blonde poker forum

The World Snooker Championship starts tomorrow - always some great betting opportunities here and i generally do pretty well so am looking for a profitable couple of weeks (hope i havent bokked myself there lol)

I have been trading for a couple of weeks on betfair and just need a couple of lays matched for an all green book with massive profit on Burnett, Greene and Gould that hopefully i can lay off if they can get through a round or two.  In total i have traded 21 players so should keep some interest going.

It is difficult to pick a winner this year.  Obviously Ronnie is the favourite but is not for me at 9/4.  I am still unsure about Selby and Carter having the bottle to go all the way and Maguire and Higgins are always under priced for the big tournaments in my opinion.
I have gone for Peter Ebdon in the spreads, which means that he needs to reach at least the semi-finals, but if he does then it is big profit for a small outlay mainly due to the fact that he is due to meet Ronnie in the quarters if they both get that far.

As for match betting, i will be trying to keep an update on here with my picks which i will start looking at tonight.

Lets gogogo



Sweepstake


Greek Stein

John Higgins Ricky Walden

Nem

Stephen Hendry Andrew Higginson

Matt50

Graeme Dott  Barry Hawkins

Horneris

Stephen Maguire Joe Swail

Tighty

Mark King Jamie Cope

Redsimon

Mark Allen Liang Wenbo

gatso

Ronnie O'Sullivan Michael Holt

RichEO

Neil Robertson Mar Williams

Dave Shoelace

Ryan Day Stephen Lee

sweetpotata

Marco Fu Gerard Greene

scotty2hatty

Joe Perry Nigel Bond

Rookie

Ding Junhui Steve (http://www.blondepoker.com/blondepedia/blondepedia_view_player.php?player_id=413) Davis (http://www.blondepoker.com/blondepedia/blondepedia_view_player.php?player_id=413)

pokerfan

Peter Ebdon Martin Gould

Pelham

Ali Carter Rory McLeod

dino1980

Shaun Murphy Stuart Bigham

chip Rich

Mark Selby Jamie Burnett

$20 sweepstake?

in

Would have to be organised pretty quickly - you need 32 people before 10.00 saturday morning.

I'm in. If we could get 16 then do two players each.

Yeah 16 sounds better and you get 1 seeded player and 1 qualifier.

I'm in - are you running it Barry?

Even 8 people is fine. Everyone just gets 4 in that case.

Erm no, lol, I'm actually about to go out and prob wont be near a pc until late tonight. Sorry for the hit and run sweepstake suggestion.

If someone else wants to do it, Im well up for a 16 peeps get two players or 8 peeps get 4

The trouble with backing Ebdon is that you'll be forced to watch all of his matches  ;sleep;

put me in the sweep pls

il be in sweep

[X] in ldo

Sweep

So far we have

Nem
Rookie
chiprich
tighty
pokerfan
daveshoelace
pelham
greekstein
matt50


Deadline is 10pm tonight

I will draw then

$20 each..Stars transfers to Prewie (Flitwick)

Winner 75%, Runner up 25%

If we are left with 8, I will withdraw and just admin it, 4 players each..2 seeded

Otherwise we need another 7 names to get to 16, 2 players each

I will have to make sure i am playing online poker the nights he is playing so i can stay awake into the early hours.

I'll be in but i can only do a transfer on Tilt. Let us know if thats any good.

I guess i could ship to one of the guys on tilt and they could maybe ship $40 on stars

Tilt is fine. Natrykris on there

You are only in if we hit 16 runners

At the moment we have 10

Ok so i will send to you now, and i will check back later to see if we got the 16 is that OK

No send later when I know I've got 16 please

Ill play please.

ty

that makes 11

16 required

also [X] Snooker_LOL

Money sent on stars Rich

Ill play too, transfer on stars now? (Not around much tomorrow)

ok, Simon

that's 12 then

shipped on stars, hopefully we can get 16...

Kev? Boldie? gatso? baron?

calling all usual suspects

IN!

13, 3 MORE REQUIRED

go on then

meeeeeeeeeeee

sweep me

MARVELLOUS

1 more name required please to accompany this rogues gallery

Nem
Rookie
chiprich
tighty
pokerfan
daveshoelace
pelham
greekstein
matt50
redsimon
sweetpotata
gatso
scotty2hatty
dino1980
Horneris


Will do the draw when we hit sixteen

Closed

RichEO makes 16

Here is the first round draw proper

seeded names first

Ronnie O'Sullivan (Eng) v  Stuart Bingham (Eng)
Mark Allen (NI) v Martin Gould (Eng)
Peter Ebdon (Eng) v Nigel Bond (Eng)
Ryan Day (Wal) v Stephen Lee (Eng)
John Higgins (Sco) v Michael Holt (Eng)
Joe Perry (Eng) v Jamie Cope (Eng)
Graeme Dott (Sco) v Barry Hawkins (Eng)
Mark Selby (Eng) v Ricky Walden (Eng)
Shaun Murphy (Eng) v Andrew Higginson (Eng)
Marco Fu (HK) v Joe Swail (NI)
Ding Junhui (Chn) v Liang Wenbo (Chn)
Stephen Hendry (Sco) v Mark Williams (Wal)
Ali Carter (Eng) v Gerard Greene (NI)
Neil Robertson (Aus) v Steve Davis (Eng)
Mark King (Eng) v Rory McLeod (Eng)
Stephen Maguire (Sco) v Jamie Burnett (Sco)

Ronnie O'Sullivan plz

thx

$20 shipped. Cheers for doing this Rich. Now, if you could pull Higgins out of the hat for me...

