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Author Topic: The right pass???  (Read 3103 times)
not gus
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« Reply #15 on: January 27, 2006, 03:21:07 PM »

super borderline this one. Completely agree that 1st in vig is crucial, but only 2 hands to go til blinds hit you - what are the chances of picking up something as good as J9 in 2 hands? I really don't know. If the blinds were 1 spot closer I say definitely stick it in, if they are 1 further away I say definitely fold. Here is superclose for me. Personally I think I probably take my shot with my 7's here and hope to get headsup with them.
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ju5tin
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« Reply #16 on: January 28, 2006, 01:10:09 PM »



The point here, i think, is that you want to have the best chance of winning this tourney.

This leaves two options, at this point,

1) push with the 7's and double through or

2) make all in moves the next two hands in a row, regardless of your holding

If successful, both options would double you up before the bb comes to you. I cant really see any other way of getting back into a winning position in this tourney

The 7's. The chances of a bigger pair out there, 6 handed, is relatively low so theres a good chance that if  you push here you will be 50/50. Also theres a good chance the bigstack would leave you two alone to fight it out.(although he will call with a hand)

I think your stack is now so low, compared to the chip leader, that the all in moves are not likely to succeed, the bigstack is going to be behind you for the next 2 hands and his calling requirements will be very low, so you are most likely going to be around 40% - 60%, if you push next hand or the one after.

So on balance, its probably pushing with the 7's here that will give you the best chance of wining the tourney. Win this one and you can still use the next 2 hands to increase your stack and your position in the tourney.

If however, I just wanted to do the best i could, and place, I pass here.



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