blonde poker forum

Just got a mail through from Ladbrokes - from 8am tomorrow morning they are going 10/1 on Tiger for the US Open - best price elsewhere is 8/1.

Is this where Flushy is going to invest his $300k?

no

i've had a dabble and a bigger dabble at 10/11 to finish in the top 10.

Rhys Davies @ 150-1 looks tremendous each way value to me he has been 2nd last two times out and although he hasn't played much professional golf in America he did win ten college tournaments over there and should be able to handle ridic quick greens. also had money on Luke Donald @ 30-1 (could have got 33-1 but 30-1 pays an extra place first 6 vs first 5) great form at the moment and good steady player who should be suited to us open conditions. wouldn't put anyone off tiger though 10-1 is huge on a course where he won by an enormous margin in 2000

ive taken stewart Cink and rory mcilroy each way a couiple of weeks ago, at the prices n ow Inthink Cink is coming into form at just the right time and has form on similar courses to this.

The best tactic might be to have no bet pre game but make a selection after a cple of rounds as the US Open has a histoiry of winners that were in the top 5 or 10 after 2 rounds.

I have a fe quid on thslese 4, only a few as I'm saving my money for the World Cup:

Woods
Choi
Cink
Cabrera

these are the 4 I usually take, not going on form as I haven't studied anything due to world cup this month.

This is just a wee interest for watching after the 7:30 game of world cup.

Biggest ever bet of my life on tiger, plz dont fck it up

id be more worried about the person putting on fcking up haha

I wouldnt back Tiger at 20-1  but good luck with your bet Flushy

Phil Mickelson 5 pts win @ 8.8 - Never ever put a penny on Mickelson in my life before, but feel very strong about him this week.

Greame Mcdowell 1pt win @ 70
Ross Fisher 1pt win @ 150
Charles schwatrtzel 1pt win @ 160

Its going to be hard to find time away from the tv this week

Meh, missed the 10/1.  Sell me a bit of it will ya?  :)

Not really studied much on this due to the world cup, and will only watch once the footie games have finished.
But had a couple of bets just for interest, all to win and top 5 finishes

David Toms @ 210
Mike Weir @ 120
Ishikawa @ 350

Might have a couple more bets after the first 2 rounds

For Flushy when he wakes up haha

My paint pc skills arent the best!

sick, glgl.

Jones told me earlier about this, the p/pool for him, Demps and Middy all on Tiger

go on Tiger!

Had a Denzil on Mickelson.

COME ON BIG PHIL!

:D

Tiger into 7-2 without hitting a ball

Back to 7.0 on BF, tee off time 9.36 yeah?

yup, cant wait to see what he's gonna do!

laying tiger at 6.2

price is crazy !!!!!!

gone in again at 4.5 (laying Tiger)

Thr greens look horrible, I bet they put a lot of water on them tonight.

Ryan Moore cleared the 17th green by 50 yards there, his ball seemed to be right at the edge of a cliff! and there standing right on the edge in windy conditions trying to give him a ruling. Crazyyyyy!! Looks v v dodgy

ok, had a denzil on K J Choi, no idea why but gogogo Choi!

Hoping for a sweat from one of these  ;)

Looking good Matt50

Ive taken the tiger profit and added Luke Donald to the stable.

looking forward to todays play

Good shout with G-Mac Chris, looking pretty good to me.

sick! tigers been on an absolute tear.

Finished on -1 total, 4 shots behind Johnson and Mcdowell.

Tiger currently the fave on BF @ 3.75.

Had a deep sea on Mcdowell @ 4.2 and half a denzil on Johnson @ 4.3.

COME ON MCDOWELL AND JOHNSON!!!

What is a denzil?

£10

why?

always has been, u never heard it round dog/horse tracks?

tigers back

Always called a cockle on southern tracks.

Flushy, now would be a good time to green out on Tiger if you haven't already done so.

You'll still have c£60k to nothing although that is obviously just chump-change to you these days :)

Why green out, its just giving money away!

GL to you sir.

can't believe we are going to have a sweat on this, was pretty certain we were out of it.

i looked at backing johnson on Friday and didn't do it, doh.

Great round from Tiger yesterday, esp after his start!  Mbn to have some of that 20+ that traded on BF, even if only for a few quid at 60 :D

What are the USPGA playing at having the players finish in near dark conditions!!!!!!!! I can only imagine it is to try and get peak time air coverage for the TV but so unfair for the players leading the tourny. Golf is hard enough
without having to putt through long shadows and Tee off straight into the sun

That said it didnt seem to bother Dustin too much.

Fair play to Tiger, great round of golf yesterday, brings rushing back all the good memorys of Tiger at his best. That said I will be laying Tiger at 4.5  ;hide; ;hide; ;hide; good luck Flushy you do need it.

Really disapointed with Lefty yesterday his swing went to peices IMHO I hope Butch has time to sort him out before today.

I ve still got a decent sweat on G-mac who can play well on a sunday and finish out a golf tournament. I dont know how Dustin will handle it on a major sunday ???

This is my least favourite of the four "majors" because of the USGA's dogged determination to ensure that scores are high.

Nobody has ever won a US Open with a "double-digit" or -10 total, and maintaining that tradition seems to be their #1 priority to the detriment of the tournament as a spectacle imo, unless of course you enjoy the schadenfreude aspect.