Greek Stein

John Higgins Ricky Walden

Nem

Stephen Hendry Andrew Higginson

Matt50

Graeme Dott  Barry Hawkins

Horneris

Stephen Maguire Joe Swail

Tighty

Mark King Jamie Cope

Redsimon

Mark Allen Liang Wenbo

gatso

Ronnie O'Sullivan Michael Holt

RichEO

Neil Robertson Mark Williams

Dave Shoelace

Ryan Day Stephen Lee

sweetpotata

Marco Fu Gerard Greene

scotty2hatty

Joe Perry Nigel Bond

Rookie

Ding Junhui Steve Davis

pokerfan

Peter Ebdon Martin Gould

Pelham

Ali Carter Rory McLeod

dino1980

Shaun Murphy Stuart Bigham

chip Rich

Mark Selby Jamie Burnett

$20 to Prewie (Flitwick) on Stars or Natrykris on Tilt asap


don't want to be chasing!

$240 to the winner

$80 to second

boke

will ship funds in a bit - who to and where?

i see

money sent

so fking rigged






























. ;whistle;

 Saturday 18 April

1000

Ronnie O'Sullivan (Eng) v Stuart Bingham (Eng)

Mark King (Eng) v Rory McLeod (Eng)

1430

Graeme Dott (Sco) v Barry Hawkins (Eng)

Stephen Hendry (Sco) v Mark Williams (Wal)

1900

Ronnie O'Sullivan v Stuart Bingham (Eng)

Ali Carter (Eng) v Gerard Greene (NI)

Sunday 19 April

1000

Mark Allen (NI) v Martin Gould (Eng)

Mark King (Eng) v Rory McLeod (Eng)

1430

Mark Selby (Eng) v Ricky Walden (Eng)

Ali Carter (Eng) v Gerard Greene (NI)

1900

Graeme Dott (Sco) v Barry Hawkins (Eng)

Stephen Hendry (Sco) v Mark Williams (Wal)

not as FML as


Tighty

Mark King Jamie Cope



Cheers to my son for that

good draw imo

I haven't been following snooker lately, does Hendry stand any decent chance of beating Williams?

Of course! It's Stephen fucking Hendry!!!

no

thx

sent btw mal666

Mark Allen any good?

Ronnie FTW, really wants this one as its the first his Dad can watch on the outside and he gets out soon.

Other than that I reckon Ali Carter could be due a big result this year here, been playng well all year.

In frame Betting is the way fwd, two weeks work starts here :)

Not at this standard

There was an interview with him in Metro this morning, think he's workd number 16 and he doesn't get on with Ken Docherty. Also, off to back Shaun Murphy!

transfer from "lalarina"

who is that pls?

;indestructable;

$20 shipped from thanx4chips

could someone move the draw to the op pls

shipped on Tilt, FML

$20 shipped ...Gaz15

Hope not :D

done

ty sir

thanks for the prompt payment of monies

still to pay

Greekstein

Horneris

ChipRich

Rookie

Pelham


cheers

just seen this since i posted at work earlier and am not at home atm....will get xfer sorted when I wake up tomorrow.

[  ] I'll be up early

sent

gogogogo Selby

FML - not only do i get 2 players that are playing each other in the first round i also get one of the worst seeded players in Dott - TY Tighty's son  ;yellowcard;

So you're guaranteed a horse in round 2?

luckbox imo

mbn to have a gteed sweat in Round 2.

Right, first bets are sorted:

1pt Bingham to beat O'Sullivan @ 8.4
1pt McLeod to beat King @ 2.72
2pts McLeod highest break v King @ 2.22
3pts Allen to beat Gould @ 1.36

$20 shipped on tilt Rich.

Good draw for me, with some local interest, i used to play in the same club as Rory McLeod. Lets gogogogo Rory.

Quite happy with Ali Carter as well, should give me a decent run, probably without winning though.

The only player i have backed so far is Ding Junhui.

Scary start by Ronnie.

Quaity first frame and a super long pot first shot in the second and clearence to follow with a break of 140 :)

2 all now though - Bingham was way too high at 7/1 to win this match IMO.

It could be a cracker.

7/1????  You need to shop around, was easily backable at 9/1 this morning

Well i did my bets last night, actually got 8.4 on betfair so about 15/2.

I assume he's not backable at anywhere near that price now. he's playing abs superb snooker atm

About 3/1 now!

looking good now at 3:2 up

Yeah fraction under 3/1

Ronnie long ball pots have been awful but when in and amongst them has looked as good as ever.

