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Author Topic: X Factor 2009  (Read 58389 times)
Simon Galloway
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« on: October 05, 2009, 01:27:43 PM »
On this board because I am more interested in betting on it than watching it.  If it should be moved, ok. Have usually made decent money (in % terms at least) in previous years, backing 2 or 3 that will go a long way in the final (and laying off slices as they shorten) and also a small dabble on a longshot as a punt.

This year I think Lucie, Stacey and Jamie are all locks to have a decent run, altho unfortunately thats how the market sees it too.  Not such a strong feel in the longshots (I backed Ruth last time at a decent price) but am having a punt on Rikki at a mammoth price.

What strategies do people use on these TV specials?  Outright punts, locking in all green markets, laying a few short prices?

And who is going to win?
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Blatch
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2009, 01:49:10 PM »
I normally trade the eliminations on the night.

Thanks to a bit of inside info I managed to get 40/1 on a woman being eliminated when Louis decided to save a stupid girl group because the sang at West Life's wedding once, or something along those lines.

I personally reckon Lucie will come through but I think they will want a non female winner this year after Leona and Alex and Simon is very good at getting what he wants.
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Chompy
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2009, 02:03:47 PM »
X Factor is way tougher to play than Big Brother or the Eurovision imo.
They've shown in past series they won't just keep, say, one group in to keep that judge involved deep into the competition.
There's an element of tactical voting in the early eliminations but these are often hard to peg down in my experience.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2009, 02:06:00 PM »
gogogogo Miss Frank
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vinni
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2009, 02:45:47 PM »
how did the  2 twins get through ,there a must lay .
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Claw75
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2009, 02:53:47 PM »
Quote from: vinni on October 05, 2009, 02:45:47 PM
there a must lay .

not in my book!
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Chompy
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2009, 02:56:28 PM »
[ ] Louis's faith in the double-take brothers is well placed
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Simon Galloway
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2009, 02:58:31 PM »
70s on betfair.  No chance of winning, but the only way I can afford to do it in any kind of size is to lay 4 or 5 others at the same time - they can't all come in!
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Chompy
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2009, 03:00:38 PM »
Are Miss Frank the best group? If so, they could be a trade at around 22 innit? Liable to shorten over time.
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2009, 03:04:13 PM »
I think they'll do ok, similar to that sister/brother combo that were awful
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Horneris
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2009, 03:12:12 PM »
Ive had a bit on Olly @ 13 and Lloyd @ 22.

A friend of mine does X Factor betting for a betting firm and has said that they really don't want a female winnar this year.
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vinni
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2009, 03:14:18 PM »
yeh but these should`nt even be in the last 12 ,these must be the worst singers left in .
total shite ,i cant believe lou even put these through.
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Acidmouse
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2009, 03:23:31 PM »
Quote from: vinni on October 05, 2009, 03:14:18 PM
yeh but these should`nt even be in the last 12 ,these must be the worst singers left in .
total shite ,i cant believe lou even put these through.

Irish, young boys. lol obvious why. he wants to shag um.
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vinni
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2009, 03:51:40 PM »
 
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2009, 04:20:36 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on October 05, 2009, 03:00:38 PM
Are Miss Frank the best group? If so, they could be a trade at around 22 innit? Liable to shorten over time.

Best group by a mile. I've backed them.
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