200NL FR. Is my turn C/R +EV?

[Moskvich]

(*semi-bluffing here isn't necessarily a mistake for the villain- but he'd rather take a free card than end up being c/r all-in)

True of course - but also therefore the fact that he bets the turn in position rather than taking the free card probably skews his range towards the stronger side - ie made hand and pair + nut flush draw. Difficult to say by how much this alters his range given that he's an unknown, but I wonder if you shouldn't make it your default assumption that he'd usually check behind with the Q or K-high flush draw.

[Smart Money]

(*semi-bluffing here isn't necessarily a mistake for the villain- but he'd rather take a free card than end up being c/r all-in)

True of course - but also therefore the fact that he bets the turn in position rather than taking the free card probably skews his range towards the stronger side - ie made hand and pair + nut flush draw. Difficult to say by how much this alters his range given that he's an unknown, but I wonder if you shouldn't make it your default assumption that he'd usually check behind with the Q or K-high flush draw.

Yes, I agree.

I think the fact that he had shown turn aggression against me just a few hands previously worked in his favour (or at least until one of my 10 outs arrived on the river!) as it made me doubt that he was as strong as he was.

[LuckyLloyd]

Well played.   

Thanks. I respect your FR advice.

6 - max or FR makes no difference as to why the postflop line you took is suboptimal against most opponents.

But all IMO of course.

[Smart Money]

Well played.   

Thanks. I respect your FR advice.

6 - max or FR makes no difference as to why the postflop line you took is suboptimal against most opponents.

But all IMO of course.

 


lol. All the best!