Good bok :)

yeah, the 32 he hit at the start of the 5th was some of the best close control I've seen him play. just got unlucky going into the pack

Had to try something - im on Ronnie to win the comp :)

3:3

another century for Ronnie.

Over 2.5 centuries in the match is looking good at even money now

over 2.5 in the session looking good tbh

Should have had a great chance at a 147 there

gutted, he was looking good for the max there. great session though

2 pts Williams to beat Hendry IR @ 2.2

Hendry and Williams both playing horribly.

Should be interesting prices for whoever gets thru

sweepstake, all paid except GreekStein


tyvm everyone, great to have no admin hassle

Always one ..... and its normally him :)

He never pays up when he loses at Backgammon too

Can I throw this up for discussion, is there a better commentator on their particular sport than Clive Everton??

Martin Brundle

Richie Benaud

John Madden

but yes, Everton is very good. Been a top class player and Billiards champ for decades too

Tikay will go mad at this, he will name 8 cricket radio commentators

for me Ron Atkinson FTW

I really hope this is a joke.

cant be anything else

Benaud, yep different gravy also...

rotflmfao

Garry Herbert is a legend.

Sandy

lol Neil!

[  ] You sure ever beat me at Backgammon!

I don't have a stars or tilt account and was playing live all day yday. Will try and sort it now.

Don't suppose there's any chance of a bank xfer is there?

You must have done some dough then bud?

Made day 2 with a min profit of £1 - SHIP!

wtf?

Gutted, would've been up for sweepstake. Ah well, gogogo Higgins.

I am really out of touch with snooker ATM. 

Seems to me that there is a lack of top class talent pushing through.  I remember a few years back when the likes of Higgins, Williams, Stevens, O'Sullivan etc were all coming through at roughly the same time.

Is it something to do with the way the rankings work?  I am not sure of the answer.

I would seem to me that if O'Sullivan turns up and bothers to try he wins.  Is that unfair to the other players?

Basically yes!

Snooker like Boxing, is utter pish these days!

GTFO Rory, you are slower than Terry Griffiths and Eddie Charlton put together.

fyp

I know!

Not the best start to be honest, although most bets have been speculative to date.  My 2 main bets of the 1st round are Ding and Ebdon, although both fairly short prices unfortunately.

1pt Bingham to beat O'Sullivan @ 8.4 Lost
1pt McLeod to beat King @ 2.72 Lost
2pts McLeod highest break v King @ 2.22 Lost
3pts Allen to beat Gould @ 1.36 Pending
2 pts Williams to beat Hendry IR @ 2.2 Lost

Running total -6pts


3pts Ding to beat Wenbo @ 1.5
1pt Swail to beat Fu @ 2.9
1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.06
5pts Ebdon to beat Bond @ 1.38

3pts Allen to beat Gould @ 1.36 Won
3pts Ding to beat Wenbo @ 1.5 Pending
1pt Swail to beat Fu @ 2.9 Pending
1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.06 Pending
5pts Ebdon to beat Bond @ 1.38 Pending

Running total -4.97pts


0.5pts Lay Selby v Walden @ 1.06 IR
0.5pts Lay Selby -2.5 frames v Walden @ 1.36 IR

Walden had his chances yesterday and if he plays like he can today then 1.06 is way too short for Selby.

Walden just not taking his chances and Selby has scored big every time he has got in today - still, it was a longshot!

Crucible - its always the way

Brag Post Alert - I've not had a sports bet in 3 or 4 years but i saw Hendry v Williams as a straight coin flip as Hendry usually turns it on for the worlds. Therefore i absolutely smashed the 6/4 available about Hendry, at 4-5 down i wanted to get further involved especially with the tip issues Williams was having but i was pretty disgusted about only being able to get 13/8 with a frame deficit and now only a race to 5 or 6. Hendry has a softish draw however he will need to play a lot better to make much further progress.

[  ] Congrats on taking up sports betting again.

[ X ] Wd on the win.

fyp.

I also have  not bet on snooker for a few years, but on Friday night I spotted a bet on Sporting Index that I fancied. It is called the Two Ronnies market and was quoted at 170-190. The scoring works as follows:

Good Ronnie

+100 pts for winning title
+50 pts for being runner up
+25 pts for losing in the semis

+ his highest break in the tournament
+50 pts bonus for a 147
+10 pts per century
+25 for winning the opening frame of every match he plays

Bad Ronnie

-100 pts for losing in 1st round
-50 pts for losing in 2nd round
-25 pts for losing in the quarters

-2 x the total foul pts from his first round match

-25 pts for losing the opening frame of every match he plays.

I bought at 190.

He won the opening frame, in the second frame he made a 140 break and in total he made 3 centuries in his first round match. he gave away 14 points in fouls. So, after 1 match it is at 167 so far. The market is now quoted at 290-310.

Your too shrewd, I'll inform the Snooker trader lol.

lol, I'm your ideal punter. Its all coming back to you with interest I suspect. Having said that,I cleaned up on the dogs today as well. :)

Bananas is probably the greatest bet in the world!

