Anyone betting on the next US President?

[TightEnd]

Big shock last night as Hillary takes New Hampshire, despite every single poll having Obama in the lead by an average of over 8%. US pollsters with big egg on their face this morning.

Hillary was matched at 250/1 to win NH on Betfair - not a bad pick for what was effectively a two horse race. Though whoever laid that must be a bit sick today.

so who would your money be on in each race then Peter Snow Andrew?

Given Bush's problems and the profile of the leading Democratic candidates, surely the Democrats are odds-on to win the White House at the end of it?

[TightEnd]

Did anyone see Hillary blubbing in the Diner the day before the vote?

Absolutely hilariously transparent

[Acidmouse]

It was really weird though, she has never shown any emotion before in all the years shes been in the public eye.

[AndrewT]

so who would your money be on in each race then Peter Snow Andrew?

Given Bush's problems and the profile of the leading Democratic candidates, surely the Democrats are odds-on to win the White House at the end of it?

Democrats are still favourites, but the Republicans would prefer it if Hillary got the nomination, as they know she's beatable (there is a big anti-Hillary feeling among wavering Republican voters, so she would help to get the core Republican voters to the polling stations). Obama is more likely to attract independent voters. There's even the chance that, if no Democrat leader emerges, Michael Bloomberg will make a late run for the nomination.

Whilst last night was good for McCain, no one will really notice the Republican result last night because of the magnitude of the Democrat shock, so that could still be anyone's. It would actually suit the Republicans to not choose their candidate until after they know who they'll be facing, as Hillary and Obama would require different counter tactics.

Meanwhile, the Independent almost had their own 'Dewey Wins' moment today - http://www.independent.co.uk/multimedia/archive/00262/p1_4th_262467a.jpg

[AndrewT]

Did anyone see Hillary blubbing in the Diner the day before the vote?

Absolutely hilariously transparent

Maybe, but it won her the primary. For the polls to have been so wrong means that voters who only made up their mind at the last moment must have swung hugely towards her, and the tears was the only real new factor in the last day before the vote.

[kinboshi]

Big shock last night as Hillary takes New Hampshire, despite every single poll having Obama in the lead by an average of over 8%. US pollsters with big egg on their face this morning.

Hillary was matched at 250/1 to win NH on Betfair - not a bad pick for what was effectively a two horse race. Though whoever laid that must be a bit sick today.

Well, it wasn't Bill.

[boldie]

Big shock last night as Hillary takes New Hampshire, despite every single poll having Obama in the lead by an average of over 8%. US pollsters with big egg on their face this morning.

Hillary was matched at 250/1 to win NH on Betfair - not a bad pick for what was effectively a two horse race. Though whoever laid that must be a bit sick today.

Well, it wasn't Bill.