The Setup: 10r Mini FTOPS, 70 off the money, average stack is 30k (50 bigs)
Info: Villain has been at the table <4 orbits, he has a gold FTOPS jersey avatar (I mean who hasn't, you know what I mean), only hand I recall involving him is when I min-raised (at this blind level) utg+1 with JJ, he flatted SB, the BB piled for 15BB I flatted and he passed. FWIW in the hand below after his bet and before i hit timebank on the river he typed 'i'm not bluffing' into the chatbox.
Full Tilt Poker MiniFTOPS Event #9 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t75 - 5 players - View hand 2057729
SB: t33281 M = 26.10
Hero (BB): t51537 M = 40.42UTG: t21984 M = 17.24
CO: t52485 M = 41.16
BTN: t32281 M = 25.32Pre Flop: (t1275) Hero is BB with
2 folds, BTN raises to t1200, 1 fold, Hero calls t600
Flop: (t3075)
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets t1200, Hero calls t1200
Turn: (t5475)
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets t2552, Hero calls t2552
River: (t10579)
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets t9522, Hero requests TIME, Hero folds
The Post-mortem: I know revealing results before some discussion is frowned upon, but thought overall, rather than street by street analysis, was better here. I don't play many tournaments and apologise if this hand is relatively trivial to those of you that do (but hey this is PHA after all). But some questions:
1) As played is river fold standard?
2) If not, where did I go wrong?
3) Raise pre?
4) He bets 40-45% of pot on flop/turn then bets 90% on the river. From what I know of population tendencies (current buzzphrase on PHA no?) this usually indicates draw/weak, draw/weak, hit or ditto, ditto, miss.
Edit: In game it felt very much like his river sizing was an obv value bet.
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