Why so?????

Bananas is too crazy even for me. I prefer the less volatile, but still quite so Barking Mad index - winner's trap number x runner up's trap number, aggregated accross the card. Bananas multiplies it again by the 3rd placed dog.

The volcano supremacy market in snooker is probably the only more volatile market going.

basically its the most volatile bet in the business.

So for example in dogs (We do a version in all sports now), it a prediction on the finishing positions in a race so it can makeup a minimum of 1x2x3 = 6 and a maximum or 4x5x6 = 120. We would offer a spread across all the meetings, say 300-350 (say 8 races) and you can buy or sell it, it could makeup between 46 and 960.

When you said it was the greatest i thought you had a system for beating it  ;)

3pts Ding to beat Wenbo @ 1.5 Pending
1pt Swail to beat Fu @ 2.9 Lost
1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.06 Pending
5pts Ebdon to beat Bond @ 1.38 Pending
0.5pts Lay Selby v Walden @ 1.06 IR Lost
0.5pts Lay Selby -2.5 frames v Walden @ 1.36 IR Lost


Running total -6.97pts

Going to get back involved in the Perry v Cope match.  It is 5-4 to Perry and Cope's odds have drifted to almost 2/1 from even money.

1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.94 IR

Atleast Ding is looking good

Nice bok!!

Ding is really struggling

7-7 and he hasn't potted a ball for an hour

8:7 down and looking at his cueing arm as if he isnt cueing straight, not a good sign

And then knocks in a century break to make it 8-8 - its a funny old game!!!

FOllowed by a 90 to go 9:8 up

Ebdon in trouble.

Bond is a solid player, v few mistakes. Not enough power to go all the way but a tricky draw

lol he has made 2 on average per frame, just Ebdon not capitalised and played awfully.  Ebdon should be 5:2 up not 5:2 down

we're watching different games, clearly!

We must be lol

Ebdon missed red along cushion in first which was simply at frame ball.

Since then ive seen Bond miss 3 easy balls, go in off in the last frame, got in off in the 3rd frame and other bad shots

Ding goes through.

Great bottle to come back

3pts Ding to beat Wenbo @ 1.5 Won
1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.06 Pending
5pts Ebdon to beat Bond @ 1.38 Pending
1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.94 IR Pending


Running total -5.54pts

1pt Higginson +2.5 frames v Murphy @ 2.22

[ ] Glad i backed a player who is struggling against Nigel Bond to go a long way in the tournament.

1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.06 Won
5pts Ebdon to beat Bond @ 1.38 Pending
1pt Cope to beat Perry @ 2.94 IR Won
1pt Higginson +2.5 frames v Murphy @ 2.22 Pending

Running total -2.69pts

0.5pts Davis to beat Robertson @ 5.3

There are rumours that a shoulder injury could affect Robertson, so just a small speculative punt on Davis at a decent price.

Yeah he moaned about during the Shanghai tourney was on, it shouldnt affect him too badly but I suppose if you know its there and things dont go your way it can have an affect

I really cant get my head round that Bond v Ebdon match.  Ebdon won the China Open a couple of weeks ago, and always seems to play well at the crucilble, grinding out results when he needs to.  Bond on the other hand has won only 2 matches all season (the season ends at the end of the world champs).  An absolutely terrible result for me.

5pts Ebdon to beat Bond @ 1.38 Lost
1pt Higginson +2.5 frames v Murphy @ 2.22 Pending
0.5pts Davis to beat Robertson @ 5.3 Pending


Running total -7.69pts

Right, really need to start clawing back some losses now:

3pts Day -2.5 frames v Lee @ 2.0
1pt Lay over 10.5 Fifty breaks Day v Lee @ 2.24

gg sweep :(

Sweep udate. As Pokerfan says, his two are out while my two are still in thanks to Cope winning over Perry

Scotty2hatty got done on Perry but Bond still gives him an interest


Sweepstake


Greek Stein

John Higgins Ricky Walden

Nem

Stephen Hendry Andrew Higginson

Matt50

Graeme Dott Barry Hawkins

Horneris

Stephen Maguire Joe Swail

Tighty

Mark King Jamie Cope

Redsimon

Mark Allen Liang Wenbo

gatso

Ronnie O'Sullivan Michael Holt

RichEO

Neil Robertson Mar Williams

Dave Shoelace

Ryan Day Stephen Lee

sweetpotata

Marco Fu Gerard Greene

scotty2hatty

Joe Perry Nigel Bond

Rookie

Ding Junhui S Davis

pokerfan

Peter Ebdon Martin Gould

Pelham

Ali Carter Rory McLeod

dino1980

Shaun Murphy Stuart Bingham

chip Rich

Mark Selby Jamie Burnett

Ali Carter is still in.

Thank god :)  Hoping to collect at 13.5 ;)

I know a few are on Murphy to win the title back but ive never seen him play so bad. Must have had a chance in every frame and mucked it up.

