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1  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: He's a Lucky Scrote on: July 04, 2016, 02:25:26 AM
Awesome work Dan! Congrats!
2  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: ~bubble spot on: March 25, 2016, 08:06:35 PM
I'd peel slightly tighter than normal here. You are going to be forced to call down way tighter than normal and that's not fully compensated for by the fact that we win more chips than normal when we make a good hand.

Think it's absolutely fine to just flat AQ also.
3  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Mtt hand on: March 21, 2016, 05:14:15 AM
Brutal spot mate!

Fold pre for sure, but now we're in a tough spot. Think I probably just call turn and call all in on all non heart rivers.
4  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up on: January 19, 2015, 10:40:00 AM
Think lead real bad at this stack depth and pretty hard to balance.

Call river.
5  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: Grand Prix, Standard spot or play differently? on: January 19, 2015, 10:36:51 AM
Played it fine bro.
6  Poker Forums / Live Tournament Staking / Re: WPT at DTD. £6k High Roller and £2k six max, 1.0- recommended for punters only on: November 19, 2014, 03:04:59 PM
Congrats!!!
7  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: It deserves it's own thread on: September 12, 2014, 12:48:00 AM
Thanks Pleno. Glad you like it.

What you mean 'politically correct' Dubai?
8  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: ft spot on: June 08, 2014, 06:26:55 AM
I would definitely fold here. Obviously it's chip EV to shove but it can't be a winning play ICM wise I don't think.

More of a gangsta image you have here the better raise fold is. Sure Moorman could raise and get it thru way more than a random. DownByDaBridge defo gonna fuck with you a lot tho.

ICM wise, if we give the following, pretty wide calling ranges :

co : 99+,AQ+
btn : 66+,A9s+,ATo+,KQs
sb : 88+,AJs+,AQo+
bb : 88+,AJ+

We then calculate Hero's range with 0.05 min ev Diff % (or comes to 29.40 in $ev) we get the following jamming range :

(10.1%) 88+,A9s+,AJo+,KTs+,KQo,QTs+,JTs

When we are jamming that range the correct calling ranges should be :

co : (1.4%) QQ+
btn : (4.7%) TT+,AQ+
sb :  (3.3%) JJ+,AQs+,AKo
bb : (3.3%) JJ+,AQs+,AKo

This is based on payouts for Hot 55 so I'm assuming it's similar. I'm failing to see the argument for ever not jamming here yet Pads is saying a lot of people think so, link to thread Pads ? Interested in reasons giving.

Interesting that a few people basically suggested not having a r/f range here but at the same time think anyone who's decent should stick it in hero's eye if we min raise in this spot ?

Confirmed would be fun if DownByDaBridge was jamming 54% so we could make a breakeven r/c  Wink

Overall, I like this jamming range : (17.3%) 55+,A2s+,ATo+,K9s+,KJo+,Q9s+,JTs

Thanks for the post. Really appreciate someone taking the time to do some maths work and then sharing it.

I think i'm right in saying that in terms of ICM it's not simply a question of us having a correct shoving range, because (as opposed to when calculating cEV) if our opponents deviate from what is optimal we also lose money not just our opponents. So if we KNEW our opponents were calling wider than they should then we would have to adjust our range.

It's for that reason that this isn't a jam.
9  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: ft spot on: June 03, 2014, 04:03:35 AM
being absurd enough to be able to r/c  would be good

Obv horrif. You trying to win tournaments, most poker players trying to make money.
10  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: ft spot on: June 01, 2014, 07:14:21 AM
I would definitely fold here. Obviously it's chip EV to shove but it can't be a winning play ICM wise I don't think.

More of a gangsta image you have here the better raise fold is. Sure Moorman could raise and get it thru way more than a random. DownByDaBridge defo gonna fuck with you a lot tho.
11  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Marks-ups getting out of hand on: May 15, 2014, 07:05:28 PM
Do people think there's a difference between selling on a forum, in a section dedicated to selling action, and selling on Facebook?

Could be mistaken about the etiquette of each, but i tend to feel that on a forum you open yourself up to scrutiny from entire marketplace. Buyers and sellers have a right (an obligation?) to address offers with an unjustified mark up.

If your selling on Facebook youre supposedly selling to friends. Now friends might by your action at inflated MU for any number of reasons. Being subjected to interrogation by a lot of pros who have an understanding of true ROI's might be unreasonable.

Don't know what people think. But i defo don't post negative comments on peoples Facebook walls when they sell. I might do on the forum.
12  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Congrats Ben "F3nix35" Dobson. on: May 13, 2014, 03:49:58 PM
Siiiick! Congrats!
13  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: v interesting spot on: April 08, 2014, 05:57:58 PM
Great thread. Thank you.
14  Poker Forums / Poker Hand Analysis / Re: prepared to be berated by trigg on: March 31, 2014, 03:10:44 PM
Surely you have a bet/fold flop range, call flop and turn range and call all 3 range. Seems like this is a hand we call unless until the river with. You have no two pairs so this is way towards top of our range. Romeopro too good/reggy to be making exploitative folds against. Really weird you would make this fold particularly as he dont c/raise top set in this spot i dont think.
15  Poker Forums / The Rail / Re: Shark's Scope on: March 11, 2014, 09:51:38 PM
Is it necessarily bad for recreational customer? I agree you should be able to opt-out/in but pros and recs alike need to be able to track how theyre doing.

A losing player deserves to be able to see how much money he's done playing online.
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