i like hand 3 also.
bit concerned that he is still betting at the river although it makes me more inclined to believe he may well be bluffing if he thinks his hand has no showdown value, what can he think you have? he can only be beating a Q and its tough to value bet the river with just an A there.
Regardless of any worry i'm still calling and happy with how i played it.
Yeah, well I thought this was the most clearcut of all the hands. My thinking was that:
- We have been told before start of play that he likes the occassional stone colder;
- He has been limping more than expected and hasn't shown down anything big when he has;
- We have underrepped our hand significantly and it is impossible for him to think we have AQ // AJ;
- His bet on the end is sized like a value bet. This is slightly troublesome but it does give us a sick price and we don't need to be good here too often;
- At the most basic level, live tournament players struggle to value bet thin. This is the nuts or nothing a lot;
I think all of the above makes the river a call.