Higginson was 7-6 up and needed just 1 more frame for me to win the handicap bet - now 8-7 to Murphy, please let Higginson win 1 more frame!

well done

A bit too close for comfort though!

go collect :)

1pt Higginson +2.5 frames v Murphy @ 2.22 Won
0.5pts Davis to beat Robertson @ 5.3 Pending
3pts Day -2.5 frames v Lee @ 2.0 Pending
1pt Lay over 10.5 Fifty breaks Day v Lee @ 2.24 Pending

Running total -6.57pts

1pt Holt +3.5 frames v Higgins @ 1.95

just painful watching Steve Davis

retire sir, its been a long and gloried career, you owe yourself nothing

Why does Higgins have a tendency to miss such easy balls at times for no reason?

He looked so good in the first and 2nd and then end of the 2nd missed the easiest ball, frustrating trading on his frames

Robertson potting them off the lampshades...

painful sadly but probably give it one more year as that will be 30 and that will be all I think

ty for rubdown.

not at all, all I am doing is crossing out players who are knocked out

Disagree massively.

If he's still enjoying it, he should carry on as long as he wants.

Beats playing poker for a living.

Its all about his frame of mind

Agree with the humped one, he is there on merit, if it was like golf majors where some antique who will never shoot less than 80 and only gets in cos he won it once, I would agree.

If he is good enough to qualify, he is good enough to play.

Pun intended?

Get to end of the cue for the snooker puns.

Oh dear, the tip of the iceberg begins to melt

I rest my case, my spider senses predicted it

I'm stunned

Not even sure if a pun was intended. He was framed.

I shall be taking a long rest from this thread ... I need the break.

Don't do that Kev. Have a rest and chalk it down to experience

Or stay and be the butt of our jokes.

Sandy

Ive been trying to think of a witty reply but ive been left snookered

I have done a back spin and returned to the thread ... which by the way has taken an extension from its original theme.

I will note take a side in any debate, I am merely here to cushion the blow if it descends into farce.

Let's be honest, you screwed up.

Nice swerve.

Sandy

if there are many more ill be stunned

I felt foul for breaking off my participation in the thread

Be careful you don't cannon into anything in your stunned state.

Sandy

Scratch this subject, lets start a new one :

The Chinese are doing well this year.

Should be in the rail imo....

Pm'd Tikay but he baulked at the thought of working.

Sandy

Anyone got any clues for value in the 2nd round matches? I used to be a bit shrewd on the snooker and just useless at everything else but i've not been able to follow it since Sunday so not sure how many of them are playing.
I think Murphy could be a good price against Fu at 10/11 on betfair if he can get over the health issues before the match. Ding v Hendry is interesting both played poorly in first round but scrapped through, Hendry came steaming out of the blocks but Ding at his best can steamroller opponents if he gets well in front. I may have a gamble Hendry flys out of the blocks again at 6/4 and lay it back in running if it happens. Ding doesn't really appeal as an all the way bet at 8/13. Maguire looking pretty awesome tonight.

Murphy's head isn't right either, his wife has just left him

He was awful first round but pulled it out from 7-7

I'll be on Fu.

She left him 6 months, but threatened to file for divorce the day he played his first game...  He also hasnt spoken to his dad for 2 years, and his mum walked out on him at 14...

He's probably the most unlikely candidate to have such turbulance if you just met him or heard him doing an interview!!

0.5pts Davis to beat Robertson @ 5.3 Lost
3pts Day -2.5 frames v Lee @ 2.0 Won
1pt Lay over 10.5 Fifty breaks Day v Lee @ 2.24 Won
1pt Holt +3.5 frames v Higgins @ 1.95 Pending


Running total -3.41pts

0.5pts Day to win outright @ 26
0.5pts Hendry to win outright @ 38

2pts Hendry to beat Junhui @ 2.6
1pt O'Sullivan -5.5 frames v Allen @ 2.6


With regard to the 2nd round matches, the banker bet is Day against Bond.  I know i have come unstuck once backing against Bond, but no-one could have forseen Ebdon playing so badly.  Day should beat him about 13-4.
Hendry is way too big against Ding at 2.6.  Although he is not the player he was, Ding is not in good form and really struggles with confidence.  Hendry on the other hand always keeps his cool, even in the first round against Williams when he was 7-5 down he didnt panic, and although Williams pretty much handed it to him he played okay.
O'Sullivan shouldnt have too many problems against Allen and Selby the same against Dott.
Carter against Robertson is going to be a close match - Robertson played very well against Davis and on his day could beat anyone.  Carter though proved last year he is good enough so this one will be very close.
As for Murphy against Fu, well its flip a coin time, although at the moment i am leading slightly towards Fu.

Got up early to find out play doesnt start till 2 today :(

My 2nd round picks are: -

Day @ 1.2
Selby @ 1.37
Ding @ 1.61

lol

Have gone with Hendry at 8/5, Ding has only ever won 2 matches at the Crucible and Hendry despatched him at the same stage last year 13-7. May look to lay it back in running if he gets a couple ahead but doesn't look to be playing any better than 1st round.

