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Author Topic: Stats reliant decision...  (Read 2839 times)
thetank
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« Reply #15 on: July 26, 2009, 11:43:28 PM »

This would usually be a standard pass, but villain has stats of 36/30 with a 3bet of 25% over a sample of 32 hands. I realise this is a small sample, and sometimes this can be deceptive.

yeah sample is way too small to flick it in here

Thread about this

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=10933141&an=0&page=0#Post10933141

Good post that

Cliffnotes...

If random is playing like a crazy but you've only seen him for one orbit, proceed as if 80% of the time he is a crazy and only 20% is he a normal player on a good run of cards.

Summating quote...

" I could have used several different situations or tweaked different variables, but still arrived at the same general point: lots of aggression in a small sample size can be surprisingly significant data, and we can't afford to ignore it. "
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salfi
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« Reply #16 on: July 27, 2009, 03:27:43 AM »

i have many more then 6 hands on the villain and a few showdowns. evidence suggests fist pump moonwalk bite hand off jaws style.
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LuckyLloyd
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« Reply #17 on: July 27, 2009, 07:47:05 PM »

This would usually be a standard pass, but villain has stats of 36/30 with a 3bet of 25% over a sample of 32 hands. I realise this is a small sample, and sometimes this can be deceptive.

yeah sample is way too small to flick it in here

Thread about this

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=10933141&an=0&page=0#Post10933141

Fair play.
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« Reply #18 on: July 28, 2009, 09:31:25 AM »

This would usually be a standard pass, but villain has stats of 36/30 with a 3bet of 25% over a sample of 32 hands. I realise this is a small sample, and sometimes this can be deceptive.

yeah sample is way too small to flick it in here

Thread about this

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=10933141&an=0&page=0#Post10933141

Good post that

Cliffnotes...

If random is playing like a crazy but you've only seen him for one orbit, proceed as if 80% of the time he is a crazy and only 20% is he a normal player on a good run of cards.

Summating quote...

" I could have used several different situations or tweaked different variables, but still arrived at the same general point: lots of aggression in a small sample size can be surprisingly significant data, and we can't afford to ignore it. "

+1, thanks for that link double up, good summation tank Wink

lol@moonwalk call, that's a new one for me Smiley
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