scoop tourney hand

[piestack]

i dont play tourneys much anymore
less than 100 left in this, am aiming for ft
this hand comes up.
opponent is semiretarded, but i haven't been at the table more than about 30 hands and im getting rather sleepy so no solid reads, his general play seems to be a bit loose and a bit wank

what to do on turn? - stack size left approx=pot size

Seat 1: hj (395325 in chips)
Seat 2: co (58348 in chips)
Seat 3: villain (680188 in chips)
Seat 4: sb (190480 in chips)
Seat 5: bb (232088 in chips)
Seat 6: utg (512176 in chips)
Seat 7: hero (637383 in chips)
Seat 8: mp (140234 in chips)
Seat 9: mp + 1 (830152 in chips)
hj: posts the ante 1600
co: posts the ante 1600
villain: posts the ante 1600
sb: posts the ante 1600
bb: posts the ante 1600
utg: posts the ante 1600
hero: posts the ante 1600
mp: posts the ante 1600
mp + 1: posts the ante 1600
sb: posts small blind 4000
bb: posts big blind 8000

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to hero [ ]
utg: folds
hero: raises 10000 to 18000
mp: folds
mp + 1: folds
hj: folds
co: folds
villain: raises 29995 to 47995
sb: folds
bb: folds
hero: calls 29995

*** FLOP *** [ ]
hero: checks
villain: bets 45555
hero: raises 98445 to 144000
villain: calls 98445

*** TURN *** [ ] []
hero:

[boldie]

Villain has 480k'ish left?..no chance of you getting all that on this board IMO....very tricky but the check raise on the flop would lead me to bet out...probs call if he comes over the top.

[MC]

Bet/call

[EvilPie]

Cry a little bit because you just kinda know what's coming........

Then check call, check call.

[DMorgan]

Really could do with some more info. Tournament buyin? Have you seen him 3bet before?

With the pot at 410k and you having 444k behind I think that the decision is to shove or to check/fold. Any bet is going to commit you so I probably just shove and if he hit his gutshot, he hit his gutshot.

QT, JT and TT and 9T are the only hands I can really see him having (and if he's not an aggressive 3better you can take that down to just TT). So for the lack of anything to suggest that he's 3betting wide on the button against an UTG+1 open, I don't see the 8 as being a terrible card for us in the sense that we could be beat. The only reason that its bad is that it makes QQ+ less likely to get it all in.

[BulldozerD]

i'm bet/calling so may bet small to induce

[silverslick]

check call for me with no other info to a small bet. If he jams all in probably a fold. You still have plenty of chips to risk all in on a guess with no history.

[piestack]

twas the $200 tourney, iirc he was reasonably aggressive but also didn't need much to get to showdown.

my plan was to raise enough on flop to leave psb to shove most turns but the 8 turn worried me a little. maybe i was just too tired to think straight