Ronnie not looking great in play but if he goes better than 1/2 this is surely a must bet.

Obv when it went 1.52 during frame 3 Bad Beat not taking calls FML.

Never seen Ronnie play so badly, looks incredibly average tonight

ronnie's gotta be delighted that he's finished the day at 4-4. can't see him playing that badly again tomorrow

Anyone want to lay me 21/20 Murphy?

[ ] I hope Ronnie plays better today

I cannot remember seeing Ronnie play as bad as he did last night for a long long time.  Something was obviously wrong with him last night and it will be interesting to see whether he comes out today and plays the same, or just as likely wins 6 or 7 of the afternoon session frames!!!


1pt Holt +3.5 frames v Higgins @ 1.95 Lost
0.5pts Day to win outright @ 26 Pending
0.5pts Hendry to win outright @ 38 Pending
2pts Hendry to beat Junhui @ 2.6 Pending
1pt O'Sullivan -5.5 frames v Allen @ 2.6 Pending


Running total -4.41pts

7pts Day to beat Bond @ 1.21
3pts Day -3.5 frames v Bond @ 1.7

FYP

Hendry just nicked crucial 12th frame to make it 6-6 against Ding - looking like this one could go all the way.

Day started well against Bond, wouldnt be too surprised if it was 7-1 at the interval.

Did you see the end of the 13th? What a battle on the black, piss poor snooker but pretty exciting to watch.

Gogogogo Hendry

that was proper old school snooker. loved it

Day playing badly and still well in control /........ easy money

I really cant decide whether to have some kind of saver on Ding, Hendry really looking hungry and different class now back to something like his predator days which is tempting me to let it ride.

Reminded me of Taylor and Davis but it was me pumping an imaginary cue over my head.

Urgh that was a little schoolboy.

most bizarre foul by hendry there. don't think I've ever seen that before at the crucible, it's the sort of thing you do playing drunken pool

A stunning session of snooker.

agreed, as entertaining a session as there's been for years. that's my evening sorted

Sweepstake


Greek Stein

John Higgins Ricky Walden

Nem

Stephen Hendry Andrew Higginson

Matt50

Graeme Dott Barry Hawkins

Horneris

Stephen Maguire Joe Swail

Tighty

Mark King Jamie Cope

Redsimon

Mark Allen Liang Wenbo

gatso

Ronnie O'Sullivan Michael Holt

RichEO

Neil Robertson Mar Williams

Dave Shoelace

Ryan Day Stephen Lee

sweetpotata

Marco Fu Gerard Greene

scotty2hatty

Joe Perry Nigel Bond

Rookie

Ding Junhui S Davis

pokerfan

Peter Ebdon Martin Gould

Pelham

Ali Carter Rory McLeod

dino1980

Shaun Murphy Stuart Bingham

chip Rich

Mark Selby Jamie Burnett

As good an example of self bokking as you are likely to find.

0.5pts Day to win outright @ 26 Pending
0.5pts Hendry to win outright @ 38 Pending
2pts Hendry to beat Junhui @ 2.6 Pending
1pt O'Sullivan -5.5 frames v Allen @ 2.6 Pending
7pts Day to beat Bond @ 1.21 Pending
3pts Day -3.5 frames v Bond @ 1.7 Pending

Running total -4.41pts

2pts Fu to beat Murphy @ 1.91

Ryan Day looking good Matt

Just hope he doesnt take his foot of the pedal when he approaches 13 frames.

[ X ] Tighty organized the sweepstake
[ X ] Tighty's the only person with 2 players left
[   ] Tighty will still have 2 players left after round 2

lol Mark King and Jamie Cope. I'll be out by the time the weekend is up

Textbook clearance in the last but average otherwise, invested too so still happy...  Alan Pardew is shocking...

Ronnie and Murphy looking very good in 1st frames today

Cracking pressure clearance from Allen to go 6-6...

Got a fairly small interest in Murphy at 2.08 not at all wishing i'd got out of Hendry at 8-6 and lumped on here.

Looked very gay with the wrong handed fist pump though lol

Really haven't kept up to date with the snooker for once this year.

Who's looking good? How's Mr Higgins getting along?

Struggled, will need to play better, even to beat Cope, never mind win it...

Some of Ronnie's nudges and nurdles are a joy to watch, that red into the middle with check side to get on the black, so suttle so yet so perfect...

Murphy looking very good and destroying Fu.

Get in there was shades of vintage Hendry both tonight and at times this morning. Makes my minbet of Murphy slightly less tilting.

Think Robertson may represent some small value although i need to look into it more. Am also of the opinion Dott may represent some decent trading potential in running, Selby i think will almost certainly win but Dott at 3.75 now is such a grinder he is likely to stay in touch enough to go a fair bit shorter in running and lock in some kind of freeroll just in case he does grind Selby into the floor.

1pt Robertson to beat Carter @ 2.46

10-10 Ronnie, very close...

Ronnie's winning 10-10?

