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1  Poker Forums / Online Tournament Staking / Re: The Bear is back: Rolling Sunday staking deal. (punters only) on: November 05, 2013, 01:23:09 AM
GG Sad
2  Poker Forums / Online Tournament Staking / Re: The Bear is back: Rolling Sunday staking deal. (punters only) on: November 05, 2013, 12:32:48 AM
5% pls. If it is ok with you, I'm good friends with borntobubble and would give him 1% of this if you are unable to do so. I'm happy for us to handle the admin work for this. Schedule looks pretty good but hot 16.5 is missing. How likely is it that the schedule increases in size? I don't want to be offloading my shares at some point down the line.

Might want to look at .fr especially with FCOOP coming up.

decent shout that....

good luck that bear Cheesy

Mwhahaha my staking run good is absolutely off the charts. Between this and the post i made at the start of Doobs thread. Gl mate, on the rail.

I will put up a staking thread in the morning, sell zero percent.... all I need you to do is post and recommend a tournament to play Tongue
3  Poker Forums / Online Tournament Staking / Re: The Bear is back: Rolling Sunday staking deal. (punters only) on: November 05, 2013, 12:21:39 AM
Thanks Disco you hero. Don't think I've forgotten about you since you've disappeared.

I am back playing full time again atm although I had disappeared for a while to the world of full time employment....

warms the heart to hear such a great man speak so kindly of me.
4  Poker Forums / Online Tournament Staking / Re: The Bear is back: Rolling Sunday staking deal. (punters only) on: November 05, 2013, 12:05:21 AM
5% pls. If it is ok with you, I'm good friends with borntobubble and would give him 1% of this if you are unable to do so. I'm happy for us to handle the admin work for this. Schedule looks pretty good but hot 16.5 is missing. How likely is it that the schedule increases in size? I don't want to be offloading my shares at some point down the line.

Might want to look at .fr especially with FCOOP coming up.

decent shout that....

good luck that bear Cheesy
5  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: early mtt spot on: May 11, 2013, 04:10:52 AM
it makes a bit of a difference that is the hot 11.... random dudes in the 11 turbos are a different proposition to random dudes in the big 100
6  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: early mtt spot on: May 09, 2013, 12:16:54 AM
if im playing well i think i fold hand 1, i think im flatting all bigger pairs

hand 2 i think you should 3bet pre hes mp and ur bb im sure you have done enough monkeyish stuff to make this an easy 3bet, fwiw i thinkits a 3bet readless 1st hand of the mtt. having flatted, we can flat the flop and not expect people to be barrelling wide in the early stages of a 100f
7  Poker Forums / Online Tournament Staking / Re: SCOOP 2013 on: May 07, 2013, 07:31:10 AM
The point is that when someone as well respected and knowledgeable as Pleno "vouches" for someone, that means a whole hell of a lot to people when deciding whether or not to invest in someone..... and when he gives someone such a  glowing reference as "if i had only the money to back one person it would be him" which insinuates he would trust him with copious sums of money above all other potential realistic suitors, that in itself gives everyone else huge confidence to take pieces of this guy and regardless of whether this thread would have sold out or not certain people have bought pieces because of Plenos influence (which I'm sure when he gave the reference that was intention given his understandable personal bias towards OP). So as much as Pleno's intentions were undoubtedly good I think he certainly has to take a part of the responsibility with regard to the people that have bought pieces at least in part due to his reference.
8  Poker Forums / Live Tournament Updates / Re: DTD Monte Carlo £500,000 GTD: Day 3/Final on: April 21, 2013, 06:54:43 PM
not 4.6m pot..... 2.2m pot + antes so about 2.3m
9  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Dtd day1, sigh spot on: April 09, 2013, 11:53:17 PM
Have spoken to Todd about this and i basically dislike most of this hand....

3betting 54s is ok at best vs  fish who arent going to fold much we are going to spend a lot of the time bluffing or when we hit we just have such a hard life that it makes it not really worth it, granted im sure we take down the pot a decent amount post on axx type boards, but im just not a fan, why give yourself a headache in a high variance spot in a live donkament when you just do not need to.