Tiger was -12 last time the Open was at Pebble Beach!

I just backed Johnson at 9/5 here at the Bellagio.

Not sure whether to keep it or trade with it.

9/5 ....WOW

is that 2.8 betfair speak or am I being silly?

How much can you get on???

he is 2.04/2.06 on bf

Yes, it's 2.8.

I had everything I had in my pocket on it - $1500. Although I doubt they would have laid much more anyways.

Dr Dempsey correctly said I should have approached Ivey and told him about it, he could have got 100k on!

They chopped the price after my bet to 6/4, a mate had 2k on that and it went to 6/5.

Massive ricks on sports that aren't NFL, MLB and NBA are pretty common in Vegas.

Last year I backed Vettel to win some grand prix at 5/1 after he qualified on pole and was 2.4 on betfair.

wow +1

i'd be tempted to trade, so easy to get a 9 on this course from what ive seen this week.

It's great to just have Tiger back in contention on a Sunday.

Hopefully he carries the momentum into today and really puts Johnson to the test.

I meant humans ! Tiger was super-human in 2000.

I would keep it.  He is a totally different player on this course to anywhere else and I cant really see why he isn't a shade of odds on.  Obviously having to think about it going into the final day of a major can mentally kill some players but the pressure didn't seem to be getting to him towards the end of the round yesterday.  Ultimately you are on a player that is three shots clear on a course he loves and has strong mental association with. 

What can mentally can kill some players is sleeping on the fact that you are 3 shots clear in a Major tournament that could set you up for life if only you can stay 3 shots clear!!!
Its a lot of thinking time between finishing your 3rd round and starting your final round.
This course has the potential everywhere for tripple bogeys etc and it wont take much for the wheels to drop off.

Either way I am looking forward to a late night watching golf that will definately have some drama to come, while also trying to win a WSOP seat on stars.

Yeah I dont doubt that but if you have bet at 9/5 and are trying to decide whether to trade or not then it is a case of assessign the price on BF at this time which is 2.04-2.06 I believe (am in states at moment so cant check).  I would say that on balance laying 2.06 would be giving too much EV away.

Johnson is 1.93 on betfair right now, u can check the price on betfair in the us just cant bet on it.

Ok, had a denzil on Phillyyyyyyy at 15s a min ago.

I cannot believe what I am watching here  ;gobsmacked;

Unreal collapse by Dustin

Come on GMac

Stuck £10 on Lefty @ 13/2, he then set up an Eagle, an johnson tripled!

Lefty fails in the eagle and the birdie and only gets a fuckin par!

Only 3 back now tho.


Only runners I have left are:

Mickelson for £75
Woods for £90

gah, I wish I was better at punting.   I was looking at Betfair thinking 1.75 for Johnson, surely I should lay that.  5 mins later he's at bloody 17. 

No talent whatsoever in betting, probably cos of no balls

Oh well, I still have my bet on Tiger.

Looking very good for Ernie now......sigh

cracking entertainment

Feel sorry for the guy; total meltdown

I just found out Dustin is a distant relation of Jean van de Velde.

JUst unbelieveable to watch this.

Funnily enough I was just thinking about that myself.  When I was a young odds compiler working for Victor Chandler I backed VDV for that at a 125-1 pre tourney and then with mates in the office at all rates down to about 7/2 in running for more than was prudent given what I now know about bankroll management.  The resulting meltdown affected my punting for about nine months after.  I am on Johnson here at 10-1.  Hopefully I have learnt something over the years!!!!

no way a player should be 1.90 before the start of a major in the last round even 3 shots clear. 1.98 on betfair was a lay. and will always be in my eyes.

   
Group B / US Open 2010 / Winner   
Dustin Johnson   Lay   11295905826   20-Jun-10
19:45       1.98   200.00      1.98   20-Jun-10 19:45

knew it would go out, but not that fast and far.

Seems like a bit of a sweeping statement.......plenty of players I would back at that price three shots clear. 

brave shout now!

Have you ever heard the phrase "after timer"?

^

I had him priced @ 8/13

to answer your question, yes i have heard the phrase ''after timer'', did you want me to post this before the start then? as you can see the time of the bet place.

all i was saying, no player in a major, even 3 shorts clear should be 1.98 IMO.

Level surely.... you wouldn't back woods if they were 3 clear at 1.98?

dustin has handled the pressure well

i hope he doesnt make it into the ryder cup team

no problem. i'll keep it to myself next time.  ;booboo;

Ernie looks like he's doing a bit of abseiling down that cliff.

lol was trying some trading out and was just considering laying McDowell, but everyone else is falling away! 

Dont worry about the after timing surely EVERYONE has done it at some stage on here.

Never! 

Was on Fabiano to score first :D Weeee

Just irritating that I've had a grand on Johnson and this guy comes on after he's collapsed telling us what a terrible bet he was.

If he had posted his opinion two hours earlier I might have traded out (I wouldn't but you get the gist of what I'm saying)

Get it quietly.

havret looking excellent atm

few arse twitching signs coming in for mcdowell

stil wudnt count out mickelson

Pin placements are just horrible today

Come on Gmac

Par into win...par in to win

gg tiger. fk our lives. gg 12k.  wish we listened to ralph.

nice 1

Cheers bud

It was a very long sweat

well done Chris, great work mate.

Unreal or true to character?