I put my usual World Championships 10er on Hendry - getting a decent run.

whatever the result, Allen is a potting monster. Very impressive, great temperament too.

yeah great to watch, comes accross very well in interviews too, nice guy

gg Ronnie

bollocks. thought I was onto a winner with ronnie in the sweep

well deserved victory though, allen looks very good atm

remaining sweep runners

Sweepstake


Greek Stein

John Higgins

Nem

Stephen Hendry

Matt50

Graeme Dott

Horneris

Stephen Maguire

Tighty

Mark King Jamie Cope

Redsimon

Mark Allen

RichEO

Neil Robertson

Dave Shoelace

Ryan Day

dino1980

Shaun Murphy

chip Rich

Mark Selby

2pts Cope +2.5 frames v Higgins @ 2.02

These pockets are like buckets this year imho, hence the multitude of century breaks.

That means a great likelihood of a surprise result as I see it.

Yes have to agree with the above....seen lots of shots hit the near jaw in the middle pockets and go in...normally they just ping out.

Many of these shots have been played with a bit of pace as well and they going in!

Put a small percentage of the Hendry and Murphy profits back into play on Dott at 11/4 hoping at some point to get out in running and lay back about 6/4 for a small freeroll.

Just about to have the longest frame ever at the crucible.

Approaching 74 mins at moment zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

78 mins wow

keep posting the minutes bud- will be up to 300 posts in no time :D You playing the £100er at gala tonight?

0.5pts Day to win outright @ 26 Pending
0.5pts Hendry to win outright @ 38 Pending
2pts Hendry to beat Junhui @ 2.6 Won
1pt O'Sullivan -5.5 frames v Allen @ 2.6 Lost
7pts Day to beat Bond @ 1.21 Won
3pts Day -3.5 frames v Bond @ 1.7 Won
2pts Fu to beat Murphy @ 1.91 Lost
1pt Robertson to beat Carter @ 2.46 Pending
2pts Cope +2.5 frames v Higgins @ 2.02 Pending


Running total -0.98pts

5 pts Maguire to beat King IR @ 1.3

0.5pts Day to win outright @ 26 Pending
0.5pts Hendry to win outright @ 38 Pending
1pt Robertson to beat Carter @ 2.46 Pending
2pts Cope +2.5 frames v Higgins @ 2.02 Pending
5 pts Maguire to beat King IR @ 1.3 Pending

Running total -0.98pts

2pts Carter +2.5 frames v Robertson @ 1.66

I think this one will go all the way, obviously having backed Robertson before the match i am hoping for a 13-12/13-11 Robertson win.
The Higgins v Cope match has been a cracker so far, and the match of the tournament IMO.
Just hope that Cope can deal with the pressure this afternoon and at least get to 11 frames.
Both matches should be great viewing this afternoon.

0.5pts Day to win outright @ 26 Pending
0.5pts Hendry to win outright @ 38 Pending
1pt Robertson to beat Carter @ 2.46 Won
2pts Cope +2.5 frames v Higgins @ 2.02 Won
5 pts Maguire to beat King IR @ 1.3 Pending
2pts Carter +2.5 frames v Robertson @ 1.66 Lost

Running total +0.35pts

Higgins and Cope goes to a decider - what a match this has been.
2.4 too good to turn down for a 1 frame shootout.

0.5pts Cope to beat Higgins IR @ 2.4

Weee

(Sorry Matt - got Higgins in the sweep)

Pretty underhanded gamesmanship to have fainting Stokies trying to put John off ;)

0.5pts Day to win outright @ 26 Pending
0.5pts Hendry to win outright @ 38 Pending
5 pts Maguire to beat King IR @ 1.3 Won
0.5pts Cope to beat Higgins IR @ 2.4 Lost

Running total +1.28pts

So we move to the quarter-finals and 4 very intriguing and probably close matches.
I think Day will beat Allen.  It is always difficult to play the next match when you have caused a big upset, and Allen may just struggle in this one.  Day also seems to be in decent form and i think he will have just too much for Allen in this one.
Hendry seems too big at 2.56 considering how he played against Ding in the last round. Murphy did play very well in the last round, but was helped by Fu's woeful performance.  Hopefully Hendry can sneak it to enable me to lay off my outright bet, but i am definately backing him in the h/cap market.
Robertson v Maguire is a tough one to call.  Robertson has looked very good in patches, whilst Maguire doesnt seem to be playing at the top of his game (probably has other things on his mind).  Could go either way, but a small bet on the value, which is Robertson in this one.
For some reason the Selby v Higgins match is priced upp pretty evenly.  Before the tournament started you would have expected Selby to be about 1.6 v Higgins, but the Scot has shown good form this week, while Selby has yet to hit top gear.  I have a feeling that may change in this game though so am going with Selby.

