Cash game at DTD, Saturday night £1/£2
I have £165, seven handed in the Big Blind with
Limp, limp, button folds, Sb raises to £10
He has not been at the table long, has seen about 20 hands and probably played half of them. I know he is raising light. Something else I know about him - I have just seen him fold on the river to a 4 straight board when being offered about 6-1 pot odds saying he had two pair. Of course he may have had complete air in that hand, but it made me think here was a player capable of going with his read and passing when he thinks he is behind. His stack is over £400 and I assume he is winning for the evening as I noticed he set aside £200 on the table next to us before he joined our table.
Anyway, I re-raise to £35
Limpers both pass and he reluctantly calls.
Flop is
Pot is £74
He checks quickly and so do I.
Turn is
We look each other in the eye but I don’t learn much other than his eyes are blue like mine. He fires out a bet of £50.
I have already ruled out JJ through to AA. He could well have a smaller pair such as 88 or 99 and maybe AK or the same as me, AQ.
This bet of his looks like a steal. I feel my image is solid enough to represent tens, queens, kings or aces. If I had those hands I probably would check behind on the flop for a bit of pot control and to encourage him to bluff on the turn.
I know that I don’t have a huge amount behind but I think a shove here will get him to fold AK or AQ or a small pair. With my shove of £130 this will leave him £80 to call into a £254 pot so if we remove the £7 rake he is getting 247/80 or basically 3 to 1.
With my reads on the player, my image at the table and the maths involved have I stretched my fold equity to the limit here? I am for some reason confident that I can get him to lay down AK, AQ, A10s or an underpair. Is this fair or have I totally lost my mind?
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