|
ACE2M
|
 |
« Reply #45 on: June 20, 2010, 02:15:19 PM » |
|
9/5 ....WOW
is that 2.8 betfair speak or am I being silly?
How much can you get on???
he is 2.04/2.06 on bf
wow +1 i'd be tempted to trade, so easy to get a 9 on this course from what ive seen this week. |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
Murph1984
|
|
« Reply #46 on: June 20, 2010, 02:15:43 PM » |
|
It's great to just have Tiger back in contention on a Sunday.
Hopefully he carries the momentum into today and really puts Johnson to the test.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
Karabiner
|
|
« Reply #47 on: June 20, 2010, 02:16:47 PM » |
|
This is my least favourite of the four "majors" because of the USGA's dogged determination to ensure that scores are high.
Nobody has ever won a US Open with a "double-digit" or -10 total, and maintaining that tradition seems to be their #1 priority to the detriment of the tournament as a spectacle imo, unless of course you enjoy the schadenfreude aspect.
Tiger was -12 last time the Open was at Pebble Beach! I just backed Johnson at 9/5 here at the Bellagio. Not sure whether to keep it or trade with it. I meant humans ! Tiger was super-human in 2000. |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
|
|
|
|
redarmi
|
|
« Reply #48 on: June 20, 2010, 03:36:42 PM » |
|
This is my least favourite of the four "majors" because of the USGA's dogged determination to ensure that scores are high.
Nobody has ever won a US Open with a "double-digit" or -10 total, and maintaining that tradition seems to be their #1 priority to the detriment of the tournament as a spectacle imo, unless of course you enjoy the schadenfreude aspect.
Tiger was -12 last time the Open was at Pebble Beach! I just backed Johnson at 9/5 here at the Bellagio. Not sure whether to keep it or trade with it. I would keep it. He is a totally different player on this course to anywhere else and I cant really see why he isn't a shade of odds on. Obviously having to think about it going into the final day of a major can mentally kill some players but the pressure didn't seem to be getting to him towards the end of the round yesterday. Ultimately you are on a player that is three shots clear on a course he loves and has strong mental association with. |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
chrisbruce
|
|
« Reply #49 on: June 20, 2010, 04:28:28 PM » |
|
What can mentally can kill some players is sleeping on the fact that you are 3 shots clear in a Major tournament that could set you up for life if only you can stay 3 shots clear!!!
Its a lot of thinking time between finishing your 3rd round and starting your final round.
This course has the potential everywhere for tripple bogeys etc and it wont take much for the wheels to drop off.
Either way I am looking forward to a late night watching golf that will definately have some drama to come, while also trying to win a WSOP seat on stars.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
redarmi
|
|
« Reply #50 on: June 20, 2010, 07:27:10 PM » |
|
Yeah I dont doubt that but if you have bet at 9/5 and are trying to decide whether to trade or not then it is a case of assessign the price on BF at this time which is 2.04-2.06 I believe (am in states at moment so cant check). I would say that on balance laying 2.06 would be giving too much EV away.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
Nico29
|
|
« Reply #51 on: June 20, 2010, 09:00:25 PM » |
|
Yeah I dont doubt that but if you have bet at 9/5 and are trying to decide whether to trade or not then it is a case of assessign the price on BF at this time which is 2.04-2.06 I believe (am in states at moment so cant check). I would say that on balance laying 2.06 would be giving too much EV away.
Johnson is 1.93 on betfair right now, u can check the price on betfair in the us just cant bet on it. |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
ChipRich
|
|
« Reply #52 on: June 20, 2010, 10:40:45 PM » |
|
Ok, had a denzil on Phillyyyyyyy at 15s a min ago.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
Karabiner
|
|
« Reply #53 on: June 20, 2010, 10:51:35 PM » |
|
I cannot believe what I am watching here  |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
|
|
|
|
chrisbruce
|
|
« Reply #54 on: June 20, 2010, 10:55:06 PM » |
|
Unreal collapse by Dustin
Come on GMac
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Graham C
|
|
« Reply #56 on: June 20, 2010, 11:12:42 PM » |
|
gah, I wish I was better at punting. I was looking at Betfair thinking 1.75 for Johnson, surely I should lay that. 5 mins later he's at bloody 17.
No talent whatsoever in betting, probably cos of no balls
Oh well, I still have my bet on Tiger.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
chrisbruce
|
|
« Reply #57 on: June 20, 2010, 11:14:03 PM » |
|
Looking very good for Ernie now......sigh
cracking entertainment
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
Hairydude
|
|
« Reply #58 on: June 20, 2010, 11:21:33 PM » |
|
Feel sorry for the guy; total meltdown
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Families is where our nation finds hope, where wings take dream
|
|
|
|
The Camel
|
|
« Reply #59 on: June 20, 2010, 11:22:02 PM » |
|
I just found out Dustin is a distant relation of Jean van de Velde.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
|
|
|
|
Author