2pts Day to beat Allen @ 1.89
1pt Hendry to beat Murphy @ 2.56
2pts Hendry +3.5 frames v Murphy @ 1.49
1pt Robertson to beat Maguire @ 2.64
2pts Selby to beat Higgins @ 1.96

sweep update


Day v Allen

Dave Shoelace v Redsimon

Higgins v Selby

GreekStein v ChipRich

Hendry v Murphy

Nem v dino1980

Robertson v Maguire

RichEO  v Horneris


$240 to the winner

$80 to the runner up

Go on Stephen lad...  11 more pots!

get on the pink...   get on the pink...

wp Hendry

£157,000 shipped lol

He's still exceptionally good in the balls, good on him...

Awesome break - is great that someone like Hendry can still produce snooker like this.

Its no Jamie Burnett break but still...  :D

I'm not really surprised at Hendry's good form as he has much better cue now than when he was in his heyday.

It's great to see.

Selby certainly seems to have found his form, 3 centuries in the opening 3 frames to against Higgins!

What chance did I have?

ChipRich runs TOOOO GOOOOD

lol sure do.

gogogo Selby though!

Great comeback from Higgins to go 4-3 up though.

Could really do with Selby winning the last frame of the session.

sighh, bokked the hell outa Selby.

game on!

Higgings flying now...

scores?

live update plzzzz

Higgins 7-5 Selby
Murphy 11-8 Hendry

heaven, 8-7 Selby now.

12-11 Murphy too.

gogogo Selby.

Would love to see Hendry pull this comeback off

Murphy beats Hendry 13-11

Higgins and Selby 8-8

sweep update


Day v Allen

Dave Shoelace v Redsimon

Higgins or Selby

GreekStein or ChipRich

Robertson v Maguire/ v Murphy

RichEO  v Horneris/dino1980


$240 to the winner

$80 to the runner up

Think Murphy plays Robertson or Maguire in the semis

correct, I've changed it thx

gg Selby

gl greekstein/Higgins

GTFI John Higgins!! Legend.

sweep update


Allen v Higgins

Redsimon v GreekStein

Robertson  v Murphy

RichEO  v dino1980


$240 to the winner

$80 to the runner up

I like Murphy -2.5 frames at 11/10 V Robertson, unfortunately I'd prefer Robertson to win...

Higgins -2.5 frames at 4/5 also, first to 17 so plenty of play, one table situation etc etc...

thx m8, ul.

I'll buy u a pint at DTD this weekend!

Higgins looking good at mo

cue bok

who did Hendry lose to?

ty, not sure im off yet tho.

going for a run?

hahaha, prob.

Shaun murphy

13-11, hitting the 147 cost him the match, was poor after it...

cant stand shaun murphy - gogogogo robertson, higgins to win the lot

Higgins looked good and hope he lays Murphy in final

Is this the first frame or the decider ?

The score was 0-0 so I'm assuming first frame. You can get 11/2 on Betfair that it was the last though.

btw - ggogogogog Higgins

Very scrappy first session, good lead for your guy tho. gg$20 FML etc :)

Allen gone to pieces now...

I really don't like Allen. I don't know what it is about him.
Hope Higgins wins the lot.

Me too I'm on @ 8/1 although I bottled out of half of my bet-fml etc...

Got on at 12.5 before tournament. Laid off a little for all green although can't see him losing it if he keeps playing like this.

To be fair Allen crumbled this morning rather than Higgins being excellent, Higgins just ploughed along like the consistent machine he is...  He played better against Selby...

Nearly had a huge result just now,

Laid 1.01 and 1.3 on different people in same frame, didnt quite have a chance to even the book up and got 200 instead of 2k

Blatant I have 2k brag imo

[  ] Cos understands betting and laying

Higgins/GreekStein through

Dino1980/Murphy looking likely in the other

wp guys in the sweep 

after abit advice please. i put £50 on higgins at 8/1 at the start of the tourny. This might sound abit noobish but how can i gurantee myself a reasonable profit for the final?

thanks

hope this is right, I'm rushing it, can someone check over the numbers?

simplest way in a 2 horse race is to back the oppo. assuming it's murphy he'll probs be around evens

-betting £50 on murphy means if he wins you'll break even overall, if higgins wins you'll be up £350

-betting £400 on murphy means if he wins you'll be up £350, if higgins wins you break even

anywhere between £50 and £400 you'll make a profit whoever wins

-£225@evens will be a return of £450 whoever wins so a £175 profit

will obv depend on the actual price but that won't be far out

Talk about making me sweat for it...

Spot on, all depends how much you want to even up your profit on both players

Anything you like on the final blatch?

Not really, goa watch the evening session and may do a bit in running.

Busy day today with Football and the tennis.

sweepstake

$80 transferred to Dino1980 on stars

$240 due to GreekStein, please see your PMs

Had major internet troubles so not been able to post or bet much!!!!

Finished down on the tourney, mainly due to Ebdon's loss to Bond and Murphy's capitulation in the second session of the final.

Well done Greekstein and Dino

weee ty Mr Higgins

So Nigel Bond didn't win?!

I was just going through some old threads on blonde and saw that back in 2005 the lady that reffed the final posted for a bit on blonde!

She did yes, 10 posts or so.

fine eye candy lol (as well as being a terrific referee of course)

A good pool player herself too, as is her ex-world champ husband...