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Poker Hand Analysis
Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
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Topic: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT. (Read 2165 times)
AlexMartin
spewtards r us
Hero Member
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Posts: 8039
rat+rabbiting society of herts- future champ
Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
on:
April 07, 2008, 03:14:50 AM »
Just getting a mate to put the HH on 2+2 smallstakes (no PT on this computer) as i was unsure about this hand. Its the turn decision im worried about tbh, the preflop play was just because i thought villains were donk and deep and i call the flop 3b for obv reasons.
Villain has been tight this session, not really getting out of line. I have been trying to isolate the SB oop (with gay min raises
) purely because he's terrible and is why we are all so deep.
1/2nlhe
Hero-button,
- $900
Villain opens from cutoff to $7 (stack- $500). I call, as does SB (the table mark, $300).
Flop
SB bets small ($8), Villain raises to $16, i raise to $46ish. Sb folds. Villain re-raises to $110. Hero calls?
Turn
Villain bets just under pot, $180 odd into $230. Hero?
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GlasgowBandit
Hero Member
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Posts: 5646
Global Pacifier
Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #1 on:
April 07, 2008, 04:31:59 PM »
Arrrrrghhhhhh I hate these spots probably should pass but I ain't.
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boldie
Hero Member
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Posts: 22392
Don't make me mad
Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #2 on:
April 07, 2008, 04:40:32 PM »
Quote from: GlasgowBandit on April 07, 2008, 04:31:59 PM
Arrrrrghhhhhh I hate these spots probably should pass but I ain't.
Agreed..maybe I should but I just can' find a pass here. only hand I realistically expect him to have is a set or AK..which just outdrew you. but he'd never take you for the flush if you hit...so I call....depending on Villain i might also ship my chips in here. Re-raise to 400'ish...even (Which I am aware might be a very stupid move but sometimes I can't help myself)...i'll probably flatcall though.
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
Learning Centre Group
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Go Ducks!
Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #3 on:
April 07, 2008, 05:19:43 PM »
How deep is villain Alex, as deep as us? We only get the sb stack in the OP
I take you call the flop as you don't believe shoving will get called by a worse hand (aa and ak).
Turn is crappy as we are beat by everything now apart from bluffs. Im going to have to fold and hate it as he isn't giving us odds to draw to out 8-11 outs and the times he is stone cold bluffing here are very small % wise.
Interesting to see what they say on 2p2.
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doubleup
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Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #4 on:
April 07, 2008, 05:26:53 PM »
Quote from: Longy on April 07, 2008, 05:19:43 PM
How deep is villain Alex, as deep as us? We only get the sb stack in the OP
I take you call the flop as you don't believe shoving will get called by a worse hand (aa and ak).
Turn is crappy as we are beat by everything now apart from bluffs. Im going to have to fold and hate it as he isn't giving us odds to draw to out 8-11 outs and the times he is stone cold bluffing here are very small % wise.
Interesting to see what they say on 2p2.
Just about what I was going to say - he is playing this insanely strong and I'd have to take him for AA that has now overtaken you or a flopped set. The only draw he can have is 87, so its a fold for me as well.
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totalise
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Posts: 2620
Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #5 on:
April 07, 2008, 05:52:38 PM »
i donno if the ace has improved his hand to one that beats you... dont most 1/2 players live a life adoring pot control? and consequently be more likely to just call with AA/AK? imo This is one of those theoretical spots where you know that he is going to fire 100% of his range on the turn, because either he has a set and wants to get money in the pot, or he has air and wants to continue his ludicrous bluff, so i think any decision you make on this hand should come on the flop... so if you call the flop, you get it in whatever the turn.
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GlasgowBandit
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Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #6 on:
April 07, 2008, 06:19:00 PM »
Quote from: Longy on April 07, 2008, 05:19:43 PM
How deep is villain Alex, as deep as us? We only get the sb stack in the OP
Quote from: AlexMartin on April 07, 2008, 03:14:50 AM
Hero-button,
- $900
Villain opens from cutoff to $7 (stack- $500).
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Sunday8pm
Hero Member
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Posts: 2021
Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #7 on:
April 08, 2008, 02:56:48 AM »
The turn bet doesn't look like any hand that beats us here. Donkeys have a tendancy of betting big when they don't have it, and betting weak when they do have it.
$180 into $230 on a K65 A board doesn't look like AA, AK, 66 or 55 and i'm sure we can rule out KK. Looks much more like 56 or possibly even K5.
Please tell me you shipped the lot in Martin
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Sunday8pm
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Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #8 on:
April 08, 2008, 02:58:43 AM »
Quote from: Sunday8pm on April 08, 2008, 02:56:48 AM
The turn bet doesn't look like any hand that beats us here. Donkeys have a tendancy of betting big when they don't have it, and betting weak when they do have it.
$180 into $230 on a K65 A board doesn't look like AA, AK, 66 or 55 and i'm sure we can rule out KK. Looks much more like 56 or possibly even K5.
Please tell me you shipped the lot in Martin
Oh sorry this hand was against a quite tight player. Hmmm. I think we beat 56 more than we think. But i guess AA, AK, 66 or 55 are also possible. I think i get in here mostly.
FWIW i also pass pre...
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AlexMartin
spewtards r us
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rat+rabbiting society of herts- future champ
Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #9 on:
April 08, 2008, 03:29:58 AM »
yeah, was an odd one because table dynamics really do alter a lot. FWIW i called turn bet, hit
and stacked 666. But the guy said i played the hand terrible and its always a pass on the turn v a solid player..... not sure about that, but prolly right to fold in this spot.
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Simon Galloway
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Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #10 on:
April 08, 2008, 04:43:25 PM »
Out of interest, how did the betting go on the river? If he is always going to get himself stacked against a rivered flush, it makes it more tempting to take a little more the worst of it on the turn...
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doubleup
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Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #11 on:
April 08, 2008, 10:27:24 PM »
Quote from: Simon Galloway on April 08, 2008, 04:43:25 PM
Out of interest, how did the betting go on the river? If he is always going to get himself stacked against a rivered flush, it makes it more tempting to take a little more the worst of it on the turn...
In this case you aren't getting odds to draw to a flush even if you stack him (altho knowing your king is good makes it about breakeven).
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Simon Galloway
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Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #12 on:
April 09, 2008, 02:23:06 PM »
yes - there was an assumption that you are not always behind on the turn, but I was interested to find out if he paid the flush off or bet into it himself.
Implied odds are very subjective, its very easy to 'borrow' a bit to the 3/1 on your money to make calling a flush draw on the turn (esp. with some other possible outs) but then all that implied value disappears (or not) if you don't get a penny out of them on the end when you hit.
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AlexMartin
spewtards r us
Hero Member
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Posts: 8039
rat+rabbiting society of herts- future champ
Re: Deep 2pr+draw hand. No PT.
«
Reply #13 on:
April 09, 2008, 03:29:30 PM »
he moved in on the river for his last 120ish, coz he correctly assumed that hearts are rarely part of my range, yet a worse made hand that will pay off a shove is pretty likely.
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