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Poker Hand Analysis
SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
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Topic: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved? (Read 2302 times)
temp0r
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SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
on:
May 03, 2007, 09:59:48 PM »
don_mercer = donk.
lendusachip = super lag.
zoesmom = pretty tight.
PokerStars Game #9732052178: Tournament #49385750, $15+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2007/05/03 - 16:43:48 (ET)
Table '49385750 1' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 2: don_mercer (910 in chips)
Seat 4: temp0r2k (1775 in chips)
Seat 5: lendusachip (4345 in chips)
Seat 6: zoesmom (6470 in chips)
don_mercer: posts the ante 25
temp0r2k: posts the ante 25
lendusachip: posts the ante 25
zoesmom: posts the ante 25
lendusachip: posts small blind 200
zoesmom: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to temp0r2k [
]
don_mercer: raises 485 to 885 and is all-in
what is the most profitable move here given the opponents and chip stacks?
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Dewi_cool
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Dusk Till Dawn - It's like going home
Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #1 on:
May 03, 2007, 10:02:46 PM »
definate
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The very last hand of the night goes to Dewi James, who finds ACES and talks Raymond O’Mahoney into calling his all-in preflop bet of 15k. “If I had AQ, I’d call!” says Dewi. Raymond calls holding pocket 66’s.
byronkincaid
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #2 on:
May 03, 2007, 10:06:00 PM »
i'd prob fold
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I, Zimbra
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"the wind in my heart, the dust in my head"
Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #3 on:
May 04, 2007, 12:30:23 AM »
Very interesting, I was about to post a similar problem, I think these situations in Sit and Goes are very common (i.e. two big stacks, you're to act in third with <<10bbs and the 4th place player has one foot past the rail...)
zoesmom should call with any two cards, but as a tight player... they might just make a (bad) fold. And you might kick yourself later if you pass now and allow the shortstack to get those chips. Or you could get involved, only for the LAG to come along as well, and find yourself in a live pot you don't want to be in.
Horror situation: you move in behind the shortie and zoesmom finds an AQ or something similar and calls as well. Shortie fluke-triples with live cards and you're out 4th.
But then, if you pass, you might be out 4th anyway, and at least you have a hand right now.
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Longy
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #4 on:
May 04, 2007, 12:52:47 AM »
Folding is the worst of the 3 here, i think calling and pushing are quite close. Im leaning towards calling to try and get some cooperation from the other players. UTG is a donk therefore we have their range beat i would have thought..
Once the flop comes down im calling all in if anyone makes a move at the pot, as we are totally tied to the pot.
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boldie
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #5 on:
May 04, 2007, 08:37:25 AM »
Quote from: Longy on May 04, 2007, 12:52:47 AM
Folding is the worst of the 3 here, i think calling and pushing are quite close. Im leaning towards calling to try and get some cooperation from the other players. UTG is a donk therefore we have their range beat i would have thought..
Once the flop comes down im calling all in if anyone makes a move at the pot, as we are totally tied to the pot.
His range is huge not because he's a donk but because he is very shortstacked. He should push with any two here.
I could easily find a fold here against most players in this situation as the blinds with a hand decent hand have to call and it would be half my stack. If I think the blinds will call I fold. If not..I'll push. Calling is by far the worst option for me.
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Longy
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #6 on:
May 04, 2007, 05:20:07 PM »
Quote from: boldie on May 04, 2007, 08:37:25 AM
Quote from: Longy on May 04, 2007, 12:52:47 AM
Folding is the worst of the 3 here, i think calling and pushing are quite close. Im leaning towards calling to try and get some cooperation from the other players. UTG is a donk therefore we have their range beat i would have thought..
Once the flop comes down im calling all in if anyone makes a move at the pot, as we are totally tied to the pot.
His range is huge not because he's a donk but because he is very shortstacked. He should push with any two here.
I could easily find a fold here against most players in this situation as the blinds with a hand decent hand have to call and it would be half my stack. If I think the blinds will call I fold. If not..I'll push. Calling is by far the worst option for me.
I agree with the first line yeah he should push wide because of his stack and in actual fact cos he's donk, he prob doesn't push wide enough here. This is not an atc push tho.The bottom 25% it is worth gambling and hoping for a better bb.
I still think folding is horrible our hand is way too strong not to have him crushed and letting other people do our dirty work with inferior hands to ours make no sense. With our stack not bubbling is priority number one, the chance of utg beating more than 1 player are minimal.
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thetank
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #7 on:
May 04, 2007, 05:29:27 PM »
You don't want to call with the super LAG acting behind you likely to push you off pre-flop for sport.
I think it's between pushing and folding
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Longy
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #8 on:
May 04, 2007, 05:31:57 PM »
Quote from: thetank on May 04, 2007, 05:29:27 PM
You don't want to call with the super LAG acting behind you likely to push you off pre-flop for sport.
I think it's between pushing and folding
Im not folding ever here once i have called, are you taking the mick, look at the stack sizes?
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thetank
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #9 on:
May 04, 2007, 05:53:32 PM »
Him having no fold equity is unlikely to stop him raising as he doesn't know that.
Yes a call fold would be daft, but people do it, and a super LAG may raise there with not much.
Which I suppose leads to the interesting question of whether or not you want the 3 way action in which you'd need the 3rd best hand in order to bubble?
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Bazzaboy
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #10 on:
May 04, 2007, 07:04:28 PM »
looks a pretty straightforward shove to me, folding is not an option
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johnbhoy76
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #11 on:
May 04, 2007, 07:42:57 PM »
Quote from: Bazzaboy on May 04, 2007, 07:04:28 PM
looks a pretty straightforward shove to me, folding is not an option
agree with that.
Looks like a no brainer all-in to me.
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AlexMartin
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #12 on:
May 06, 2007, 01:03:52 AM »
Quote from: johnbhoy76 on May 04, 2007, 07:42:57 PM
Quote from: Bazzaboy on May 04, 2007, 07:04:28 PM
looks a pretty straightforward shove to me, folding is not an option
agree with that.
Looks like a no brainer all-in to me.
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fergus8
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #13 on:
May 07, 2007, 10:01:05 PM »
im gonna disagree, instant fold.
1. nothing invested
2. any big bllind would call
3. especially as raiser is a donk
4. extra especially by a looney chip leader
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GlasgowBandit
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Re: SnG bubble decision - do we get involved?
«
Reply #14 on:
May 07, 2007, 10:49:21 PM »
push every day and double on sunday!
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