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Poker Hand Analysis
River Desicion?
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Topic: River Desicion? (Read 2276 times)
SuuPRlim
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Re: River Desicion?
«
Reply #15 on:
December 19, 2010, 07:59:55 PM »
in a camel like twist I was actually the villain in this hand.
My thinking on the river was that AA seems to make up the vast majority of his range here, seems like a pretty easy value bet from him (wether people actually do Vbet AA here at these stakes IDK)
He was 3betting reasonably tight pre but he was well aware how wide I was opening from everywhere as we were on a few tables together so I defo felt it possible as we were a bit deeper here that he might 3bet stuff he would flat ordinarily, (8/9high rundowns decent dbl suited hands etc)
So A real thought I had on the river was exactly what he'd do with an undeful, if he has QQ/JJ its an easy call, but 67 was the one hand I wasn't sure if he would fold, given that I have a (gonna count J7 as the same hand here)
I had QJTT in this hand. thoughts on my line?
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Last Edit: December 20, 2010, 04:26:34 AM by SuuPRlim
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NoflopsHomer
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Enchantment? Enchantment!
Re: River Desicion?
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Reply #16 on:
December 20, 2010, 10:02:43 AM »
Fold flop oop.
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SuuPRlim
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Re: River Desicion?
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Reply #17 on:
December 20, 2010, 11:05:01 AM »
I would pretty much never fold the flop here, vs a range weighted reasonably towards AA, with two decent backdoor draws and top pair, I think it would be far far too tight to fold
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Ironside
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Re: River Desicion?
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Reply #18 on:
December 20, 2010, 05:10:51 PM »
your line was fine till river the pot is still realtively small why go for a steal unless your up against the knig nit of nitville
cant see him folding much thats beating you, at these stakes people dont fold AA or KK after they put $1 in
look for better spot IMHO
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SuuPRlim
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Re: River Desicion?
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Reply #19 on:
December 21, 2010, 02:43:21 AM »
interesting.
I was pretty sure he;d have AAxx and fold enough of the time to make this a reasonably +EV jam, just wondered how often people think they'd be bet folding this exact hand hand here - as really, its kinda the same hand it actual value.
If people aren;t folding this spot a decent amount they wont be folding AA a decent amount either and that would make this a bad play
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