kukushkin88
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« Reply #45 on: July 07, 2017, 05:57:05 PM » |
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Obv no bookies offer it as there are so many combinations, but what do you reckon you'd get for a specific correct score prediction on Lions game? You'd think they could use the points expectations with some data about frequency of certain totals to do a request-a-bet style mechanic where punter enters their choice and it gives them a (big) price.
Favourite 50/1?
Minimal thought on this so far but my instinct is it's shorter than 50's. Scoring structured and correlated . It's a good question, I need to think more and run the numbers.
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arbboy
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« Reply #46 on: July 07, 2017, 06:02:42 PM » |
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Obv no bookies offer it as there are so many combinations, but what do you reckon you'd get for a specific correct score prediction on Lions game? You'd think they could use the points expectations with some data about frequency of certain totals to do a request-a-bet style mechanic where punter enters their choice and it gives them a (big) price.
Favourite 50/1?
I would probably happily lay 100/1 the field providing the points total was north of 40 on the spreads. I am amazed 365 haven't offered this tbh given what else they offer and they have the spreadsheet boys in house to develop a product like this easily.
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #47 on: July 07, 2017, 06:03:09 PM » |
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For example the spreads reckon something like 28-17 NZ tomorrow.
So what price would we expect that vs say the reverse score.
Is it as simple as the price for exact points for each team doubled? Can prob get a rough number for those from the ranges priced up.
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Side Project - making games for Amazon Alexa devices pressthe8.com
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The Camel
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« Reply #48 on: July 07, 2017, 06:05:13 PM » |
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Obv no bookies offer it as there are so many combinations, but what do you reckon you'd get for a specific correct score prediction on Lions game? You'd think they could use the points expectations with some data about frequency of certain totals to do a request-a-bet style mechanic where punter enters their choice and it gives them a (big) price.
Favourite 50/1?
I saw correct score betting on the Superbowl once. It was 100/1 the field. And I think rugby is more random than NFL as the kick after a try is much more difficult than a PAT.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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arbboy
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« Reply #49 on: July 07, 2017, 06:07:05 PM » |
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Obv no bookies offer it as there are so many combinations, but what do you reckon you'd get for a specific correct score prediction on Lions game? You'd think they could use the points expectations with some data about frequency of certain totals to do a request-a-bet style mechanic where punter enters their choice and it gives them a (big) price.
Favourite 50/1?
I saw correct score betting on the Superbowl once. It was 100/1 the field. And I think rugby is more random than NFL as the kick after a try is much more difficult than a PAT. If 100/1 the field was available on a reasonably low total on the nfl then 100/1 the field on rugby is a great lay as key numbers are nowhere near as important. My biggest ever bad beat in my punting career was laying a correct score winner in an England scotland 6 nations games to the landlord of my local boozer at 25/1! Total was 45 on the spreads as well so it was probably a 500/1 poke what i laid! I still have nightmares about handing the money over 10 years on!
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« Last Edit: July 07, 2017, 06:15:34 PM by arbboy »
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #50 on: July 07, 2017, 06:23:40 PM » |
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Indeed. Guy at my club wants to back a score but not sure I'd get over the story being retold for the next 20 years if it copped 😳
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Side Project - making games for Amazon Alexa devices pressthe8.com
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arbboy
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« Reply #51 on: July 07, 2017, 06:24:54 PM » |
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Indeed. Guy at my club wants to back a score but not sure I'd get over the story being retold for the next 20 years if it copped 😳
I still routinely hear this story on a monthly basis (weekly during the 6 nations) for the past ten years! It was the most incredible £1250 i have ever paid out in my life!
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« Last Edit: July 07, 2017, 06:28:42 PM by arbboy »
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #52 on: July 07, 2017, 06:59:03 PM » |
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Just spotted Sky have priced up a bunch of them as part of their request a bet feature. Lowest there is 100/1.
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Side Project - making games for Amazon Alexa devices pressthe8.com
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TightEnd
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« Reply #53 on: July 08, 2017, 10:31:47 AM » |
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A great series.
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My eyes are open wide By the way,I made it through the day I watch the world outside By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Woodsey
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« Reply #54 on: July 08, 2017, 10:32:32 AM » |
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Fuuuuuuucking hell, so near yet so far.....what a game. Draw a bit of an anticlimax after all that
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rinswun
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« Reply #55 on: July 08, 2017, 12:11:02 PM » |
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Phenomenal performance to draw the series with the world champions after just a month together. What an incredible talent Maro Itoje is - colossal display today.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #56 on: July 08, 2017, 12:41:32 PM » |
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in the three test series the all blacks led for 153 minutes, were level for 84 minutes and were behind for three minutes
drew 1-1
i know the all blacks fumbled three clear chances today, and the poite penalty/scrum call at the end was controversial, but quite a feat for the Lons to burgle a series draw today
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My eyes are open wide By the way,I made it through the day I watch the world outside By the way, I'm leaving out today
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