The flop is a fold for me and even though it looks like we havea  great hand we actually don't in the context of this spot.
we are in a 3bet pot on a super coordinated board and the most out of position guy leads (we have established he is pretty fishy but plays his hands face up) and then another guy of similar ilk raises.
Our options are (sorry to state the obvious) fold/11kcall/call/shove. It could be argued that there are few few times we will be drawing dead (ie they have a set and a combo draw between them) but i dont think that is really a very good argument for getting it in.

shove: if as todd suggests we get a fold about 15% of the time, that means we pick up the 15k 15% of the time and add 50% to our stack. I doubt that these 2 players are looking at folding when they make these plays in this 3bet pot oop so i would suggest that 15% is a maximum amount of folds we can hope to get here, especially when the co has raised to ~25% of his stack. If we shove and get called we are almost never a favorite and vs any range that calls a shove we are crushed pretty hard. Risking our still 100bb stack at this point on such a high variance and quite possibly losing play is not something i would advise here. Lets not forget we have 2 straight up players on our direct right which has to mean there will be good situations to accumulate chips in lower variance ways.

Call: meh not sure there is an argument worth making for calling, guy who lead into 2 people in a 3bet pot (and plays his hands face up) is to act behind us if we flat 15% of our remaining chips with bottom pair and a poor flush draw..... turn will be shit mostly and we will have to fold and even if we hit we might lose.

11k/call: this isnt a viable option either, if we raise/call we are more dead than we would be if we got called when shoving.... if we get flatted and brick turns hit then we havent a clue what to do.

Fold: clear favorite for me. we are in position on 2 straight up players, this is a $300f so we should have an edge (i know todds game, he does have an edge in this mtt) on plenty of the field. The chances of us being ahead if the cards are on their backs is almost nil, the chances of us getting a fold are slim and by getting it in we would literally be gambling imo..... just because a hand looks good when the cards come out, does not mean it is good when the action is on you, the action before us makes such a huge difference that we just cant be in the mindset of "i have hit one of the nut flops for my hand i cant fold now" ..... its the same logic that makes fish call on 67892 boards with aa when all the signs point to them being beat. The simplest way to put it imo..... think of all the situations you like if you a) shove b) call etc etc.... in this case the only thing that works out well is "we shove and get a fold" given how little that is happening its a clear fold
10  Poker Forums / Diaries and Blogs / Re: 1k to 10k in 100 days on: February 08, 2013, 10:47:06 PM
good luck

how many hands are you planning to play in this time or per day ?
11  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: ***THE OFFICIAL TV SHOW THREAD*** on: December 17, 2012, 02:41:20 AM
about to begiin watching 24 from the start...... 8 whole days of my life will disappear (not all at once)

im going in....

You lucky sod.

IMO power through season 1 as quickly as possible, it's good, but seasons 2-5 are the best tv in history

season 1 finished yesterday, couple of epsidoes into 2 atm..... going away for 2 weeks soon, wish i could stream on ipad while in the casino...
12  Community Forums / Betting Tips and Sport Discussion / Re: blonde Football Quiz League on: December 14, 2012, 06:31:59 PM
just turned in the qsand i feel robbed after checking my answers.....

got 2nd most apps for arsenal
3/4 man utd no
1/2 on the europa league and changed my mind on the one i got wrong
3/4 on the italien strikers
1/2 on red cards

fml..... at least im not altering my average much this week Smiley
13  Community Forums / The Lounge / Re: ***THE OFFICIAL TV SHOW THREAD*** on: December 12, 2012, 06:32:07 PM
about to begiin watching 24 from the start...... 8 whole days of my life will disappear (not all at once)

im going in....
14  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: When do we shove our Premium Hands? on: November 27, 2012, 03:28:47 AM
Assuming no antes I standard open and obviously get it in post on the vast majority of boards. I am probably shoving less than 12bbs though.

With antes I would shove as part of a general strategy.

+1

as standard i would be shoving here with antes and probably shoving without.

you can always adjust your play based on the table.... ie if you have a loose passive fish who is peeling 100% pre and c/f lots of flops then ofc its in your interest to 3x and then cbet a lot of fllops
15  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: super 50 - river play on: November 27, 2012, 03:27:49 AM

1. your hand is not underepped, especially when value betting on the end...... you probably have the very bottom of your range for value betting
2. simple answer - YES.... i would say that this line is 0% a bluff given the tournament, bet size, line in general etc
3. more pre, anything between 450 and 650 is fine with me
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