you to your decision....

If Fergus has KK or QQ you're beat. If the UTG+1 has 9t/at you're beat (although u have a limited amount of outs to boat up). If SB has AQH he has a decent chance to catch you.

This really is a tough judgement call on your part, and I don't think that anyone who wasn't there can accurately come to a decision. Fergus might have AA (although if he does I think he's played it badly on the flop), and the other 2 may be drawing at the straight or the flush. The amount of money in the pot means that it is tough to let it go, but no amount of pot odds can save u from drawing dead, or close to dead, if Fergus has QQ or KK.

Folding is a probably a good option here, but.... if you call and lose you can always recount the story of that time you lost a 200-300 quid pot when you flopped trip Jacks and ran into some **** with whatever! Hope it went well for you...