Chris Moorman ‏@Moorman1

Made the final table of @WPT @LAPC with 3,192,000 in chips. I'm 2/6 and tomorrow we are playing for over $1 million and the TITLE #Time



EVENT #55 $10,000 WPT NO LIMIT HOLD'EM CHAMPIONSHIP

FINAL TABLE CHIP COUNTS & SEATING ASSIGNMENTS

ENTRIES: 534 PRIZE POOL: $5,126,400

REMAINING 6 PLAYERS RETURNS AT LEVEL 25, 5,000 ANTE, 15,000-30,000 BLINDS WITH 42:33 REMAINING.


1    MICHAEL    ROCCO    5,615,000    1    6
2    CHRIS    MOORMAN 3,190,000    1    1
3    PATRICK    BRUEL    2,280,000    1    2
4    JOSH    NEUFELD    1,930,000    1    3
5    GLENN    LAFAYE    1,855,000    1    4
6    ADAM    FRIEDMAN 1,150,000    1    5

Click to see full-size image.

http://www.lapcnews.com/

TIDMOF Patrick

For the snookerers, Ronnie is 13/8 to win the world champo, and 7/2 to make the highest break. Given he's liable to get to the final and bangs in maximums for fun these days, is there any valoo in the latter price?

It's a coin toss as to whether there'll be a max at the tournament and I doubt he'd be any bigger than 7/2 to make a 147 if prices were requested.

wait for draw to come out sir - if ding in opposite half to ronnie go big on him - prob be 6/1 - 8/1 3rd or 4th fav behind ronnie, NR and MS. MS poor record in sheffield just the one final

just waiting for andy carroll to be your big no 9

i take it this is a joke right? gascoigne in greatest ever england team - all he did was 1 gfoal v scotland 1 assist v belguim and cried.  as for left back how does G le saux get more votes than sansom (widely regarded by many as englands greatest left bacK).

And gerrard...................

lol just lol

Kevin owen

Phil, rusurrey, worth reading back 20 pages if you have the time

county championship, world snooker championship all tipped and discussed

thoughts on surrey rich? i reckon 5th or 6th depending on smith and punters runs.  Also i hope that waste of space Jason Roy dont play otherwise relegation is on the cards

tikay

Have you or anyone had any thoughts on the upcoming snooker world champs.

Pre draw i like the look of Ding who should be available at double figure prices+

could be worth waiting for the draw to try and plot a winner

i think chompy is looking at Shaun Murphy for a little bit of value

Saw this too late but yeah I thought it was decent.

Onto a long term recommendation.  I have spent the last few days having a good look at the upcoming baseball season.  I don't normally like to tie up my capital for an entire season but I think there is a really good ante post bet in the American League East.  A bit of background.  The AL East is the glamour division in baseball because it has the Yankees and Redsox in it.  These two teams are as close as you get to consistently overbet teams in baseball because they have such huge fan bases.  The rest of the division is made up of Toronto Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Devil Rays and the Baltimore Orioles.  

We can pretty much rule out the Yankees and Red Sox being any value.  The Yankees range from a laughable 9/4 with Boyles to a more realistic but still too short 19/5 with Hills.  To give you an idea in the ESPN preview I read they were described as the worst Yankees team since 1991 but of more importance they are going to be starting the season without their superstars A-Rod and Derek Jeter and A-Rod might not play until it is too late to retrieve the situation and Curtis Granderson is out until May too. In spring training they have been the worst team in the Grapefruit League.  Worse than the Marlins even and living in Miami I know the Marlins might just about be the worst team in baseball this year. Their pitching staff is still fairly good but I don't really see how they aren't 10/1 - 16/1 shots.  

Boston are a top priced 8/1.  They were a poor team last year and have made a lot of changes but they haven't gotten themselves a star pitcher and they play in a league where you really need that to go up against the likes of Sabathia, Verlander etc.  The rest of their pitching staff is a bit meh in my opinion and they had the fourth worst bullpen in all of baseball last year (although this tends to be a stat that regresses to the mean from what I have read).  So Basically we have a team that might be good enough on offense and wont be good enough on defense.  I think they are 14/1 shots.
  
Onto the Blue Jays.  Last week I drove my parents up to see some friends of theirs from Toronto who come down every year to Florida for a bit of sun but also to attend The Blue Jays spring training.  This is interesting because the bookies have installed the Blue Jays as the short as 11/8 to win the AL East on the back of some eye catching off season trades but in spring training apparently they haven't been putting it together and are 3rd from bottom of the Grapefruit league with Miami and the Yankees the only teams below.  My parents friends didn't seem too optimistic and my analysis of the situation was similar.  They should get better and it is probably a fairly weak league this year but even so I don't really see how they are not 3/1 shots.

The Orioles are a team I am struggling to figure out a bit.  The finished the season last year like a train to make the playoffs but they also appear to have been a bit lucky.  they went 16-2 in extra innings games and that can only really be down to running good and the traditionally best way to measure how good a team is is to measure runs scored against runs allowed and this tends to back up the idea that they were lucky to reach the playoffs last year.  All that said they seem to have carried the momentum into Spring training and currently lead the Grapefruit league.  I honestly have no idea whether it will be the team that played the first half to tw thirds of last year or the last third/spring training team that will show up.  They are quoted at a best priced 10-1 and that seems about right to me......possibly a bit generous but I wouldn't tie up my money for the year.

