Strategy for bad beat jackpots

[redarmi]

The casino I play live at has a bad beat jackpot across 6 casinos (comprising about 120-130 tables) based on quad tens or better getting beat.  It always starts at $100k and I rarely pay much attention to it but it is currently sat at $500k.  I currently play about 40-50 hours a week there. Should I adjust my strategy at all based on the jackpot like being more likely to limp suited connectors in ep etc or should i just ignore it and play as usual.  I play $1-2 normally and assume making adjustments at $2-5+ would be -EV.

Thoughts??? 

[SuuPRlim]

I think the nessercary adjustments involve such massive inprobabilities I personally wouldn't bother

What i would do though, is everytime I got quad TENS or better pray and pray and pray that I got beat......please someone make something better pleeeeeeeaaaaaaaasssssssssssssssssssssseeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

hope you get it, but its basically a lottery imo

[outragous76]

erm........

never fold pps TT+ ? (well up to the turn at least on a paired flop involving face cards)


 

[redarmi]

I think the TT+ hands are very likely to play themselves (I don't think calling a big preflop reraise with TT is going to be +EV even with the bad beat) but it is the suited connectors that cause more problems.  I think the odds of getting the bad beat is somewhere in the region of 200k-1 making every hand dealt having an added expectancy of c$2/players at the table so about 22c for each player at a 9 seat table so I guess the expectancy of the hand has to be less than $1.78 to make playing the hand in these circumstances bad.  There is also a high hand bonus of either $250 and $1k in the room which complicates matters slightly and reduces the variance it all a bit too.  I think there is probably an argument for slightly loosening up your limping range but really don't want to overdo it.

[thetank]

Maybe sit deeper so you can call the pre flop raise with TT

[redarmi]

Maybe sit deeper so you can call the pre flop raise with TT

Didn't actually write that though did I?

[Rupert]

ignore it unless the stakes you play are really really really low

[pokerfan]

Check flopped quads 

[AlexMartin]

Check flopped quads 

wins. never fold TT+ pre. oh wait thats never happened before anyway.

[cambridgealex]

I don't think you can make any adjustments profitably. I mean the odds of a straight flush vs straight flush are so vast that even 500k isn't enough implied odds to make even -ev $4 decisions.

I suppose if you flop quad TTs and suspect they have say JJ, then perhaps slow play everytime rather than raise and risk them folding. It'll come running JJ 0.091% which is 9 in 10,000 times. Worth a punt for 500k.

[thetank]

Maybe sit deeper so you can call the pre flop raise with TT

Didn't actually write that though did I?

]

?

Was a suggestion for strategy adjustment, to always sit deep so that you are more likely to be able to profitably call dem backraises with TT.

Peace

[pokerfan]

I don't think you can make any adjustments profitably. I mean the odds of a straight flush vs straight flush are so vast that even 500k isn't enough implied odds to make even -ev $4 decisions.

I suppose if you flop quad TTs and suspect they have say JJ, then perhaps slow play everytime rather than raise and risk them folding. It'll come running JJ 0.091% which is 9 in 10,000 times. Worth a punt for 500k.

^^^^1010J flop is the dream scenario.