That leaves us with the Tampa Bay Devil Rays.  Probably up there with the most unfashionable franchises in US sports.  If you have kept up you will know that to 100% I make the Devil Rays about a 5/4 shot to win this division.  That is clearly crazy because they are available at 7/2 with Bwin and 10/3 with Betfred, Boyles, Tote and Sportingbet.  Now all of these firms in my view have no clue what they are doing.  They pay peanuts and they get monkeys.  The firms with half a clue including Pinnacle are 13/5 and Paddy Power are as short as 9/4.  Maybe these firms would be closer to me if their competitiors had priced the market differently i don't know and I am willing to concede I could have slightly overrated the importance of Spring training but I am also aware that it isn't that important and more importantly I think the devil Rays are potentially a very good team.  Theyb were massively unlucky to miss the playoffs last year and this was largely down to Baltimores luck mentioned earlier.  Baltimore outscored their opponents by 8 runs last year.  Tampa outscored their opponents by over 100 runs last year yet Baltimore went to the playoffs and Tampa didnt despite winning 90 games.  They have won 90 games or more in four of the last five seasons and this year they return most of last years team including Cy Young winning pitcher David Price so you could argue they have the bestb starting pitcher in the league which will give them a huge advantage against the other American league star pitchers in the tight games.  Maybe they aren't 5/4 shots, in fact they probably aren't 5/4 shots and I have probably underrated almost every other team in the league but they sure as hell aren't 7/2 shots.  They arent even 3/1 shots.  Sometimes in betting you work hard on something and you just get a feeling you have a big edge and the odds compilers have got it completely wrong and this is it for me.  It's my 49ers. 

This one

good luck sir ........i am a rays fan and get over there a couple of times a year.  They have the advantage of a dome for a satdium whcih is an advantage but sometimes leads to alot of low scoring games where de-fence is the key  (although they have an excellent bullpen).  Just feel that they are still too inconsistent during improtant periods of the season but 10/3 does represent good value sir so all the best

ps its rays not devil rays!!!!!!!!!!

[Daily Summary, @ 0910, Thursday March 27th]

Daily Summary, @ 0910, Thursday March 27th

Nothing completed yesterday, so it is "as you were".

18 bets completed on Tuesday, & nil yesterday, talk about hot & cold.

We have built up some portfolios & forward stuff which should sustain us for a while.

We have stuff for...

The entire cricket season

The entire Baseball season.

The Masters Golf (just one so far)

The Grand National (two so far)

We have a bunch of season long football bets approaching their climax, Easter is often crucial in these markets.

Chess - finishes this weekend.

Greyhound Derby - three picks so far.

World Snooker Championships, 4 selections.

Champions League

Basketball - the MVP bet on LeBron must be completing soon?

Europa League

Lions Tour

FI World Champion

Flat Season Classics.

All good stuff, there should be a sweat or two there.

Oh, & two Eurovision Song Contest bets. Ugh.

hi tikay

what bets do you have on the baseball and cricket seasons?

FWIW i would take the toronto blue jays to win the east division (much improved ball club) at 2.50

cricket season i would put £50 on yorks getting releagated from div 1(england call ups, bad weather and a bad bowling line up looks like curtains to me) - struggling to find a price on that one!!!

Presumption's an odd thing

Part of the deal for Coventry City fans was if they turned up tonight for the JPT semi they got priority for the Wembley final tickets

31,000 attendance, completely unheard of in the JPT

They lost 3-0

tighty - not to be too picky but tonight was the final of the northern area of the JPT not the semi final (although i agree it is practically the semi).

imo villa to qualify at evns is outstanding value. i cannot see how they wont overturn the deficit.

just a point to bear in mind if it is 2-0 villa after 90 mins game goes to extra time (unlike UCL where villa would win on away goals after 90 mins - in C1C away goals count only after 120 mins)

recommendation

£50 villa to qualify to final @evs

My point is

- the top half is really tough. I don't want to be backing anyone in that half

- I don't want to be laying Trump in the bottom half really given its comparative weakness. Trump has a squiggle to my mind. Tough to lay tough to back, because who knows which player is turning up?

I'd take a path of Bingham/Williams or Stevens through to the semis for Selby as one of the better routes through in the draw

ps im there mon-thur (except wed evening) if anyone fancies a pint?

off to book tickets for wenesday evening

( :-))) )

lol sir il be at ars v swa  - only missing the jester form leicester though

My point is

- the top half is really tough. I don't want to be backing anyone in that half

- I don't want to be laying Trump in the bottom half really given its comparative weakness. Trump has a squiggle to my mind. Tough to lay tough to back, because who knows which player is turning up?

I'd take a path of Bingham/Williams or Stevens through to the semis for Selby as one of the better routes through in the draw

ps im there mon-thur (except wed evening) if anyone fancies a pint?

Quality of player obv very good in the Masters, shortish matches, 10's is around the rigth price imo.

11's very marginal value

Thanks Dwayne.

I think, unless it is a standout piece of value, then we would give it a miss.

It is hard to assesss if the price is good, that is the problem as I see it.

think you could be making a mistake here mr k..................

another masters bet

1st round double

hawkins to besat trump & stevens to beat williams

£10 double returns circa £85

trump not in great form - williams in dire form